NBA · resolved market
Lakers vs. Grizzlies
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe8878d5aeef27514db8b4d9a15b7bc28b51a271f3d97a3d0132d18f928831ba4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lakersof Lakers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,024,046
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,059,406
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,024,046 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,073 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3987…259ebacked Grizzlies | 47c | 728,329$340,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340,624.89 | 80 | 22.5%18 W · 62 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Lakers | 53c | 629,900$330,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298,909.1 | 88 | 43.2%38 W · 50 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -19%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…1556backed Lakers | 79c | 368,274$292,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76,223.81 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3657…6b14backed Grizzlies | 48c | 346,251$165,968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165,968 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Lakers | 54c | 151,391$81,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,203.89 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Lakers | 28c | 146,050$41,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104,497 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Lakers | 48c | 137,407$66,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70,861.17 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Grizzlies | 4c | 66,096$2,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.71 | 270 | 41.5%112 W · 158 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Lakers | 55c | 52,172$28,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,299.79 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Lakers | 53c | 49,331$25,974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,356.92 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Lakers | 29c | 45,406$13,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,353.88 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Lakers | 30c | 45,314$13,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,848.36 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Grizzlies | 0c | 45,000$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Lakers | 53c | 42,989$22,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,204.9 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Grizzlies | 54c | 40,162$21,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,755.08 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Lakers | 54c | 39,244$21,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,960.4 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lakers | 52c | 38,126$19,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,362.58 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Grizzlies | 74c | 37,915$27,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,875.59 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x821d…0a01backed Lakers | 56c | 34,670$19,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,304.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Grizzlies | 44c | 32,167$14,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,250.5 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Lakers | 52c | 30,000$15,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,400 | 375 | 57.6%216 W · 159 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Lakers | 52c | 29,941$15,630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,310.28 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Lakers | 45c | 26,586$11,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,595.15 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe47c…3afabacked Lakers | 51c | 25,974$13,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,698.19 | 233 | 42.9%100 W · 133 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Grizzlies | 56c | 25,000$14,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,000 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c8…fed1backed Lakers | 54c | 21,670$11,795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,875.33 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ed7…e617backed Lakers | 53c | 21,639$11,473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,166.42 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Lakers | 51c | 20,937$10,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,351.25 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Lakers | 22c | 20,662$4,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,170.59 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18e0…175cbacked Lakers | 49c | 20,419$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,418.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 35cpaid | -70.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Lakers | 52c | 20,122$10,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,695.89 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Lakers | 44c | 20,000$8,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,106.58 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 43c | 19,777$8,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,410.73 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Grizzlies | 79c | 19,073$15,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,041.92 | 596 | 46.1%275 W · 321 L | -16.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Lakers | 50c | 16,973$8,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,477.6 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Grizzlies | 54c | 15,264$8,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,214.42 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc9af…6371backed Grizzlies | 46c | 13,459$6,191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,191 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x78a5…a21dbacked Grizzlies | 49c | 13,078$6,356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,355.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Lakers | 45c | 12,747$5,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,010.97 | 193 | 51.3%99 W · 94 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Lakers | 46c | 11,827$5,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,430.83 | 668 | 53.4%357 W · 311 L | +22.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Grizzlies | 45c | 11,670$5,305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,305.38 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lakers | 45c | 11,206$5,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,160.75 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Grizzlies | 57c | 10,672$6,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,089.92 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Grizzlies | 56c | 10,055$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,645.46 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d7…bef5backed Lakers | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,500 | 259 | 25.9%67 W · 192 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Lakers | 50c | 9,398$4,724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,673.67 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 9,113$4,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,675.84 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Lakers | 52c | 8,054$4,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,870.82 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Grizzlies | 44c | 8,045$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.92 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe887…05cabacked Lakers | 52c | 7,693$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b2…d101backed Lakers | 52c | 7,692$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,692.31 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Grizzlies | 52c | 7,447$3,896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,896.37 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Lakers | 53c | 7,431$3,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,492.57 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…4fdcbacked Lakers | 55c | 7,397$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,328.82 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Grizzlies | 54c | 6,841$3,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,718.69 | 489 | 44.2%216 W · 273 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7fdd…5feabacked Lakers | 53c | 6,605$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,104.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Lakers | 53c | 6,482$3,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.75 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Grizzlies | 43c | 6,250$2,658 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,657.5 | 662 | 50.8%336 W · 326 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f89…d508backed Grizzlies | 66c | 5,824$3,844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,843.77 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Grizzlies | 54c | 5,346$2,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,887.09 | 356 | 51.1%182 W · 174 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Lakers | 53c | 5,158$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.26 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Grizzlies | 48c | 5,096$2,468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,467.92 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | -8.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Grizzlies | 58c | 5,080$2,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,961.14 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 5,050$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,517.09 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe7…2f3cbacked Lakers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff36…e757backed Lakers | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x935d…151fbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 4,568$2,454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,454.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a7…d3abbacked Lakers | 41c | 4,448$1,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,605.51 | 200 | 34%68 W · 132 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Lakers | 52c | 4,341$2,257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,083.5 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf22c…9050backed Lakers | 26c | 4,167$1,083 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,083.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Lakers | 66c | 4,128$2,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,394.58 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…edb3backed Lakers | 51c | 4,100$2,086 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,014 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36d6…7f41backed Lakers | 46c | 4,052$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,188.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Grizzlies | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e8…731cbacked Lakers | 72c | 3,813$2,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.8 | 72 | 55.6%40 W · 32 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c0…722ebacked Grizzlies | 80c | 3,736$2,989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,988.79 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Lakers | 45c | 3,600$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 453 | 48.1%218 W · 235 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9794…1d5fbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 3,571$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 63cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Grizzlies | 48c | 3,500$1,685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.01 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bd8…aeabbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 3,500$1,597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,597.5 | 309 | 47.6%147 W · 162 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc172…47cbbacked Grizzlies | 46c | 3,273$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc94…dfbcbacked Lakers | 45c | 3,200$1,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddc…2e64backed Grizzlies | 56c | 3,200$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.33 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae5…53c8backed Lakers | 50c | 3,120$1,571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,548.52 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -6.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x075f…f783backed Grizzlies | 80c | 3,030$2,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,424 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Lakers | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Lakers | 52c | 2,747$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,326.09 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Lakers | 34c | 2,709$908 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,800.5 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc631…9655backed Lakers | 62c | 2,700$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,685$1,467 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,466.63 | 155 | 49.7%77 W · 78 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Lakers | 46c | 2,500$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,357 | 841 | 50.3%423 W · 418 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,420$1,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,230.19 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e78…4d28backed Lakers | 21c | 2,381$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,880.95 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…1654backed Lakers | 53c | 2,362$1,249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,113.14 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 2,200$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.99 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc31…4a51backed Lakers | 55c | 2,146$1,180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.53 | 130 | 63.8%83 W · 47 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb875…68a8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 2,145$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,179.5 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,033$1,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$964.99 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Grizzlies | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Lakers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lakers vs. Grizzliesthis page
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: 1H MoneylineGrizzlies won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 233.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 234.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 235.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 236.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 238.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 239.5Under won
- Lakers vs. Grizzlies: O/U 240.5Under won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-2.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-4.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Grizzlies (-5.5)Lakers won
- Spread: Lakers (-1.5)Lakers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.