Tennis · resolved market
Prudential Hong Kong Tennis Open: Alexandra Eala vs Katie Boulter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27ddf5a28fa874df300c23fae61bef22fcc80d0fc1a9e6158174db823ad03a56
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ealaof Eala, Boulter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,556
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Eala | 60c | 3,667$2,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,479.23 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Boulter | 43c | 2,984$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,281.33 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Boulter | 36c | 2,500$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Eala | 72c | 1,983$1,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Boulter | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 443 | 60%266 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Boulter | 40c | 1,355$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.42 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd595…b30bbacked Boulter | 33c | 1,183$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.24 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68b5…b56fbacked Boulter | 52c | 950.98$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.51 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -4.1wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Boulter | 37c | 853.14$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.53 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdad2…98c6backed Eala | 74c | 816.32$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2b…8296backed Boulter | 55c | 756$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b4…2180backed Eala | 45c | 756$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Eala | 48c | 752.98$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.55 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Boulter | 23c | 735$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.11 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Eala | 63c | 631.22$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.68 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Eala | 53c | 622$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.13 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Eala | 68c | 592.25$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.92 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x106b…4e8bbacked Boulter | 51c | 566.86$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8886…3913backed Boulter | 52c | 386.44$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.95 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Eala | 59c | 300$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +5.4wins | +0.25per pick | 39cpaid | +56.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x11bc…d9fabacked Boulter | 5c | 280$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa40…8b4fbacked Eala | 59c | 214.02$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.77 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5744…9093backed Eala | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…0513backed Eala | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 1,287 | 60.7%781 W · 506 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba0…ff3abacked Boulter | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 431 | 58.2%251 W · 180 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Eala | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9494…308abacked Boulter | 47c | 158.09$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.3 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Eala | 50c | 157.1$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.62 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Boulter | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd891…7341backed Eala | 63c | 136.55$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.94 | 121 | 61.2%74 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Eala | 78c | 128.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.22 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Boulter | 48c | 125$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Eala | 67c | 112.35$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Boulter | 10c | 110$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…ab82backed Boulter | 51c | 107.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Boulter | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1388…339abacked Eala | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 227 | 37.4%85 W · 142 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Eala | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Eala | 48c | 98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 158 | 32.3%51 W · 107 L | -13.6wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Eala | 55c | 94.93$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.67 | 731 | 47.9%350 W · 381 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfc2…9691backed Eala | 43c | 88$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b72…602bbacked Boulter | 57c | 88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Eala | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf96d…842cbacked Eala | 78c | 64.1$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Boulter | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 497 | 49.9%248 W · 249 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a4f…c4f2backed Boulter | 21c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 331 | 34.7%115 W · 216 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Boulter | 24c | 57.14$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Eala | 48c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 496 | 32.3%160 W · 336 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e5…5a2cbacked Boulter | 46c | 49.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf112…21ebbacked Boulter | 47c | 46.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 138 | 64.5%89 W · 49 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Boulter | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 749 | 61.8%463 W · 286 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0338…4f11backed Boulter | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 52.3%69 W · 63 L | +12.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4a1…4799backed Boulter | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…2bccbacked Boulter | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5385…fb59backed Eala | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…e345backed Boulter | 50c | 38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Eala | 67c | 37.31$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x096a…b22bbacked Boulter | 46c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.87 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f0…43d0backed Eala | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08b…9a7dbacked Eala | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5be4…f39cbacked Eala | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x916d…bbdcbacked Eala | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.