TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Jiangxi Open: Zhuoxuan Bai vs Hanyu Guo

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Baiof Bai, Guo
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$79,429
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$82,211

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,429 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Bai24c7,389$1,797 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,591.458,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Bai26c3,310$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4632,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Bai59c2,000$1,183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$817.0910060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed Bai37c1,910$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,209.685448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xae13…2125backed Bai70c1,458$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.811100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Guo66c1,230$818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$817.6565242.8%279 W · 373 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb517…15d7backed Bai35c1,200$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$780560%3 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick38cpaid+46%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc643…1a02backed Guo65c1,200$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Bai25c1,176$291 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.6422033.6%74 W · 146 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3461…4629backed Bai70c1,020$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$310.52450%12 W · 12 L-3.0wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ae…4318backed Guo80c1,000$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007375.3%55 W · 18 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+10.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x459d…6a27backed Guo65c1,000$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc855…0eebbacked Bai35c1,000$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$650366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.29per pick38cpaid+54.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf5c…48f9backed Bai35c947.45$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$617.4515447.4%73 W · 81 L+14.1wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+22.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x5de4…ca53backed Bai35c800$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25b6…42dcbacked Guo65c800$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52010%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x919a…c017backed Guo77c800$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6161040%4 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick64cpaid-43%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d9a…db3fbacked Guo77c799.74$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$615.8633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Bai28c792.86$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.8659151.6%305 W · 286 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf78e…0956backed Bai73c789.38$574 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.071855.6%10 W · 8 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x14f3…d34cbacked Bai22c736.36$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.562420.8%5 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick29cpaid-38.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Bai29c686.54$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.6216644.6%74 W · 92 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Guo31c537.24$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.6511,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Bai27c530.22$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$386.062,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc7…b90dbacked Bai13c461.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.545225%13 W · 39 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Guo77c442.03$339 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33971857.7%414 W · 304 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fad…b5b2backed Guo76c397.36$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301.992128.6%6 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb672…e4e3backed Bai69c381.16$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.161855.6%10 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Bai42c334.99$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.341,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9354…6502backed Bai41c327.61$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.8575547.8%361 W · 394 L+0.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2609…3e72backed Guo35c284.4$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.67757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+30.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b00…20e1backed Bai16c244.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.442512%3 W · 22 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-56.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb41c…ab82backed Bai43c229.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.064146.3%19 W · 22 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8b…3047backed Bai48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.335450%27 W · 27 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Bai31c207.02$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.6544125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xedb1…3fddbacked Guo76c206.47$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06fc…4fb6backed Bai27c195$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14311054.5%60 W · 50 L+10.6wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+27%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x714c…a005backed Bai52c192.69$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.692544%11 W · 14 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0bf…e4a1backed Bai18c191.67$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.174443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+18.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Guo56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3bb…e7a1backed Guo75c173.05$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1304153.7%22 W · 19 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Bai31c170.99$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.9855143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Guo78c170.22$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.966,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Bai25c158.46$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.4617442.5%74 W · 100 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e0b…cd84backed Guo64c150$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962650%13 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Bai33c149.25$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10025722.2%57 W · 200 L-12.3wins-0.05per pick27cpaid-18.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7140…47e3backed Guo67c149.25$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-16.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x555a…41d4backed Guo47c147.98$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Guo69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x883f…aad2backed Guo69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001650%8 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-26.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x362c…5b0abacked Guo78c140$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.25333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick75cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf66e…d908backed Bai32c130$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.42100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+133.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x60ec…d0b8backed Guo68c130$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.4333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-47.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee4…276fbacked Guo75c120$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$902035%7 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f2a…f5ddbacked Guo71c112.68$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$801963.2%12 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick62cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8d…b575backed Bai23c104.35$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.354820.8%10 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffaa…7fd4backed Bai41c101.45$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.854628.3%13 W · 33 L-5.6wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-39.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x75aa…bc6fbacked Bai32c100$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+155.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x775c…6a24backed Guo68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-64.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xdb1e…230abacked Bai14c100$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8631819.2%61 W · 257 L-8.0wins-0.03per pick22cpaid-20.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7439…40d2backed Bai61c99.67$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.872245.5%10 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d66…7befbacked Bai22c90$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.2666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+74.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a9d…69fbbacked Guo56c89.61$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.18850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x894c…eb44backed Guo68c85.29$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeca7…a792backed Bai32c85$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.68per pick32cpaid+212.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51d2…1462backed Guo62c81.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.651145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.12per pick34cpaid+66.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31d6…d617backed Bai62c79.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.74461.4%27 W · 17 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fae…08bfbacked Guo71c70$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.49771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick60cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13eb…6cadbacked Bai22c67.93$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.93333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+50.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x073a…6f98backed Guo78c59.84$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-39.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe530…a2cabacked Guo67c59.7$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403961.5%24 W · 15 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Guo69c57.97$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403865.8%25 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick69cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…cda9backed Bai31c57.32$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.55425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-19.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd82a…5fcfbacked Bai33c54.91$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.7918943.4%82 W · 107 L-8.8wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1b55…2eaebacked Guo76c52.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406675.8%50 W · 16 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2c09…a69fbacked Guo67c52.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$353053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1186…0d03backed Guo68c44.12$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3016657.8%96 W · 70 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x096a…b22bbacked Bai31c37.96$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.091233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x06db…5244backed Bai71c32.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87b6…cbe6backed Bai34c30$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.8683.3%5 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.52per pick31cpaid+148.1%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xdccf…c3b3backed Guo67c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.110%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked Guo66c22.61$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.26per pick59cpaid-42.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xad7e…e189backed Guo67c22.39$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153476.5%26 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick74cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a74…c3e4backed Guo77c22.25$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.131346.2%6 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.23per pick69cpaid-34.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x85cc…4895backed Guo69c20.29$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141560%9 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b8…f85ebacked Guo76c20$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x98d0…01a4backed Guo67c19.4$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1318447.3%87 W · 97 L-12.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-12.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.