TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Rolex Paris Masters: Francisco Cerundolo vs Miomir Kecmanovic

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Cerundoloof Cerundolo, Kecmanovic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$256,891

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,518 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 162 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Cerundolo64c42,847$27,361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,486.687857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Kecmanovic35c34,841$12,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,194.2214345.5%65 W · 78 L+7.8wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+0.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Kecmanovic30c9,182$2,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,795.6716644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Cerundolo61c8,571$5,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,305.978,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Cerundolo62c6,292$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,378.542,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Kecmanovic30c4,423$1,330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,330.23336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc2…b145backed Cerundolo68c2,931$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$931.12100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+61%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Kecmanovic41c2,352$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.6111,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Kecmanovic41c2,265$924 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$924.156,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd123…d341backed Kecmanovic36c2,043$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$743.3624841.5%103 W · 145 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd311…cc81backed Cerundolo67c1,852$1,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$611.16475%3 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.35per pick40cpaid+113.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0f7b…a05abacked Kecmanovic33c1,738$574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6de9…da80backed Cerundolo67c1,738$1,164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.54450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+20.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3c8…6719backed Kecmanovic33c1,667$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$550.11333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Cerundolo60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$666.675448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Kecmanovic36c1,629$581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$581.4625722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe766…404dbacked Kecmanovic32c1,543$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.917342.5%31 W · 42 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Kecmanovic33c1,489$491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.581,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7197…14c8backed Kecmanovic46c1,465$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.447152.1%37 W · 34 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed Cerundolo70c1,355$954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.515362.3%33 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2e0a…f92dbacked Cerundolo67c1,244$833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.52475%3 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+65.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe841…2edebacked Kecmanovic32c1,200$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-11%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5ba9…59cbbacked Cerundolo70c1,200$834 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbcb9…4734backed Kecmanovic43c1,046$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.2611943.7%52 W · 67 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Kecmanovic38c1,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38057645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Kecmanovic25c999.99$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25066949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c0e…0d8cbacked Kecmanovic33c934$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad5b…4c00backed Kecmanovic34c918$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.12425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-67.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8de5…e957backed Kecmanovic34c882.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3009452.1%49 W · 45 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-13.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ef5…325ebacked Cerundolo70c860$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2609961.6%61 W · 38 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Kecmanovic31c859.19$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.2965242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Cerundolo63c831.56$528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$303.832,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Cerundolo51c781.42$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.5828833.3%96 W · 192 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Cerundolo55c751.35$413 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.112128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Kecmanovic33c724.99$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.4543042.8%184 W · 246 L-8.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Kecmanovic30c711.15$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.3417823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f0c…c9ebbacked Kecmanovic32c610$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee38…7920backed Kecmanovic43c600$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2581546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x641f…942bbacked Cerundolo47c600$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3189257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2037…1a42backed Cerundolo68c560$381 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3278…9cd4backed Cerundolo68c555$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-22.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1547…404bbacked Kecmanovic33c551$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.83250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Cerundolo64c538.6$347 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.688446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5916…8d4fbacked Cerundolo67c530$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.25862.1%36 W · 22 L+3.8wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+32.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9821…1cfbbacked Cerundolo67c517$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.61250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x167c…a88bbacked Kecmanovic6c510.08$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.581717.6%3 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick29cpaid-47.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xba1d…9ee2backed Kecmanovic32c505$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.6333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Kecmanovic30c504.98$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.9175547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Kecmanovic42c499.99$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21081938.9%319 W · 500 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7b…2b86backed Kecmanovic20c493.06$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.16425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-41.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Cerundolo58c487.27$283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.6538348%184 W · 199 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Kecmanovic31c485.2$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.844125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x120a…6456backed Cerundolo64c479.62$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.75728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick56cpaid-50.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Cerundolo79c475$374 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.3323852.1%124 W · 114 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Kecmanovic17c466.08$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805225%13 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x58af…2b95backed Cerundolo67c457$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.81250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-25.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c3d…3b84backed Cerundolo68c451$307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-44.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x500e…5822backed Cerundolo57c438.6$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.6785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.7wins+0.39per pick47cpaid+87.5%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x69c9…d0d7backed Kecmanovic32c430$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick42cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b03…624fbacked Kecmanovic32c421$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$134.72475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8886…3913backed Kecmanovic38c417.95$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1593228.1%9 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a0f…cb2abacked Cerundolo68c400$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-30.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Cerundolo53c375.22$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.2243158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Cerundolo54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.374628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Kecmanovic32c349.13$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.472,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Cerundolo60c334.17$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.178243.9%36 W · 46 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed Cerundolo51c300$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14740141.9%168 W · 233 L+9.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Cerundolo68c292.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.1246556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Cerundolo68c272$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.044751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef13…53d2backed Kecmanovic19c261.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5025043.2%108 W · 142 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bf4…952ebacked Kecmanovic38c255$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.93855.3%21 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+24.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8330…b3b1backed Kecmanovic41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10037233.9%126 W · 246 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Kecmanovic37c221.62$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.9269249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x875c…d3e8backed Cerundolo64c211.36$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.3610250%51 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Cerundolo53c208.98$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.6917442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e9c…ab80backed Cerundolo61c208.4$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.283534.3%12 W · 23 L-1.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5be…46cebacked Kecmanovic6c203.43$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.141915.8%3 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick17cpaid-48.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba06…0004backed Cerundolo54c200$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9215151%77 W · 74 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa234…f7ebbacked Kecmanovic45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5339…9da3backed Cerundolo78c199.99$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.286470%605 W · 259 L+43.2wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x742f…d673backed Kecmanovic43c198$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8543948.5%213 W · 226 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x34c7…66a3backed Cerundolo57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.441258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec12…8372backed Cerundolo69c168.12$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.121560%9 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe006…b06dbacked Cerundolo58c165$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.31172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.21per pick52cpaid+34.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Cerundolo61c164.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.09742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-19.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed Kecmanovic31c158.21$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.7218241.8%76 W · 106 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x61c1…0513backed Cerundolo64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.251,28760.7%781 W · 506 L-21.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5448…a12bbacked Cerundolo64c156.25$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.25250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb406…ebaabacked Cerundolo65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.851163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7b3…cda9backed Kecmanovic10c153.62$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.91425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2475…5f8cbacked Kecmanovic33c152.28$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-49.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x647d…3cd9backed Kecmanovic31c150$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.55358.5%31 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+24.8%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfe9d…5eb1backed Cerundolo47c150$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.54955.1%27 W · 22 L+5.9wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2fa7…04bfbacked Cerundolo51c146.08$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.126949.3%34 W · 35 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x652f…e2afbacked Cerundolo69c144.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.932560%15 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Cerundolo70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.864351.2%22 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67dd…6fcebacked Cerundolo80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255076%38 W · 12 L+7.7wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+28.6%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Cerundolo58c120.69$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.694153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd02a…c712backed Kecmanovic32c120.59$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.097432.4%24 W · 50 L-7.5wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-27.6%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Kecmanovic30c111$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.35831%18 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.