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La Liga · resolved market

Will Celta Vigo win on 2025-11-02?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,971
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$123,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,971 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd0b4…fed6backed Yes40c39,670$15,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,802.284852.1%25 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No59c24,576$14,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,599.4427453.6%147 W · 127 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No60c14,999$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,999.6318050%90 W · 90 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+7.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed No46c6,121$2,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,820.917445.9%34 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc919…a162backed No18c5,668$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Yes49c3,651$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,853.253756.8%21 W · 16 L+4.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes67c3,379$2,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.2514067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes49c3,278$1,594 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,684.144,84647%2,279 W · 2,567 L-17.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No59c2,784$1,645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,645.2453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Yes41c2,774$1,136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,638.328552.9%45 W · 40 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No33c2,761$911 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.383,54642.7%1,514 W · 2,032 L+28.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-11.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No59c2,581$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,517.237060%42 W · 28 L+5.4wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb1fe…9974backed Yes41c2,500$1,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4753452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked Yes65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e73…c4ecbacked No11c1,228$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.834822.9%11 W · 37 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x942c…fb3abacked Yes43c1,163$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.791656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.9wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+11.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Yes65c1,078$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$377.782157.1%12 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes70c1,013$711 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.8730743.6%134 W · 173 L-1.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No60c848.55$511 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510.815750.3%79 W · 78 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbebb…1465backed Yes41c620$252 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3681145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick35cpaid+92.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Yes40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3607864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.9wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No59c600$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3545839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes46c597.07$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.6213045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Yes39c512.82$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$312.822770.4%19 W · 8 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+30.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes41c423.64$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.9530446.7%142 W · 162 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No56c412.01$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.0329038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes41c405.36$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.3626242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x285c…5955backed No40c375$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-56.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes69c372.53$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.0775157.3%430 W · 321 L+22.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No50c344.29$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5555941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7292…6bd3backed No60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001618.8%3 W · 13 L-4.4wins-0.28per pick46cpaid-69.5%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No60c327.92$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.7521955.7%122 W · 97 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes45c277.78$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.787440.5%30 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+25%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7dfb…2398backed Yes40c251.56$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1511833.3%6 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a54…f7f9backed Yes40c250$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1502236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-24%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No59c240.68$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14212956.6%73 W · 56 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No60c224.28$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.5735254%190 W · 162 L-8.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd561…be29backed Yes43c214.26$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.59475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+48.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x88f9…325dbacked No59c210.29$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.072222.7%5 W · 17 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-34.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes78c203$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.626073.1%190 W · 70 L+23.8wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc71f…bd62backed No59c200.99$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.596535.4%23 W · 42 L-3.8wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Yes40c182$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.25841.4%24 W · 34 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7180…bdbabacked No59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006639.4%26 W · 40 L-8.9wins-0.14per pick53cpaid-25.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x74cd…2319backed Yes24c145.83$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.836319%12 W · 51 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick17cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes40c130$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7820047.5%95 W · 105 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes40c125$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$756443.8%28 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+33.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x9cb3…f37fbacked No58c120$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.68961.8%55 W · 34 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c83…6f40backed Yes43c116.28$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.287241.7%30 W · 42 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No20c112$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.440033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xda5c…ed5bbacked Yes45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.113256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked No60c110$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.83348.5%16 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a5c…1b85backed Yes40c106.7$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.391442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-26.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes42c100$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$585152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x848f…612fbacked Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$604854.2%26 W · 22 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4108…a80dbacked No60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$602020%4 W · 16 L-4.4wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-65.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x5a93…32a0backed Yes39c100$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$612941.4%12 W · 17 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1feb…bdc1backed Yes40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick27cpaid-58.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes42c95.24$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.2417643.8%77 W · 99 L-7.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3eb0…8826backed Yes32c90.28$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.283751.4%19 W · 18 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+10.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7685…482cbacked Yes39c83.85$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.15850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-17.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No60c75$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4543255.6%240 W · 192 L+1.8wins0.00per pick55cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f57…0319backed Yes42c73.81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.81742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No48c65.53$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.2217155%94 W · 77 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes39c64.1$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.117036.5%62 W · 108 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced0…c680backed Yes40c62.5$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.51936.8%7 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe200…958fbacked Yes65c61.54$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes34c58.82$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.822941.4%12 W · 17 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick35cpaid+10.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b0…94ebbacked No62c56.45$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352138.1%8 W · 13 L-3.9wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-29.2%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0x163a…d5cabacked Yes40c55$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+98.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc909…1ab1backed No61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5850%4 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50bd…962abacked No60c50$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.36per pick56cpaid-67.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa13b…1a4dbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+25%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95e9…30b1backed Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick37cpaid+50.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6675…f46fbacked Yes40c50$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303100%3 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes41c50$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.514026.4%37 W · 103 L-0.5wins0.00per pick27cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d9b…eb8dbacked Yes65c49.36$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.281947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83b8…c300backed Yes41c48.78$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e96…b214backed Yes42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.62250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes40c37.97$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8853242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c9…7708backed Yes40c37.75$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.65333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes40c37.5$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.54353.5%23 W · 20 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0c90…9d02backed Yes42c35.71$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.712100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+81.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e1b…c38fbacked Yes40c35$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+56.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No60c32.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.527852.5%146 W · 132 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xce04…9496backed No62c32.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201866.7%12 W · 6 L+3.0wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e2d…2d55backed Yes56c32.06$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.061070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2521648.6%105 W · 111 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed No60c30$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1821051.9%109 W · 101 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x112b…eba6backed Yes65c27.69$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+53.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba6…bb05backed No57c26.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.298452.4%44 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f7e…c42fbacked Yes40c25.28$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.271100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+152.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1517648.3%85 W · 91 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1516151.6%83 W · 78 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2705…3a60backed Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151040%4 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159637.5%36 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1529053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1532051.3%164 W · 156 L-10.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1521849.1%107 W · 111 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No60c25$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1514244.4%63 W · 79 L-12.6wins-0.09per pick53cpaid-18.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xa38a…991bbacked Yes40c25$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151070%7 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick64cpaid+17%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.