TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Spurs (-4.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Spursof Spurs, Raptors
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$31,766
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $31,766 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Spurs51c12,375$6,273 inWon+$6,102.3685742.6%365 W · 492 L-15.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Raptors50c10,000$5,000 inLost-$5,00034645.4%157 W · 189 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x16b2…a881backed Raptors49c8,354$4,110 inLost-$4,110.062,29851.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L+65.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x900c…1d7abacked Spurs51c6,958$3,525 inWon+$3,432.971052.1%370 W · 340 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x68dd…f0b2backed Raptors50c6,500$3,265 inLost-$3,26551350.1%257 W · 256 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Spurs50c2,000$1,000 inWon+$1,00065339.5%258 W · 395 L-24.6wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-10.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Raptors51c2,000$1,020 inLost-$1,02017250%86 W · 86 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb58…86a4backed Spurs50c1,970$985 inWon+$98524151.9%125 W · 116 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde91…f20abacked Spurs49c1,587$782 inWon+$80515745.2%71 W · 86 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9158…fa7bbacked Spurs49c1,000$490 inWon+$5106253.2%33 W · 29 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e84…768ebacked Spurs50c512$256 inWon+$25613644.9%61 W · 75 L-7.7wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Raptors45c220$99 inLost-$992,26543.4%982 W · 1,283 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Raptors49c218$106 inLost-$106.389,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89c9…9534backed Raptors51c197$100 inLost-$100.4766153.3%352 W · 309 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf38…a59bbacked Raptors44c178.57$79 inLost-$78.5741848.3%202 W · 216 L-7.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3613…79e1backed Spurs50c100$50 inWon+$5013133.6%44 W · 87 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f4…7942backed Spurs50c100$50 inWon+$504548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x54ae…32c2backed Spurs56c89.29$50 inWon+$39.297653.9%41 W · 35 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbed1…331bbacked Spurs56c89.29$50 inWon+$39.294847.9%23 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc95c…cef3backed Spurs50c80$40 inWon+$4011258.9%66 W · 46 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc286…d936backed Raptors52c76.92$40 inLost-$401758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Spurs51c68.63$35 inWon+$33.6337755.7%210 W · 167 L+11.1wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf02…38b9backed Spurs51c58.82$30 inWon+$28.824847.9%23 W · 25 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Spurs50c26$13 inWon+$136,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c5a…feb1backed Spurs55c23.82$13 inWon+$10.722100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick53cpaid+90.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.