Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4714297d095ab987f1ad968cbd1a2b42d9d20433cac64bed224c16626045ae02
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,024
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 52c | 2,105$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.26 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 58c | 1,539$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$654.06 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 34c | 1,263$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429.51 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 35c | 821.41$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 599.43$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.95 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes | 63c | 446.03$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.03 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03bc…530cbacked Yes | 60c | 389.99$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.8 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 54c | 379.57$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.55 | 2,999 | 42.4%1,273 W · 1,726 L | +7.7wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x81ed…6879backed Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked Yes | 68c | 293.62$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.62 | 275 | 37.1%102 W · 173 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked Yes | 25c | 270$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.7 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 67c | 268.52$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.62 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb72b…f4e0backed No | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 28 | 46.4%13 W · 15 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 61c | 237.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.69 | 245 | 57.6%141 W · 104 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 45 | 37.8%17 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7180…bdbabacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -4.7wins | -0.32per pick | 52cpaid | -62.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x553b…f71cbacked Yes | 60c | 150$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 41c | 121.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bae…55b5backed Yes | 73c | 114.36$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 28c | 96.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes | 29c | 86.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.47 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 44cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x110d…cd01backed Yes | 66c | 75.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d94…5d78backed Yes | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2382…4628backed No | 28c | 65.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 34c | 65.67$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.33 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e2d…fb60backed Yes | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed Yes | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70b0…b71fbacked No | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -7.5wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -49.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x51ec…a7b9backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 37c | 41$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 95 | 61.1%58 W · 37 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed Yes | 63c | 39.68$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.68 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 65c | 32$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 33c | 31.42$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 62 | 9.7%6 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e8…a236backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 67c | 29.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 84 | 53.6%45 W · 39 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2664…53f8backed Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7924…f7f7backed Yes | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945e…353dbacked Yes | 71c | 25.35$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.35 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed No | 59c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf64…92bdbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3e…7fccbacked Yes | 63c | 23.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe141…ea2dbacked Yes | 63c | 22.22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.22 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea3…6ed0backed Yes | 61c | 21.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5e6…ad20backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 60c | 19.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.74 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd26…6b44backed Yes | 63c | 17.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x423d…c621backed Yes | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1fc…1167backed Yes | 73c | 13.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-11-06?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.