College Football · resolved market
Florida International vs. Missouri State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2c87b28ba30a37f1c3f8a82f2838cf73ce29b277f848c41ac4b069eee18144
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Missouri Stateof Florida International, Missouri State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $475,296
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $477,616
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $475,296 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 230 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Missouri State | 63c | 236,000$148,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,319.99 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Florida International | 37c | 100,213$37,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,078.71 | 166 | 35.5%59 W · 107 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Florida International | 37c | 90,743$33,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,900.92 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Florida International | 38c | 36,601$13,916 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,916.22 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Missouri State | 56c | 26,997$15,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,996.52 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd38b…5029backed Missouri State | 60c | 21,340$12,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,536.1 | 327 | 45.6%149 W · 178 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Florida International | 37c | 17,560$6,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,497.11 | 89 | 48.3%43 W · 46 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Florida International | 46c | 15,353$7,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,073.65 | 309 | 49.5%153 W · 156 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Missouri State | 61c | 13,500$8,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Florida International | 40c | 13,272$5,309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,308.66 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Florida International | 37c | 11,111$4,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,111.07 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Florida International | 37c | 10,000$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Florida International | 40c | 10,000$3,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,950 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Florida International | 30c | 8,070$2,382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,382.42 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e5…6177backed Missouri State | 59c | 7,500$4,425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,074.99 | 79 | 44.3%35 W · 44 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Florida International | 38c | 7,482$2,851 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,850.65 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Florida International | 0c | 5,666$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.23 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Florida International | 39c | 5,549$2,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,167.54 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Missouri State | 63c | 5,383$3,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.96 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Florida International | 38c | 5,162$1,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,951.56 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Missouri State | 60c | 4,838$2,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935.2 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Florida International | 37c | 4,756$1,763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,762.81 | 213 | 48.8%104 W · 109 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Missouri State | 68c | 4,592$3,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,455.13 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Florida International | 29c | 4,280$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.06 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Florida International | 39c | 3,886$1,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,515.54 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Florida International | 41c | 3,775$1,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,530.03 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Missouri State | 67c | 3,731$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,231.34 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida International | 29c | 3,223$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.42 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc2…b145backed Missouri State | 64c | 3,125$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,125 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Florida International | 39c | 3,000$1,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,170 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd063…e5b5backed Missouri State | 60c | 2,900$1,754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…151fbacked Missouri State | 63c | 2,783$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,029.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Florida International | 37c | 2,706$1,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,003.43 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Missouri State | 79c | 2,584$2,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.1 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a3…33dbbacked Missouri State | 63c | 2,360$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$873.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Florida International | 37c | 2,250$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.62 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4534…f867backed Missouri State | 72c | 2,055$1,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.56 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Missouri State | 62c | 2,005$1,243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$761.9 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x733d…1ae7backed Florida International | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 71 | 33.8%24 W · 47 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Florida International | 33c | 1,678$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.37 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d9…e01fbacked Florida International | 42c | 1,500$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627.45 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Missouri State | 60c | 1,500$907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.49 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Florida International | 38c | 1,419$539 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.22 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9665…e721backed Florida International | 40c | 1,400$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +62.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x685d…22d6backed Florida International | 39c | 1,386$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -6.7wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Florida International | 39c | 1,386$541 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.6 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +5.5wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Florida International | 39c | 1,379$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.93 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ea…53e6backed Missouri State | 61c | 1,300$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7292…6bd3backed Florida International | 39c | 1,282$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +35%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Missouri State | 63c | 1,270$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.84 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Florida International | 26c | 1,250$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.41 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Florida International | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Florida International | 38c | 1,200$456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Florida International | 38c | 1,100$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Florida International | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked Florida International | 37c | 1,023$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.51 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fa4…a1bfbacked Missouri State | 62c | 1,016$631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.03 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75c4…4cd0backed Missouri State | 60c | 1,000$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb42…0b87backed Missouri State | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1520…378fbacked Missouri State | 62c | 960.31$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.92 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Florida International | 32c | 956.49$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…bd86backed Florida International | 37c | 879.97$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.59 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.6wins | -0.22per pick | 41cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4d96…7115backed Florida International | 39c | 800$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4b…ab60backed Florida International | 38c | 789.47$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2267…58afbacked Missouri State | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.25 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +59.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Florida International | 39c | 762$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.18 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffa…2b7dbacked Florida International | 37c | 756.76$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Florida International | 39c | 742$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.38 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Florida International | 36c | 700$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9844…5e6cbacked Missouri State | 63c | 700$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2232…f6fabacked Missouri State | 71c | 600$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed Florida International | 37c | 599.99$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Missouri State | 61c | 500$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Florida International | 37c | 500$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce97…6fc0backed Florida International | 39c | 500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Missouri State | 59c | 499.99$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Florida International | 38c | 496$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.8 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcea…e87dbacked Missouri State | 61c | 492.98$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +20%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1918…9568backed Missouri State | 62c | 483.87$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.87 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Florida International | 39c | 472.36$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.08 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9999…9868backed Missouri State | 64c | 437.5$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +76.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x209e…8bb4backed Florida International | 43c | 424.95$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.98 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3505…f7a3backed Missouri State | 60c | 416.67$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.67 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Missouri State | 60c | 409$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.6 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Missouri State | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.3 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Florida International | 31c | 371.25$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.58 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cb…cbfcbacked Florida International | 39c | 358.97$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb9…4734backed Florida International | 5c | 346.97$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 41 | 39%16 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Florida International | 38c | 341.57$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 302 | 53%160 W · 142 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…7650backed Missouri State | 61c | 330$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.7 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Florida International | 42c | 327.1$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.38 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x086d…fe29backed Missouri State | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Florida International | 37c | 309$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.33 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Florida International | 39c | 300$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe215…a3d9backed Florida International | 39c | 300$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Florida International | 37c | 283.78$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f6…db09backed Missouri State | 62c | 260$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7c…08a5backed Florida International | 37c | 260$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Missouri State | 75c | 255$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.71 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…ce49backed Missouri State | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida International vs. Missouri Statethis page
- Florida International vs. Missouri State: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- O/U 50.5Under won
- Spread: Missouri State (-3.5)Missouri State won
- Spread: Missouri State (-4.5)Missouri State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.