NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Stars
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb160c2802ca3451cb10034026a425c8e93631eb7c4e9a387a8237cd9e86c93f3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Capitals, Stars
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $154,605
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $159,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $154,605 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 476 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Stars | 56c | 15,000$8,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,600 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Capitals | 44c | 11,062$4,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,867.27 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Capitals | 46c | 8,992$4,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,126 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Capitals | 46c | 7,900$3,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,621.11 | 159 | 53.5%85 W · 74 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Capitals | 46c | 7,254$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360.1 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Stars | 53c | 7,040$3,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,308.6 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -17.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Stars | 53c | 7,000$3,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,290 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Stars | 54c | 6,802$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,151.56 | 142 | 53.5%76 W · 66 L | +9.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Stars | 55c | 5,504$3,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,476.77 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x164f…deb3backed Capitals | 44c | 5,000$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Capitals | 44c | 4,322$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.2 | 315 | 46.3%146 W · 169 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Stars | 54c | 3,242$1,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.54 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Stars | 53c | 2,931$1,554 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,377.18 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a9…6324backed Capitals | 44c | 2,800$1,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,232 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7918…7f2abacked Stars | 56c | 2,800$1,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.6wins | +0.29per pick | 49cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Capitals | 18c | 2,727$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.86 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…e1e2backed Capitals | 47c | 2,300$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…3eacbacked Stars | 55c | 2,300$1,265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,035 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 53c | 2,222$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,044.33 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Capitals | 47c | 2,128$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.16 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Capitals | 46c | 2,127$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.2 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Capitals | 19c | 2,124$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Stars | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…93fcbacked Stars | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | -8.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Stars | 55c | 1,849$1,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$832.19 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd8…f306backed Stars | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.71 | 316 | 54.7%173 W · 143 L | +14.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Capitals | 40c | 1,736$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 48c | 1,667$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 78c | 1,616$1,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360.8 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 46c | 1,577$723 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.43 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Stars | 80c | 1,575$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.56 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x954e…927fbacked Stars | 56c | 1,500$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Capitals | 47c | 1,279$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e46…5bf7backed Stars | 56c | 1,209$677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Stars | 53c | 1,068$567 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.14 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Capitals | 21c | 957.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22e9…5e83backed Stars | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe662…3546backed Stars | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.38per pick | 53cpaid | +67.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Stars | 56c | 892.86$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.86 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25e0…04cfbacked Capitals | 45c | 892$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Stars | 54c | 843.07$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.75 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Stars | 76c | 832.72$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.79 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Stars | 54c | 830$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$381.8 | 751 | 55.8%419 W · 332 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Stars | 53c | 749.99$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.5 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Capitals | 28c | 695.65$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.69 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Stars | 55c | 620$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Capitals | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Capitals | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bb3…b7febacked Capitals | 51c | 493.73$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.1 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c3…ec20backed Stars | 57c | 455.56$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.89 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d58…40c1backed Capitals | 45c | 455.56$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -51%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa5e9…93f3backed Capitals | 45c | 455.56$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -49%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1922…ee10backed Stars | 56c | 455.54$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Stars | 54c | 449.99$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207 | 187 | 50.3%94 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa62e…cba8backed Capitals | 45c | 442.22$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c77…85ccbacked Stars | 57c | 442.21$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.15 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 55cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Stars | 55c | 405.54$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Stars | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Capitals | 24c | 349.99$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.5 | 31 | 9.7%3 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Capitals | 48c | 338.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.84 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6173…22a5backed Capitals | 45c | 319.31$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.69 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb80…62b1backed Stars | 57c | 319.3$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Stars | 53c | 313$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.64 | 308 | 48.4%149 W · 159 L | -8.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Stars | 59c | 300.99$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.48 | 120 | 70.8%85 W · 35 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Stars | 52c | 300$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143 | 353 | 49.6%175 W · 178 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Stars | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Stars | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Stars | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 101 | 45.5%46 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Stars | 53c | 299.99$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Capitals | 35c | 289.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8116…7239backed Stars | 61c | 285.17$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.17 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Stars | 67c | 283$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.83 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…0109backed Stars | 53c | 275.75$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.6 | 487 | 48.3%235 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Capitals | 46c | 267.35$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.99 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a7f…4cd8backed Stars | 56c | 246.43$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.43 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Capitals | 49c | 242.66$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Stars | 53c | 234.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.28 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.20per pick | 50cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Stars | 53c | 226.42$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.42 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0915…d08abacked Capitals | 46c | 220$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.1 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Capitals | 44c | 216.11$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.18 | 607 | 41%249 W · 358 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed Stars | 55c | 215$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.53 | 1,079 | 54.3%586 W · 493 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe15f…93d7backed Stars | 46c | 210$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.7 | 140 | 53.6%75 W · 65 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Stars | 54c | 210$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.6 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Stars | 79c | 204$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.84 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc394…489cbacked Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…f407backed Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…6345backed Stars | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffa7…2838backed Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7942…bd59backed Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655d…b525backed Stars | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5307…bae4backed Stars | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d5e…6943backed Stars | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4688…af37backed Stars | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +4.2wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17c3…7c07backed Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…d71abacked Stars | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…cd12backed Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…301dbacked Stars | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc742…1d37backed Capitals | 44c | 200$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Starsthis page
- Capitals vs. Stars: O/U 5.5Under won
- Capitals vs. Stars: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Stars (-1.5)Capitals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.