TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Golden Knights, Hurricanes
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$312,537
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$316,763

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $312,537 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 223 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4ffd…eb94backed Hurricanes0c155,730$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.7340%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Hurricanes57c26,316$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,999.971,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights43c25,000$10,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,25042552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x73f1…95e2backed Hurricanes64c13,790$8,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,825.640%0 W · 4 L-2.5wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x934e…ec2bbacked Golden Knights36c13,790$4,964 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,825.64100%4 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+186.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Golden Knights43c12,000$5,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,84010352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Hurricanes58c11,388$6,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,605.1921652.3%113 W · 103 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc996…bb65backed Golden Knights40c8,060$3,222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,838.768746%40 W · 47 L+5.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+26.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb2ab…f2c3backed Hurricanes55c7,500$4,124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,1243354.5%18 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x08a4…5c3fbacked Golden Knights44c5,748$2,502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,246.1730551.5%157 W · 148 L+10.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Hurricanes57c5,742$3,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,266.6530848.4%149 W · 159 L-8.9wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Hurricanes58c5,449$3,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,145.1941246.4%191 W · 221 L-24.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-12.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x64b5…7543backed Golden Knights42c5,000$2,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,90014253.5%76 W · 66 L+9.9wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+15.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights41c2,539$1,041 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,497.841,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Golden Knights42c2,381$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.9551045.5%232 W · 278 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes57c2,327$1,326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,326.391,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed61…9aa3backed Hurricanes66c2,237$1,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,465.9958467.5%394 W · 190 L+93.1wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+32.9%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0xd04d…d0e5backed Hurricanes57c2,000$1,137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,137.1997651.6%504 W · 472 L-3.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Golden Knights43c1,848$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.4458841.8%246 W · 342 L-20.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Hurricanes56c1,522$856 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$855.8787447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe42e…8d89backed Hurricanes57c1,270$724 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723.93246.9%15 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Hurricanes60c1,230$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73831848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Golden Knights41c1,200$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights41c1,085$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.051,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Golden Knights42c1,002$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.442,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hurricanes1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc23b…24f9backed Hurricanes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5803154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bf6…5200backed Hurricanes58c1,000$580 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5805856.9%33 W · 25 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+5.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e08…9726backed Golden Knights43c1,000$430 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5701952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1c0b…9f41backed Golden Knights63c999.99$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Golden Knights42c999.99$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.9934845.4%158 W · 190 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3e4…5bf6backed Hurricanes57c900$513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.57per pick57cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9794…1d5fbacked Hurricanes58c862.07$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001668.8%11 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+20.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Hurricanes58c856.46$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7430…3af2backed Golden Knights42c711$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.3815448.1%74 W · 80 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3248…aad4backed Golden Knights31c700.1$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.035152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0a96…203cbacked Golden Knights43c700$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid+8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d64…01fabacked Golden Knights42c660.14$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$382.8819942.7%85 W · 114 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights43c651.41$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.9962249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a30…b575backed Hurricanes57c650$371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.51233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-37.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked Golden Knights43c650$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.51266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+59%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc439…1308backed Hurricanes58c632.78$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.014067.5%27 W · 13 L+6.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+37.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xcb72…3582backed Golden Knights43c632.6$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$360.582958.6%17 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85c2…9730backed Golden Knights42c609.52$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.5249746.5%231 W · 266 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed Golden Knights41c600$246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35475946.6%354 W · 405 L-3.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee7e…61bbbacked Hurricanes60c580.22$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35041248.3%199 W · 213 L-5.0wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes56c579.61$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.9489249.9%445 W · 447 L+10.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Hurricanes35c516.92$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.7927143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked Hurricanes57c502.92$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.0137847.4%179 W · 199 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f6…9f57backed Hurricanes74c500.01$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$370.0133848.8%165 W · 173 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Hurricanes70c490.56$343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$343.399949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd01b…4e78backed Golden Knights44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.552100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e3a…5984backed Golden Knights44c454.55$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.554100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+105.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1922…ee10backed Hurricanes57c452.28$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.8560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d58…40c1backed Golden Knights44c452.27$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.271225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-51%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hurricanes57c446.13$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.31,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Golden Knights43c445.24$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1363249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Hurricanes68c409.42$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.971,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Golden Knights43c400$170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2309645.8%44 W · 52 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c76…da3ebacked Hurricanes58c400$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+40.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Golden Knights43c374.24$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.958536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Hurricanes58c364$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.121,07954.3%586 W · 493 L+4.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8cfa…faa4backed Hurricanes58c359.9$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.748846.6%41 W · 47 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8525…bdbabacked Golden Knights74c348.77$257 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.397839.7%31 W · 47 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6643…0109backed Golden Knights43c339.88$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.7348748.3%235 W · 252 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa05b…a94fbacked Hurricanes59c338.98$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003661.1%22 W · 14 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Golden Knights43c319.35$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.81,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Hurricanes37c300.24$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7c85…77c6backed Hurricanes59c300$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17731257.4%179 W · 133 L+5.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d28…932abacked Hurricanes57c300$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.518750.3%94 W · 93 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd65f…2c7cbacked Hurricanes58c300$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1741030%3 W · 7 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick53cpaid-40.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0944…6771backed Golden Knights45c300$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16510145.5%46 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc16…8ff3backed Golden Knights43c299.99$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1711100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c3a…3bebbacked Hurricanes56c299.99$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-37.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Golden Knights43c279.07$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.071,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7bf…b567backed Golden Knights30c269.15$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.151921.1%4 W · 15 L-3.7wins-0.20per pick41cpaid-55.8%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xc350…3669backed Hurricanes71c260.97$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1730944.7%138 W · 171 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b3c…ffc7backed Hurricanes57c256.98$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.7623047.4%109 W · 121 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed Golden Knights42c250$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14523741.4%98 W · 139 L-14.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-11%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x864a…7cacbacked Golden Knights43c249.95$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.4719851.5%102 W · 96 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbed0…3c7dbacked Hurricanes43c246.51$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10645149.4%223 W · 228 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Hurricanes41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003644.4%16 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a7f…4cd8backed Hurricanes57c236.84$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1352454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Golden Knights43c232.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132.561,03955.2%574 W · 465 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6006…cae5backed Hurricanes57c222$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.541442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93c6…90d0backed Hurricanes57c220$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.43748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…7d5fbacked Golden Knights80c204.59$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.156100%6 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+62.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Hurricanes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11416743.1%72 W · 95 L-12.8wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xbb36…9545backed Golden Knights42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11614447.9%69 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd798…b210backed Golden Knights43c200$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1142100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+95.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6eb9…dfa7backed Hurricanes57c200$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0e70…0d1bbacked Golden Knights42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Golden Knights42c200$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11643944.6%196 W · 243 L+16.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Hurricanes58c200$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11636652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Hurricanes55c182.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10085148.5%413 W · 438 L-48.2wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-11.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x19f8…98f9backed Hurricanes55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10041757.3%239 W · 178 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3804…6136backed Hurricanes57c175.84$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.0129345.1%132 W · 161 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-6.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights73c173.59$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0961848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa359…e803backed Golden Knights29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.41633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick24cpaid-5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a2b…f781backed Hurricanes58c172.41$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-45.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.