NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Spurs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3bcf6aec68f229fe920c94313eebc1fe6b89d74320b2b8eace658278695e22dc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spursof Raptors, Spurs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,351,650
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,440,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,351,650 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 398 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb744…5210backed Raptors | 37c | 437,373$161,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161,973.09 | 154 | 43.5%67 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Spurs | 63c | 292,661$185,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107,193.82 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8628…6f0bbacked Raptors | 36c | 228,765$82,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82,667.26 | 30 | 26.7%8 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5afb…4511backed Raptors | 38c | 151,092$57,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,165.01 | 55 | 40%22 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25cc…9297backed Spurs | 63c | 125,394$78,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,401.36 | 169 | 42%71 W · 98 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9b…414dbacked Spurs | 63c | 85,000$53,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,450 | 518 | 44.4%230 W · 288 L | +11.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs | 67c | 60,335$40,521 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,814.12 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Spurs | 63c | 48,702$30,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,872.1 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Raptors | 37c | 47,168$17,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,311.2 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Spurs | 64c | 38,875$24,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,102.61 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Spurs | 65c | 38,668$25,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,533.67 | 148 | 56.1%83 W · 65 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…0d06backed Spurs | 66c | 37,003$24,533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,469.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Spurs | 62c | 32,465$20,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,245 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Spurs | 62c | 25,000$15,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,500 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Raptors | 33c | 16,000$5,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,279.84 | 105 | 30.5%32 W · 73 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4335…fc2fbacked Spurs | 63c | 15,873$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,873.02 | 173 | 54.3%94 W · 79 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…4c8cbacked Spurs | 62c | 14,835$9,198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,637.36 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Raptors | 9c | 14,752$1,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,314.48 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Spurs | 61c | 13,061$7,967 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,093.6 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Spurs | 64c | 12,031$7,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,331.25 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…228ebacked Raptors | 39c | 12,017$4,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,680 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Raptors | 34c | 11,395$3,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,874.17 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d5c…0182backed Spurs | 62c | 10,600$6,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,028 | 477 | 51.8%247 W · 230 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Raptors | 11c | 9,454$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.26 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Spurs | 62c | 8,627$5,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,278.24 | 623 | 51.4%320 W · 303 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Raptors | 2c | 8,000$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Raptors | 31c | 7,653$2,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,369.03 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Spurs | 64c | 7,253$4,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,593.25 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Raptors | 7c | 7,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 475 | 35.8%170 W · 305 L | +41.1wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Spurs | 63c | 6,733$4,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,515.29 | 121 | 60.3%73 W · 48 L | +10.3wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Raptors | 36c | 6,572$2,366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,366 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Spurs | 63c | 6,111$3,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,290.85 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc869…8a6ebacked Spurs | 65c | 5,385$3,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,884.62 | 129 | 51.9%67 W · 62 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6775…17efbacked Raptors | 39c | 5,128$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Spurs | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 79 | 39.2%31 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a3…c3a6backed Spurs | 62c | 5,000$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,900 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked Raptors | 25c | 4,582$1,137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.06 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…7b92backed Raptors | 33c | 4,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 181 | 42%76 W · 105 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Raptors | 38c | 4,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 477 | 48.8%233 W · 244 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b5…7543backed Raptors | 33c | 3,695$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.25 | 352 | 35.8%126 W · 226 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Raptors | 38c | 2,800$1,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,063.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe5f…d795backed Spurs | 62c | 2,650$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007 | 270 | 51.5%139 W · 131 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd267…9dc6backed Spurs | 63c | 2,590$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$958.3 | 85 | 43.5%37 W · 48 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa576…89a4backed Spurs | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +23.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13a7…4efabacked Raptors | 34c | 2,408$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$824.46 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.31per pick | 52cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb406…4964backed Raptors | 32c | 2,392$766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765.59 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Raptors | 34c | 2,109$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.09 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Raptors | 25c | 2,073$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518.17 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b51…e165backed Spurs | 67c | 2,000$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.61 | 313 | 47%147 W · 166 L | -14.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Raptors | 39c | 2,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 180 | 47.8%86 W · 94 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Raptors | 35c | 2,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$699.99 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Raptors | 33c | 2,000$670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.99 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Spurs | 63c | 1,977$1,242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.75 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Spurs | 63c | 1,924$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.51 | 753 | 47.5%358 W · 395 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Raptors | 21c | 1,846$383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.26 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2d…825abacked Spurs | 63c | 1,714$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.34 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Raptors | 34c | 1,657$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.59 | 447 | 51.5%230 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Raptors | 33c | 1,649$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.46 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Spurs | 62c | 1,613$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.9 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Raptors | 33c | 1,555$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.63 | 2,902 | 38.4%1,113 W · 1,789 L | -51.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Raptors | 34c | 1,550$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.98 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Spurs | 64c | 1,529$972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$557.56 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Raptors | 37c | 1,505$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.91 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bc7…e411backed Spurs | 64c | 1,500$960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x236d…5e45backed Spurs | 67c | 1,493$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.54 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Spurs | 78c | 1,485$1,153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.99 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d95…9d3cbacked Raptors | 35c | 1,474$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2be7…4690backed Spurs | 67c | 1,472$985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.46 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7441…283bbacked Raptors | 35c | 1,465$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f9…66ffbacked Spurs | 67c | 1,464$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.18 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Raptors | 33c | 1,400$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.97 | 618 | 35.4%219 W · 399 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Raptors | 2c | 1,381$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.61 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9158…fa7bbacked Spurs | 62c | 1,311$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…98c9backed Spurs | 69c | 1,301$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402.07 | 130 | 42.3%55 W · 75 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf967…8cd4backed Raptors | 38c | 1,300$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Raptors | 26c | 1,210$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.1 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Spurs | 64c | 1,100$704 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396 | 236 | 44.1%104 W · 132 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed Raptors | 34c | 1,100$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Raptors | 37c | 1,095$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.03 | 430 | 51.4%221 W · 209 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Spurs | 77c | 1,063$814 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.95 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…ac2bbacked Spurs | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Spurs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…9390backed Spurs | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Raptors | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3697…f189backed Raptors | 7c | 1,000$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 652 | 18.4%120 W · 532 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a3…d61ebacked Spurs | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$380 | 224 | 49.1%110 W · 114 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Raptors | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 432 | 47.5%205 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69a7…ef6bbacked Spurs | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23b…24f9backed Spurs | 74c | 999.99$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81e4…6f22backed Raptors | 34c | 999.99$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 172 | 50%86 W · 86 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Raptors | 29c | 991.13$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.61 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f8…327dbacked Spurs | 66c | 945.1$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.33 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Raptors | 26c | 926.92$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 156 | 56.4%88 W · 68 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbb…9a8cbacked Spurs | 65c | 923.08$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43d4…13a2backed Raptors | 37c | 885.4$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.6 | 127 | 40.2%51 W · 76 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x230a…59b1backed Spurs | 69c | 761.5$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.32 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x707b…69f2backed Spurs | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0675…492cbacked Spurs | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb12c…85bebacked Raptors | 34c | 746$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.64 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3804…6136backed Raptors | 33c | 665$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.25 | 267 | 49.8%133 W · 134 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Spursthis page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.