NBA · resolved market
Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x988aced89298ed6c8b284927a24fcf4e12efe78b98700dc0a3f3d81229494806
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,443
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,454
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,443 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc10…3f05backed Over | 50c | 20,000$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 96 | 50%48 W · 48 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Under | 50c | 7,230$3,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,618 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x900c…1d7abacked Under | 49c | 4,659$2,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,363.67 | 710 | 52.1%370 W · 340 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660d…2e08backed Under | 50c | 3,965$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.01 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f9…01b0backed Over | 51c | 3,922$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 3,493$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,759.41 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Under | 50c | 1,845$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.9 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Under | 50c | 1,186$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…9054backed Under | 50c | 1,182$591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.08 | 300 | 53.3%160 W · 140 L | +9.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f85…a51bbacked Under | 51c | 685.46$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.8 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Under | 49c | 376.91$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.99 | 157 | 45.2%71 W · 86 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Over | 51c | 314$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.14 | 522 | 40%209 W · 313 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Under | 49c | 273.52$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed Over | 51c | 176.47$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -8.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x647d…3cd9backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked Under | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 418 | 48.3%202 W · 216 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f4…7942backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…97b3backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 213 | 38%81 W · 132 L | -12.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e62…06f9backed Over | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…3363backed Under | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -61%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 232.5this page
- 1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)Spurs won
- Raptors vs. SpursSpurs won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: 1H O/U 113.5Over won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 231.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 233.5Under won
- Raptors vs. Spurs: O/U 234.5Under won
- Spread: Spurs (-4.5)Spurs won
- Spread: Spurs (-5.5)Spurs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.