NHL · resolved market
Red Wings vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5fcd26cf21149b2876df1eb4953630433a283664288923bf3f4f489ed5be23b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden Knightsof Red Wings, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $666,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $674,505
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $666,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 290 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Red Wings | 38c | 259,127$97,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97,725.94 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Red Wings | 23c | 150,000$34,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,500 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Golden Knights | 72c | 72,432$51,862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,570.27 | 309 | 44.7%138 W · 171 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Golden Knights | 63c | 53,364$33,619 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,744.68 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 52,645$32,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,988.91 | 167 | 43.1%72 W · 95 L | -12.8wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Golden Knights | 77c | 51,426$39,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,071.54 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa987…141dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 47,551$29,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,069.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Golden Knights | 63c | 31,044$19,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,533.08 | 412 | 46.4%191 W · 221 L | -24.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Golden Knights | 63c | 20,000$12,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,449.98 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Golden Knights | 62c | 14,000$8,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,320 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Golden Knights | 62c | 8,995$5,577 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,418.08 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Red Wings | 36c | 8,372$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.94 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 8,000$4,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,040 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Red Wings | 37c | 7,586$2,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,806.81 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb91…11f7backed Golden Knights | 63c | 7,481$4,713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,767.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Golden Knights | 63c | 7,465$4,703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.05 | 566 | 49.5%280 W · 286 L | -7.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights | 71c | 6,502$4,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,901.82 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Golden Knights | 64c | 4,688$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.5 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights | 62c | 4,516$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716.08 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7376…4f46backed Red Wings | 38c | 4,500$1,710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,710 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2fd…b6d6backed Red Wings | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…22f9backed Golden Knights | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,480 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f20…0360backed Red Wings | 38c | 3,900$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbddb…e168backed Golden Knights | 63c | 3,800$2,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b67…de0cbacked Red Wings | 38c | 3,800$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,444 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191d…99abbacked Red Wings | 38c | 3,658$1,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Golden Knights | 62c | 3,649$2,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,375.62 | 378 | 47.4%179 W · 199 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1b…89d0backed Golden Knights | 62c | 3,500$2,170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,330 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8414…8689backed Golden Knights | 63c | 3,500$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff93…cbdbbacked Red Wings | 38c | 3,500$1,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,330 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 3,237$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,230.09 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 3,076$1,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.91 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Red Wings | 36c | 3,046$1,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100.61 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Red Wings | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,110 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfdd9…ad08backed Red Wings | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x172a…6502backed Red Wings | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…03febacked Red Wings | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb070…96f7backed Golden Knights | 63c | 3,000$1,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,109.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f23…aec9backed Red Wings | 37c | 2,892$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf7d…c233backed Golden Knights | 62c | 2,800$1,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,064 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 2,700$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Red Wings | 38c | 2,368$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Golden Knights | 62c | 2,368$1,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 405 | 50.9%206 W · 199 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fe…98a5backed Red Wings | 38c | 2,200$836 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 62c | 2,112$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$801.08 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbade…84b8backed Golden Knights | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Red Wings | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3e…7909backed Golden Knights | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…48f3backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,818$1,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.74 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad3…4144backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…0c28backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,800$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,785$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.44 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,711$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$632.93 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf27b…39edbacked Red Wings | 38c | 1,700$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7809…d8d8backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,602$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3792…3f75backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…1e74backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,600$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$608 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17a1…f4a2backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,600$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd76e…225bbacked Red Wings | 38c | 1,500$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9496…7454backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3041…8085backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,500$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.95 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c4c…913fbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 1,200$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,150$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.29 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked Golden Knights | 72c | 1,066$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.61 | 113 | 54%61 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 1,050$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399 | 619 | 59.1%366 W · 253 L | +17.9wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Red Wings | 38c | 1,020$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.6 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 326 | 48.2%157 W · 169 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c2…26aabacked Golden Knights | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1fad…b5b2backed Red Wings | 37c | 1,000$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -38.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 952.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.38 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Red Wings | 37c | 945.95$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 230 | 47.4%109 W · 121 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Golden Knights | 62c | 942.08$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.99 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 885$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.45 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Red Wings | 7c | 838.2$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.67 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 62c | 816.38$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.22 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Red Wings | 19c | 800$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Red Wings | 5c | 721.56$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 29cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6777…2612backed Red Wings | 33c | 702.08$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Red Wings | 37c | 700$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259 | 510 | 44.5%227 W · 283 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeee8…621ebacked Red Wings | 37c | 643.24$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 67c | 608.03$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.55 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Red Wings | 31c | 587.01$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.19 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbde…a050backed Red Wings | 18c | 576.43$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2421…10cfbacked Red Wings | 38c | 556$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.28 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b27…0a09backed Golden Knights | 63c | 555.56$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.56 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22ed…002bbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 539.68$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.68 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Red Wings | 20c | 511.6$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.41 | 338 | 37.9%128 W · 210 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1208…1feabacked Red Wings | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…80aebacked Golden Knights | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 327 | 44%144 W · 183 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Golden Knights | 61c | 499.99$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Red Wings | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2633…8c48backed Red Wings | 41c | 487.8$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Golden Knights | 63c | 476.19$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.19 | 454 | 47.8%217 W · 237 L | -17.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 74c | 442.45$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.68 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Red Wings | 37c | 432.25$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.93 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Golden Knights | 63c | 428$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.36 | 484 | 52.3%253 W · 231 L | +14.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa99c…3070backed Red Wings | 24c | 422.53$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 293 | 19.8%58 W · 235 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Red Wings | 38c | 400$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 237 | 41.4%98 W · 139 L | -14.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Red Wings vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Red Wings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
- Red Wings vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Red Wings won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.