Premier League · resolved market
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-10-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x61a0823455afb718c1435274c7d1d608788950de641b62668453fdb52d8554c0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,086
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,734
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,086 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 25 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2dd2…b035backed Yes | 14c | 2,556$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.9 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 19c | 2,254$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 200 | 39.5%79 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbed…5194backed Yes | 17c | 1,503$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe42e…8d89backed Yes | 15c | 570$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97b5…42f9backed Yes | 3c | 500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 127 | 46.5%59 W · 68 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7826…20b1backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 33cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 78c | 295.31$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.56 | 515 | 42.5%219 W · 296 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 16c | 288.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.32 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +12.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 13c | 277$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.01 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 25c | 211.48$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.87 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed No | 79c | 189.93$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.93 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 25c | 177.44$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed No | 79c | 169$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.49 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Yes | 27c | 162.96$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x268c…a03abacked Yes | 21c | 143.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 17c | 140.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.71 | 796 | 50.8%404 W · 392 L | +28.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked Yes | 13c | 127$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 331 | 24.2%80 W · 251 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d5…b69dbacked Yes | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…dc1bbacked Yes | 21c | 120$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…f314backed Yes | 16c | 99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +63.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1f…1a9fbacked Yes | 14c | 97.97$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5061…1b03backed No | 80c | 74.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.93 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd44…b2e2backed Yes | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed No | 79c | 47.64$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 541 | 28.3%153 W · 388 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2025-10-29?this page
- Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-10-29?Yes won
- Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.