Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-11-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce35bd9db2c7bc375276f6a1f13c88c06fccf8546380ad9bce9c5a58cb678627
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,902
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,902 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,800 | 212 | 37.3%79 W · 133 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 34c | 9,716$3,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,303.35 | 92 | 65.2%60 W · 32 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 34c | 9,129$3,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,125.57 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 5,083$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,601.1 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed No | 52c | 5,000$2,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,588.26 | 67 | 64.2%43 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 1,756$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.36 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 16c | 1,727$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.61 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes | 65c | 1,538$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.3 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 35c | 1,111$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.84 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 1,105$707 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.7 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 34c | 1,065$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.37 | 333 | 49.8%166 W · 167 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Yes | 66c | 755.73$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256.95 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23c3…bdf4backed Yes | 65c | 754.05$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.92 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Yes | 65c | 635.38$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.38 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Yes | 64c | 500$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d7f…dc4fbacked Yes | 69c | 445$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed No | 31c | 420.37$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.62 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 35c | 411.02$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.61 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ea…f888backed Yes | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b3…0476backed Yes | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.03 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 35c | 300$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf430…675abacked Yes | 62c | 300$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 62cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…55ffbacked Yes | 57c | 300$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -80.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69b4…1df1backed Yes | 69c | 289.86$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x064a…9c2fbacked Yes | 59c | 254.31$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…b3dcbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60ac…6439backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9048…07f2backed Yes | 66c | 150.38$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.38 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 64c | 149.98$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.99 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6431…9056backed Yes | 69c | 146.38$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes | 65c | 145.71$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88d8…d41fbacked Yes | 56c | 128.23$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.42 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -18%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 56c | 120$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.8 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2078…2d66backed Yes | 69c | 101.3$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 32c | 99.86$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.44 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dba…cb27backed Yes | 54c | 84.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked No | 31c | 81.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.39 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…bb4abacked Yes | 67c | 80.15$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aec…28c1backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c6…910ebacked Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5076…e15dbacked Yes | 61c | 74.03$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.03 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…ea2dbacked Yes | 70c | 71.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.71 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed No | 31c | 58.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.13 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…5eb2backed Yes | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 51c | 51.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.07 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed54…4276backed Yes | 65c | 46.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…f0c3backed Yes | 67c | 44.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…e166backed Yes | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.46 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb7f…d5bdbacked No | 32c | 34.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 35c | 32.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x609b…5877backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +3.9wins | +0.30per pick | 47cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…b403backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 34c | 31.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 68c | 30.88$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.88 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…d2d8backed Yes | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe117…0b8dbacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9479…0ecebacked Yes | 70c | 24.29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x017b…4e46backed Yes | 53c | 21.74$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 70c | 21.43$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.43 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…7d7dbacked Yes | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-11-27?this page
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk end in a draw?No won
- Will Shamrock Rovers FC win on 2025-11-27?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.