NBA · resolved market
Knicks vs. Bucks
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x667b34ac8ad5edbbeaa2f7aa55807db80844023812631d78929e36b376736e30
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bucksof Knicks, Bucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,006,169
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,091,589
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,006,169 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 515 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Bucks | 47c | 91,276$42,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,800.67 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Knicks | 41c | 80,000$32,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,399.99 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Knicks | 32c | 75,000$24,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,000 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Bucks | 68c | 66,604$45,291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,313.4 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Bucks | 46c | 54,207$24,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,301.18 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Bucks | 62c | 34,758$21,688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,070.07 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Knicks | 47c | 28,306$13,246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,245.56 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Bucks | 47c | 25,833$12,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,691.71 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f7…f63dbacked Knicks | 54c | 24,700$13,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,338 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x576d…767dbacked Bucks | 46c | 24,683$11,354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,328.74 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Bucks | 46c | 23,782$11,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,724.31 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Knicks | 54c | 23,705$12,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,901.63 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Bucks | 49c | 23,156$11,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,795.37 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Knicks | 54c | 21,058$11,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,271.01 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Knicks | 54c | 20,002$10,789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,788.68 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4667…cab0backed Bucks | 54c | 14,796$8,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,754.72 | 133 | 55.6%74 W · 59 L | +8.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Bucks | 70c | 14,287$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,287.29 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Knicks | 54c | 12,963$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,000 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Knicks | 54c | 12,814$6,957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,956.53 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bucks | 49c | 11,506$5,693 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,813.35 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Bucks | 32c | 10,000$3,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,850.01 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Knicks | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,300 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Knicks | 5c | 10,000$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.22 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Knicks | 54c | 9,999$5,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,399.46 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Knicks | 42c | 8,970$3,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,740.5 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Knicks | 54c | 8,888$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,799.52 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Knicks | 55c | 7,677$4,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,185.29 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Knicks | 53c | 7,155$3,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,791.91 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa447…cc98backed Knicks | 57c | 6,243$3,564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,564 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +77.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfecb…19babacked Bucks | 46c | 5,936$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,205.47 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Knicks | 41c | 5,609$2,326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.95 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…232fbacked Knicks | 55c | 5,455$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd73b…70adbacked Knicks | 54c | 5,161$2,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,787 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Knicks | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,700 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd042…6b3fbacked Knicks | 67c | 4,940$3,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,299.11 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Knicks | 45c | 4,537$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.86 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Knicks | 53c | 4,175$2,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,215.83 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Bucks | 53c | 4,057$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,914.39 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Bucks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Knicks | 55c | 3,989$2,192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,192.19 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Knicks | 54c | 3,704$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Bucks | 45c | 3,630$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,996.5 | 303 | 51.8%157 W · 146 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Knicks | 53c | 3,604$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.16 | 176 | 37.5%66 W · 110 L | -16.3wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Bucks | 48c | 3,406$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,770.57 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Bucks | 46c | 3,386$1,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,845.03 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Knicks | 54c | 3,120$1,671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670.58 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Bucks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d2…86fdbacked Bucks | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,620 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Knicks | 53c | 2,830$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.87 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…4541backed Knicks | 58c | 2,744$1,580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,580 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.9wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Bucks | 32c | 2,679$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,828.65 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc30b…1b6dbacked Bucks | 47c | 2,633$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.01 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Knicks | 52c | 2,562$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,332.27 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Knicks | 34c | 2,320$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.7 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked Knicks | 53c | 2,268$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.04 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc478…59bdbacked Knicks | 4c | 2,210$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.8 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +5.1wins | +0.18per pick | 17cpaid | +130.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Bucks | 52c | 2,205$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,062.85 | 853 | 44%375 W · 478 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Bucks | 52c | 2,181$1,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,046.87 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Knicks | 54c | 2,157$1,166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165.61 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69e9…dee1backed Knicks | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | -6.0wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Bucks | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,040 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Bucks | 45c | 1,856$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.58 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Knicks | 37c | 1,825$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.8 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks | 55c | 1,808$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$992.87 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe224…6e71backed Bucks | 46c | 1,739$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.13 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 43cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Knicks | 52c | 1,735$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.24 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Bucks | 46c | 1,700$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$925 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Bucks | 34c | 1,671$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.18 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Knicks | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Knicks | 51c | 1,576$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Knicks | 52c | 1,469$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$769.4 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…67b0backed Knicks | 55c | 1,375$753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$753.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +90.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Bucks | 44c | 1,355$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.71 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e3…cda8backed Knicks | 54c | 1,296$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84db…aeebbacked Knicks | 56c | 1,283$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.71 | 1,374 | 50.1%689 W · 685 L | +34.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Bucks | 44c | 1,250$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$702.5 | 66 | 59.1%39 W · 27 L | +6.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Knicks | 44c | 1,153$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a44…8c63backed Knicks | 55c | 1,118$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$615 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b01…0aa5backed Knicks | 14c | 1,081$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.4 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Knicks | 53c | 1,065$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.5 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9f…f6a3backed Knicks | 55c | 1,022$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Bucks | 49c | 1,016$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.84 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb7…082dbacked Bucks | 49c | 1,014$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.77 | 132 | 50%66 W · 66 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Knicks | 53c | 1,005$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.44 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Bucks | 46c | 1,000$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.02 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Knicks | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Knicks | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.99 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Knicks | 43c | 999$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.57 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab89…aa9bbacked Bucks | 57c | 983.28$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$422.81 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Knicks | 33c | 966.82$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.42 | 597 | 43.6%260 W · 337 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6be…c2f8backed Knicks | 38c | 948.78$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360.54 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd1…ca22backed Knicks | 53c | 933.42$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Bucks | 59c | 933$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.34 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc93…8afbbacked Bucks | 56c | 927.86$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.66 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.25per pick | 46cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…5696backed Knicks | 48c | 922.11$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.51 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8525…bdbabacked Knicks | 42c | 906.06$382 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$382.43 | 129 | 41.1%53 W · 76 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Bucks | 74c | 898.5$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.81 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Bucks | 23c | 869.57$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.57 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Bucks | 25c | 865.05$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.54 | 701 | 53.5%375 W · 326 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Knicks vs. Bucksthis page
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 228.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 229.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 230.5Over won
- Knicks vs. Bucks: O/U 231.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-1.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Knicks (-2.5)Bucks won
- Spread: Knicks (-3.5)Bucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.