Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc5d9032436b9fe7bf83b9e08fea658c3c9dc3a7b5770f4a6012ae4c919bacf21
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,328
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfc14…1dd2backed Yes | 29c | 2,002$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 54cpaid | -60%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb90c…9a6abacked Yes | 24c | 2,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$479.84 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 1,883$1,408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.68 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 1,284$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.03 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfc…4194backed Yes | 26c | 1,155$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 55c | 919.54$506 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.79 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0521…cc4abacked Yes | 22c | 745.16$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.93 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3dc…d8b2backed Yes | 26c | 738.71$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.3wins | -0.38per pick | 55cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 20c | 543.15$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.63 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7901…dae0backed Yes | 39c | 385.58$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 14c | 375.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed No | 77c | 309.79$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.97 | 189 | 58.7%111 W · 78 L | +12.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 20c | 291.69$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.89 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 78c | 291.34$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.18 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 77c | 289.25$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.11 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Yes | 39c | 259.01$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 22c | 240.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d2b…40c1backed Yes | 22c | 226.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb251…6f5bbacked Yes | 76c | 208.95$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.51 | 207 | 50.2%104 W · 103 L | -8.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 34c | 204.13$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad9…65d7backed No | 78c | 155.56$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.22 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 64cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 71c | 145.53$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.68 | 239 | 20.9%50 W · 189 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 41c | 122.07$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 80c | 110.43$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.09 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa26e…d280backed Yes | 39c | 105.13$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 100 | 31%31 W · 69 L | -8.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 47c | 100.98$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.02 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c94…1f7dbacked Yes | 25c | 93.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f1…6b1fbacked Yes | 27c | 89.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 23c | 86.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 39c | 77.05$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbe…1559backed Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 93 | 45.2%42 W · 51 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…a93fbacked No | 67c | 75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 227 | 64.8%147 W · 80 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 614 | 41.2%253 W · 361 L | -27.4wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1e…0cd2backed No | 77c | 73.75$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6817…b853backed Yes | 23c | 73$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.79 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5362…d3fbbacked Yes | 22c | 72.16$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.87 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 27c | 49.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 22c | 49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 203 | 7.4%15 W · 188 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5251…3da9backed Yes | 25c | 48.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9fd4backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a2…d5e9backed Yes | 63c | 39.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfaa…79a7backed No | 60c | 29.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.77 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11a…f992backed Yes | 50c | 22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-10-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.