Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-11-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8aa4d53da16c700371f9d8be29e630f4a54d61150ae53488a3ac1bb1aa0036d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,740
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,691
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,740 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc996…bb65backed No | 38c | 7,478$2,859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,619.02 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +7.3wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 28c | 3,379$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.68 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 14c | 2,073$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.2 | 260 | 22.3%58 W · 202 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8245…4f87backed Yes | 70c | 1,955$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.45 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes | 69c | 1,594$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 30c | 1,500$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 201 | 32.3%65 W · 136 L | -9.9wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 52c | 1,475$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.06 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf1…1d5dbacked Yes | 70c | 1,425$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 48c | 1,360$653 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$706.76 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb483…1c3cbacked Yes | 18c | 1,139$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 219 | 25.6%56 W · 163 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e49…63f2backed Yes | 14c | 655.82$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.12 | 190 | 27.4%52 W · 138 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1377…56aebacked No | 50c | 580$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e9a…5b99backed Yes | 70c | 534.77$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2af2…3965backed No | 66c | 310.4$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…db98backed No | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 40c | 250$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.20per pick | 62cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 200 | 42%84 W · 116 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc794…d09cbacked No | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.31per pick | 40cpaid | +125.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 14c | 190$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…354ebacked Yes | 68c | 171.29$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 39c | 149$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.73 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 48c | 140$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 135$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.03 | 428 | 44.9%192 W · 236 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x084d…7e47backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 13c | 121.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb41c…2f0dbacked Yes | 68c | 105.88$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed No | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb8…0231backed Yes | 14c | 72.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed No | 52c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 274 | 37.2%102 W · 172 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5309…1975backed No | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce0…b195backed Yes | 69c | 32.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.24 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab1…b4ecbacked Yes | 74c | 25.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…b020backed Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2025-11-06?this page
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?No won
- Will Rayo Vallecano de Madrid win on 2025-11-06?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.