Serie A · resolved market
Will Verona win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c27f6a79b404fd54d3bf86c3fb6e967f904d6eda831234e81dae1dc22305270
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $227,723
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $240,477
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,723 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc2c8…5471backed Yes | 9c | 40,000$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,599.99 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…e4bebacked Yes | 0c | 30,031$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Yes | 10c | 11,100$1,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,110 | 64 | 29.7%19 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…0c4abacked Yes | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad6a…9dbdbacked Yes | 10c | 7,500$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 9c | 6,450$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.91 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes | 10c | 5,746$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.03 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Yes | 8c | 5,699$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.93 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +6.9wins | +0.16per pick | 43cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Yes | 11c | 4,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50dd…c186backed Yes | 10c | 3,177$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.71 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 7c | 3,160$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.92 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb195…6f85backed Yes | 10c | 3,152$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 9c | 2,323$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.81 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d52…834ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,662$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 8c | 1,565$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.22 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked Yes | 10c | 1,505$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +42.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 8c | 1,482$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.58 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 11c | 1,381$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.61 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 10c | 1,299$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.88 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50f8…8908backed Yes | 10c | 1,111$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 11c | 1,099$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.88 | 208 | 27.9%58 W · 150 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 10c | 1,023$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.27 | 333 | 57.4%191 W · 142 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 11c | 1,011$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc864…97dfbacked Yes | 10c | 820$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4039…e1d0backed Yes | 10c | 550$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58b2…5f92backed Yes | 8c | 530$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedd6…014cbacked Yes | 9c | 500$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 11c | 484.45$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.29 | 129 | 23.3%30 W · 99 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 11c | 393$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.23 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 3c | 340$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 156 | 23.7%37 W · 119 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 9c | 299.51$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 32cpaid | -55%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35e8…0596backed Yes | 10c | 250$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f6b…fba5backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 9c | 200$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 124 | 22.6%28 W · 96 L | -7.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a68…6525backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 18cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 6c | 170$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 284 | 45.4%129 W · 155 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Yes | 9c | 155$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -50.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 86 | 20.9%18 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 9c | 150$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +7.1wins | +0.16per pick | 38cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xadf9…cdc6backed Yes | 10c | 149.36$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa903…bcd2backed Yes | 8c | 122.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 10c | 111$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 272 | 26.8%73 W · 199 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18c…0350backed Yes | 10c | 101.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38a0…16e9backed Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd574…425dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 39.8%41 W · 62 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Verona win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Inter win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
- Will Verona vs. Inter end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.