College Football · resolved market
O/U 50.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x82198051610fad967c20bc5762a2b81b1869074ad662c4570fea82ebb7e121f2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $48,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 52c | 17,466$9,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,415.67 | 935 | 48.4%453 W · 482 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 8,476$4,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,107.27 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Under | 52c | 7,548$3,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,622.93 | 153 | 52.3%80 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Over | 48c | 6,887$3,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,306.12 | 80 | 40%32 W · 48 L | -5.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x34eb…6225backed Under | 50c | 5,487$2,744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,743.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec97…4e79backed Over | 50c | 5,438$2,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e7…5e5abacked Under | 50c | 4,608$2,304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,304 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 48c | 4,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,920 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Over | 47c | 3,017$1,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,416.57 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Under | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.99 | 385 | 46%177 W · 208 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Over | 48c | 2,500$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 112 | 48.2%54 W · 58 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 50c | 2,320$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.49 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Under | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 178 | 37.6%67 W · 111 L | -12.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Over | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0944…6771backed Over | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -5.0wins | -0.19per pick | 33cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…08e6backed Over | 50c | 865$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc0…0606backed Under | 50c | 862$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$431 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd59e…2cadbacked Under | 50c | 855$428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…5fdcbacked Under | 50c | 851$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa32c…8265backed Under | 50c | 842$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…6a9fbacked Under | 50c | 837$419 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b08…0327backed Under | 50c | 819$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19e3…a38abacked Over | 50c | 817$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb9…0879backed Over | 50c | 815$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5029…318abacked Over | 50c | 810$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Over | 48c | 800$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f7…b623backed Over | 50c | 754$377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$377 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…4542backed Over | 50c | 728$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd292…5070backed Over | 50c | 685$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacb3…a6d1backed Over | 50c | 682$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf21…e23ebacked Over | 50c | 681$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd57…2d2ebacked Over | 50c | 678$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x219f…b6c4backed Over | 50c | 653$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb11a…d8e1backed Over | 50c | 653$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0077…559cbacked Over | 50c | 651$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7da…981fbacked Over | 50c | 578$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e1…dcf6backed Under | 51c | 550$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9f…ab58backed Over | 49c | 550$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Over | 49c | 470$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.3 | 147 | 43.5%64 W · 83 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Over | 48c | 467.38$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.34 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb08c…9b35backed Under | 50c | 372$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1321…2286backed Over | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff0…73fdbacked Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Over | 47c | 45.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x11b7…9c83backed Over | 50c | 45$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3db3…09a3backed Over | 49c | 41.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.2 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 148 | 36.5%54 W · 94 L | -11.5wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff9…ce7abacked Under | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…ec0dbacked Over | 49c | 24.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.82 | 89 | 42.7%38 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- O/U 50.5this page
- Florida International vs. Missouri StateMissouri State won
- Florida International vs. Missouri State: 1H O/U 24.5Over won
- Spread: Missouri State (-3.5)Missouri State won
- Spread: Missouri State (-4.5)Missouri State won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.