TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Gabriel Diallo vs Alex de Minaur

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Minaurof Diallo, Minaur
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$143,952
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$150,992

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $143,952 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 170 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xee76…e67abacked Minaur78c6,421$5,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,412.551586.7%13 W · 2 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick66cpaid+26.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x066e…ceb2backed Diallo22c6,317$1,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,399.3415436.4%56 W · 98 L+6.7wins+0.04per pick32cpaid+23.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x172a…6502backed Diallo24c4,800$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,152475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Diallo22c4,500$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.9617823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7376…4f46backed Diallo24c4,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$960425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-64.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf7d…c233backed Diallo24c4,000$945 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$945560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Minaur76c3,924$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923.975448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Diallo24c3,837$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.1116644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Diallo31c3,247$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0007152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6c54…da75backed Minaur79c2,987$2,370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.144955.1%27 W · 22 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x69c9…d0d7backed Diallo23c2,550$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.5450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Diallo20c2,533$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.712,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c1b…89d0backed Minaur76c2,500$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Minaur76c2,387$1,808 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$578.368,15245.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L+155.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Diallo26c2,269$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5806530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfe3e…7909backed Minaur76c2,200$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$528475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick65cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ad3…4144backed Minaur76c2,200$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5284100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Minaur55c2,000$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90066649.5%330 W · 336 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Diallo22c2,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4407226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x84db…0c28backed Minaur76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4804100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfaea…b079backed Diallo9c2,000$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1803426.5%9 W · 25 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick22cpaid-11.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Minaur65c2,000$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7003857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Diallo3c1,925$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2522840.4%92 W · 136 L-0.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1fe…98a5backed Minaur76c1,800$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb984…03febacked Minaur76c1,800$1,368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4324100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3745…cf3bbacked Diallo24c1,766$424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$423.781942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+119%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x877e…b283backed Diallo36c1,647$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592.421127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick41cpaid-23.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Diallo31c1,529$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.529245.7%42 W · 50 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Minaur77c1,504$1,158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34620653.4%110 W · 96 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf27b…39edbacked Minaur76c1,500$1,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3604100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Diallo25c1,490$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.525722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb045…a264backed Minaur77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322580%4 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.24per pick56cpaid+46.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8412…31ddbacked Minaur77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick67cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459d…6a27backed Diallo23c1,400$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc855…0eebbacked Diallo23c1,400$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc490…b6debacked Minaur77c1,400$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3223100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+72%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc643…1a02backed Diallo23c1,400$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32240%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Diallo24c1,400$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.4844125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a6d…67c3backed Minaur77c1,300$1,001 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick57cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb517…15d7backed Diallo23c1,300$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9df4…8ca6backed Diallo24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-33.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Minaur75c1,088$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.681,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa9e8…c443backed Minaur68c1,059$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.84333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick74cpaid-51%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Minaur73c1,034$756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.6711,32543.4%4,912 W · 6,413 L+18.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Minaur76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24059151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c3d…3b84backed Minaur77c1,000$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$230540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Minaur65c1,000$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3507276.4%55 W · 17 L+6.1wins+0.08per pick68cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Minaur76c1,000$760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24010060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Diallo22c999.99$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2208530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Minaur44c971$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.7624741.7%103 W · 144 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+16.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x18d2…7b83backed Minaur78c960.1$749 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.221060%6 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe235…aba2backed Minaur75c944.47$708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.12850%4 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-30%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x85e2…0980backed Diallo35c879$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303.8614546.2%67 W · 78 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Diallo29c836.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.9857645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b03…624fbacked Minaur77c800$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Diallo22c799.99$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick26cpaid+41.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Diallo45c772.57$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.26per pick42cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a0f…cb2abacked Minaur77c750$578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.5450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Diallo31c674.07$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.965064%32 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+14.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7058…26b2backed Minaur75c667$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.75955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…09c9backed Diallo26c666.69$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.141338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-43.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7355…9443backed Minaur68c633.94$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.862147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2475…5f8cbacked Diallo17c612.61$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.331931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad10…c665backed Minaur80c608.74$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.886752.2%35 W · 32 L+3.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Minaur77c539.66$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.851,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6919…d27bbacked Diallo5c500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-40%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Minaur50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25019131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Diallo25c499.97$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.9929636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x412a…802cbacked Diallo24c485$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.47149.3%35 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe644…1dffbacked Diallo24c462.97$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-66.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf24b…261cbacked Minaur78c460.37$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.321154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20eb…0bddbacked Diallo48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbbf5…e611backed Diallo27c397$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.662729.6%8 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Minaur54c369.49$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.494955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Diallo41c350.74$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.5411943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc950…ad4ebacked Diallo31c317.66$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick19cpaid-85%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Diallo32c312.5$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1240…3a3fbacked Minaur66c302.2$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-23.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x18f6…b00bbacked Minaur77c300$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698565.9%56 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick67cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b32…3f5fbacked Diallo16c284.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.83710.8%4 W · 33 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick17cpaid-58.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf744…7392backed Minaur71c279.73$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.7312253.3%65 W · 57 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-10.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x897d…686ebacked Diallo19c263.16$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2aa2…4d22backed Minaur74c257$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.828256.1%46 W · 36 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3d6…ebefbacked Diallo26c257$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.82633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Diallo20c251$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011533.9%39 W · 76 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+16.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2366…1078backed Diallo30c234.08$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Diallo20c200.02$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406147.5%29 W · 32 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Diallo26c192.31$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5088446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Minaur71c184.11$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1149749.9%248 W · 249 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a3…ae13backed Minaur78c178.53$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.534955.1%27 W · 22 L-4.6wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Diallo31c170$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.75862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb406…ebaabacked Diallo30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Diallo19c166$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.761,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb094…bf7fbacked Minaur65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.855127.5%14 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.09per pick18cpaid+19.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Minaur68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065076%38 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Diallo8c145.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.291,18848.9%581 W · 607 L+10.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Minaur69c145.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.292050%10 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8545…da3bbacked Minaur70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.861258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x101c…7df8backed Minaur71c140$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.6728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.31per pick59cpaid-59.5%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Minaur73c136.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.993865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.