College Football · resolved market
James Madison vs. Texas State
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xafd143b571ca0cd7b638ad4de379aa564854e0e0c0235f879795ac982cc1920f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- James Madisonof James Madison, Texas State
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- College Footballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $211,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $165,382
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $211,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in College Football is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in College Football | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed James Madison | 72c | 24,089$17,344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,745.03 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked James Madison | 72c | 20,084$14,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,680.38 | 684 | 40.8%279 W · 405 L | -10.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x132a…abe8backed Texas State | 14c | 19,446$2,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,798.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed James Madison | 71c | 14,123$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,123.3 | 193 | 62.2%120 W · 73 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce9…03e9backed Texas State | 0c | 13,880$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.75 | 49 | 0%0 W · 49 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Texas State | 30c | 13,484$4,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,027.62 | 71 | 26.8%19 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Texas State | 27c | 10,739$2,922 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.57 | 756 | 51.9%392 W · 364 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5646…3819backed Texas State | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,800 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -59.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…fed6backed Texas State | 29c | 9,767$2,832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,832.4 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.25per pick | 39cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…cdaabacked Texas State | 27c | 9,716$2,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,623.26 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb2f…eca9backed Texas State | 29c | 7,980$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.22 | 95 | 40%38 W · 57 L | -6.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed James Madison | 70c | 6,993$4,895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.9 | 342 | 50.3%172 W · 170 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Texas State | 1c | 6,830$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.59 | 79 | 0%0 W · 79 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Texas State | 28c | 6,200$1,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,766 | 381 | 42.5%162 W · 219 L | -10.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Texas State | 0c | 6,120$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.17 | 136 | 0%0 W · 136 L | -8.6wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Texas State | 28c | 6,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 526 | 41.8%220 W · 306 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Texas State | 28c | 5,253$1,495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,495.37 | 256 | 29.3%75 W · 181 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Texas State | 6c | 4,911$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.25 | 862 | 43.7%377 W · 485 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Texas State | 5c | 3,909$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.83 | 648 | 41.2%267 W · 381 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Texas State | 3c | 3,419$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 405 | 41.2%167 W · 238 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Texas State | 19c | 3,053$571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.08 | 402 | 44.8%180 W · 222 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Texas State | 23c | 3,035$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.2 | 174 | 43.7%76 W · 98 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Texas State | 0c | 2,950$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 69 | 4.3%3 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Texas State | 29c | 2,857$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.85 | 1,090 | 41.7%455 W · 635 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Texas State | 29c | 2,579$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.26 | 2,013 | 49.6%999 W · 1,014 L | +24.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Texas State | 28c | 2,500$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 399 | 54.1%216 W · 183 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked James Madison | 70c | 2,314$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.2 | 818 | 47.9%392 W · 426 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb40…a284backed Texas State | 31c | 2,250$694 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$694.11 | 345 | 29.9%103 W · 242 L | -21.6wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Texas State | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Texas State | 3c | 1,587$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.61 | 632 | 43.7%276 W · 356 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +138.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed Texas State | 29c | 1,428$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$409.18 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked James Madison | 72c | 1,389$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.89 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed James Madison | 79c | 1,315$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.89 | 105 | 55.2%58 W · 47 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Texas State | 29c | 1,200$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.34 | 471 | 31.4%148 W · 323 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Texas State | 29c | 1,148$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.45 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00d6…aa44backed Texas State | 28c | 1,072$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.15 | 127 | 18.9%24 W · 103 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Texas State | 5c | 1,042$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 215 | 38.6%83 W · 132 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Texas State | 4c | 895.44$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 628 | 43.6%274 W · 354 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Texas State | 29c | 806.92$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.1 | 503 | 58.1%292 W · 211 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Texas State | 6c | 764.88$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Texas State | 29c | 734.87$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.11 | 157 | 51%80 W · 77 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked James Madison | 70c | 714.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.29 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Texas State | 29c | 700.02$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.57 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed James Madison | 71c | 690.19$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.16 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dd4…1b50backed James Madison | 70c | 675$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 207 | 57.5%119 W · 88 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Texas State | 10c | 623.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.7 | 553 | 50.3%278 W · 275 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370e…ad0fbacked James Madison | 71c | 422.54$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.54 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.8wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe95a…87f6backed James Madison | 76c | 389.92$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.69 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Texas State | 28c | 350$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.5 | 176 | 34.7%61 W · 115 L | +11.6wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Texas State | 9c | 285.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 859 | 47.7%410 W · 449 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x298c…3e58backed Texas State | 31c | 212.9$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed Texas State | 30c | 207.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 216 | 29.2%63 W · 153 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb36…9545backed Texas State | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 169 | 45.6%77 W · 92 L | +9.3wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e70…0d1bbacked Texas State | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Texas State | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 280 | 32.9%92 W · 188 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…b567backed Texas State | 7c | 197.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…264abacked Texas State | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Texas State | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 13cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Texas State | 29c | 150$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.5 | 184 | 16.8%31 W · 153 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…fbfabacked James Madison | 70c | 143$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.9 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d9…274ebacked James Madison | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc1…4c21backed James Madison | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x718a…5d86backed James Madison | 72c | 139$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.92 | 26 | 92.3%24 W · 2 L | +5.1wins | +0.20per pick | 73cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Texas State | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 24cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Texas State | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Texas State | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86a9…a074backed James Madison | 69c | 116.53$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.12 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…d0b8backed James Madison | 70c | 110$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x598f…44c4backed Texas State | 30c | 110$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c80…b91fbacked James Madison | 71c | 110$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.9 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a91…cfb4backed Texas State | 30c | 103$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…6a24backed James Madison | 70c | 103$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed James Madison | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 73 | 57.5%42 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe060…c21cbacked Texas State | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaea…b079backed Texas State | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Texas State | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 422 | 44.5%188 W · 234 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8729…2a71backed Texas State | 31c | 89.87$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68a…5e25backed Texas State | 21c | 89$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x736a…5522backed Texas State | 31c | 88.03$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9334…32dabacked James Madison | 70c | 85.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 188 | 68.1%128 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e2…d6b3backed Texas State | 31c | 82.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf45e…ecd3backed Texas State | 31c | 77.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x604a…8379backed James Madison | 72c | 74.93$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.98 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 70cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b29…efa9backed Texas State | 31c | 74.81$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x519f…624dbacked Texas State | 31c | 73.74$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.86 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30a…f660backed Texas State | 31c | 69.48$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb1…4df1backed James Madison | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 58cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x585f…c774backed Texas State | 31c | 67.06$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Texas State | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -15.7wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b3c…ffc7backed Texas State | 32c | 62.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e57…a403backed Texas State | 31c | 61.13$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…9088backed Texas State | 31c | 59.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3153…db52backed Texas State | 31c | 58.1$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe530…a2cabacked James Madison | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed James Madison | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…a14fbacked Texas State | 31c | 55.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d24…d9a2backed James Madison | 70c | 51.53$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea6…e76cbacked Texas State | 31c | 51.26$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…9564backed Texas State | 31c | 50.81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3a…cf9bbacked Texas State | 31c | 50.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in College Football and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- James Madison vs. Texas Statethis page
- James Madison vs. Texas State: 1H MoneylineJames Madison won
- O/U 55.5Over won
- Spread: James Madison (-6.5)James Madison won
- Spread: James Madison (-7.5)James Madison won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.