NHL · resolved market
Rangers vs. Kraken
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c1d0f22573f2739913c047fd3f470d3c1242ac411aac6cd5f409eb46c96e996
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rangersof Rangers, Kraken
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $669,012
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $683,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $669,012 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 222 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Kraken | 44c | 389,974$172,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172,088.74 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Rangers | 56c | 204,500$114,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,980 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Rangers | 56c | 94,670$53,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,656.88 | 216 | 52.3%113 W · 103 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Kraken | 36c | 80,000$29,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,199.98 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Rangers | 79c | 51,492$40,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,911.48 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Rangers | 55c | 45,996$25,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,698.33 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Rangers | 56c | 37,687$21,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,645.38 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Rangers | 54c | 20,500$11,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,430 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc610…707abacked Rangers | 50c | 18,250$9,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,125 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf07c…63dabacked Kraken | 50c | 18,250$9,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,125 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Rangers | 55c | 15,109$8,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,750.24 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Kraken | 45c | 9,779$4,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,389.24 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Rangers | 55c | 9,153$5,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.08 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Kraken | 46c | 7,428$3,388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,387.65 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kraken | 43c | 6,742$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.92 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb028…b0dcbacked Rangers | 67c | 5,888$3,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,955.27 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Rangers | 55c | 5,632$3,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,525.15 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Rangers | 57c | 5,452$3,103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,348.91 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,150 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Kraken | 45c | 4,452$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba5…4cc5backed Kraken | 45c | 4,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Rangers | 53c | 3,854$2,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,811.46 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27c9…2278backed Kraken | 1c | 3,600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…ffaabacked Rangers | 57c | 3,500$1,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,504.96 | 119 | 47.9%57 W · 62 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Rangers | 54c | 3,332$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,532.8 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Kraken | 34c | 3,227$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,098.52 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Rangers | 55c | 3,194$1,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,437.25 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Kraken | 42c | 3,095$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.22 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Rangers | 56c | 3,000$1,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.2 | 288 | 42%121 W · 167 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Rangers | 56c | 2,886$1,616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,269.84 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…a1b6backed Rangers | 56c | 2,679$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.57 | 106 | 58.5%62 W · 44 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Kraken | 45c | 2,334$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,042.68 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Kraken | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Kraken | 33c | 2,115$695 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.52 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Kraken | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Kraken | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$879.99 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Kraken | 44c | 1,981$872 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$871.83 | 642 | 42.2%271 W · 371 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Kraken | 45c | 1,857$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.39 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…a94fbacked Rangers | 57c | 1,795$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.99 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Rangers | 54c | 1,699$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781.68 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc19a…0981backed Kraken | 46c | 1,653$760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$760.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.23per pick | 51cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Rangers | 57c | 1,613$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.62 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5070…8208backed Rangers | 54c | 1,569$847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.74 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9729…eb0cbacked Rangers | 54c | 1,458$787 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Kraken | 44c | 1,400$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Kraken | 46c | 1,388$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645.3 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a72…ece1backed Kraken | 46c | 1,365$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe4…5c4fbacked Rangers | 55c | 1,320$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.98 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rangers | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$624 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88c7…9012backed Kraken | 47c | 1,274$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Rangers | 54c | 1,263$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.12 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Kraken | 45c | 1,222$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.9 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Kraken | 1c | 1,110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.1 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rangers | 55c | 1,103$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Kraken | 45c | 1,087$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.23 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2422…589cbacked Rangers | 54c | 1,064$575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.44 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Kraken | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa4…69cdbacked Kraken | 43c | 1,000$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cad…994fbacked Rangers | 56c | 1,000$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0432…1660backed Rangers | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Kraken | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Rangers | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe878…8a5cbacked Kraken | 46c | 869$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.74 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Kraken | 44c | 818.18$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Kraken | 38c | 796.99$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.05 | 311 | 48.2%150 W · 161 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc9…133dbacked Kraken | 46c | 756$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Kraken | 39c | 751.17$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291.38 | 91 | 49.5%45 W · 46 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Kraken | 43c | 750$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Rangers | 56c | 714.28$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.28 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Kraken | 39c | 693.02$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.9 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Rangers | 59c | 675.25$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.25 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers | 56c | 637.17$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.18 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f6…9f57backed Rangers | 68c | 631$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.83 | 338 | 48.8%165 W · 173 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Kraken | 44c | 627.78$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.22 | 199 | 42.7%85 W · 114 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Rangers | 56c | 600$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kraken | 45c | 596.23$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.47 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Rangers | 56c | 571.44$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Rangers | 55c | 557.96$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Kraken | 43c | 555$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.65 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf743…77dfbacked Rangers | 54c | 552$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.92 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 49cpaid | +50.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Rangers | 54c | 500.01$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.01 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rangers | 57c | 500$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 195 | 48.2%94 W · 101 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Kraken | 31c | 451.61$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d6…9bb1backed Rangers | 54c | 447.09$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57af…1a28backed Kraken | 47c | 425.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Kraken | 49c | 397.96$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Rangers | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.37 | 530 | 50.6%268 W · 262 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Rangers | 68c | 368.79$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.09 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce3…3bc3backed Rangers | 54c | 367.39$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +60%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Kraken | 44c | 354.2$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.85 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Kraken | 40c | 346.42$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Kraken | 44c | 346$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.8 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Kraken | 45c | 330.09$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.54 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Rangers | 51c | 310.85$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.32 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85a5…6721backed Rangers | 57c | 302.46$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.46 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Rangers | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Kraken | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce9…7a2cbacked Rangers | 55c | 274.38$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.47 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Rangers | 69c | 269$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.63 | 35 | 68.6%24 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c0…93fdbacked Kraken | 46c | 268.13$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 90 | 45.6%41 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Rangers vs. Krakenthis page
- Rangers vs. Kraken: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Kraken won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.