La Liga · resolved market
Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648087110d9eeed1eb2bd36580e136e9a1b715417357997596462a8dfd2cd48d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,179
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,198
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,179 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 72c | 16,545$11,979 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,565.98 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 32c | 15,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 172 | 48.8%84 W · 88 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 68c | 12,557$8,524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,033.53 | 274 | 53.6%147 W · 127 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 32c | 10,000$3,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,199.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked No | 66c | 4,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.97 | 241 | 47.7%115 W · 126 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes | 34c | 3,525$1,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,194 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 2c | 2,835$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.34 | 33 | 9.1%3 W · 30 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -56%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 7c | 1,633$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 33c | 1,514$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.75 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +3.6wins | +0.19per pick | 28cpaid | +73.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…ff4cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,430$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 77 | 7.8%6 W · 71 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 6cpaid | +70.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 69c | 1,250$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.85 | 532 | 46.1%245 W · 287 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x285c…5955backed Yes | 13c | 1,157$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf7…9e9abacked Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 52cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74cd…2319backed Yes | 4c | 943.85$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.31 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 17cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 6c | 759.88$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.67 | 307 | 43.6%134 W · 173 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bdd…ea84backed Yes | 32c | 722.58$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Yes | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 31c | 552.49$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.29 | 278 | 54.7%152 W · 126 L | +20.3wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed No | 68c | 514.71$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.71 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 66c | 506.25$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.21 | 157 | 50.3%79 W · 78 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 34c | 487$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.68 | 58 | 41.4%24 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 70c | 398.5$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.55 | 127 | 57.5%73 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Yes | 14c | 358.83$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 12c | 333.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 238 | 55.9%133 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked Yes | 11c | 331.41$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.64 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 7c | 317.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 74 | 40.5%30 W · 44 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +25%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3adf…d8b0backed Yes | 15c | 306.79$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Yes | 33c | 300$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 79 | 53.2%42 W · 37 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Yes | 32c | 298$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.26 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x865f…e88ebacked Yes | 32c | 272$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.4 | 532 | 42.3%225 W · 307 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Yes | 34c | 266.26$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa45a…a03ebacked Yes | 34c | 253.77$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 67c | 231.2$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.46 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…984ebacked Yes | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 11c | 198.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 559 | 41.1%230 W · 329 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Yes | 33c | 154.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.15 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1166…a8e1backed Yes | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 54 | 42.6%23 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Yes | 32c | 146.99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.04 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb911…a649backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -50%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Yes | 30c | 119.98$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c0…e18fbacked Yes | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5c…1b85backed Yes | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3af5…c533backed Yes | 13c | 99.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92a5…eb80backed Yes | 34c | 88.24$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…367fbacked Yes | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x897d…90c9backed No | 70c | 61.25$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x261a…fad0backed No | 68c | 60.29$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f0…890dbacked No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 115 | 59.1%68 W · 47 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d5…6438backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c5…c9b5backed Yes | 23c | 51.63$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29bf…08a1backed Yes | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 125 | 38.4%48 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4de9…4ab1backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 34c | 37.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.84 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620e…7cb9backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…19c7backed No | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 276 | 52.5%145 W · 131 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 67c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.26 | 144 | 62.5%90 W · 54 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…6b43backed No | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c09…df0bbacked No | 70c | 15.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Levante UD win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-02?Yes won
- Will Levante UD vs. Celta Vigo end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.