TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Atletico Madrid win on 2025-12-06?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$388,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$384,961

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $388,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 448 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes38c47,211$17,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,977.8230634.6%106 W · 200 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-6.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No62c45,245$28,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,110.710438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No62c40,000$24,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,099.949459.6%56 W · 38 L+5.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No62c35,000$21,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,299.8635442.7%151 W · 203 L+7.2wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-7.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No62c30,000$18,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,399.989450%47 W · 47 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7087…c61fbacked No61c29,906$18,242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,663.153452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Yes38c25,000$9,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5004461.4%27 W · 17 L+4.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No63c20,062$12,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,502.74,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6603…959ebacked Yes39c16,253$6,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,30010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes37c15,000$5,550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,55017248.8%84 W · 88 L+5.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes38c14,196$5,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,403.4550243.4%218 W · 284 L+2.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No63c14,143$8,903 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,240.241,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes39c9,732$3,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,797.046051.7%31 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c8…8272backed Yes40c9,577$3,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,834.91616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.30per pick47cpaid-78.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No65c9,443$6,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,307.690843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No63c5,997$3,765 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,232.4869142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x360d…5e0fbacked Yes37c5,335$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aa0…31f4backed No59c5,297$3,125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,171.961100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad06…b341backed Yes41c5,290$2,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,168.8910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaab8…a331backed Yes38c5,263$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008252.4%43 W · 39 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x52e8…c4cdbacked Yes40c5,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,000633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ef…cecebacked Yes38c4,394$1,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.710%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x48be…73a8backed Yes37c4,054$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes38c3,237$1,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2307632.9%25 W · 51 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xda35…ff0ebacked Yes39c3,131$1,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,221.085658.9%33 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4446…1fd0backed No65c3,055$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,055.046672.7%48 W · 18 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes38c3,052$1,150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,150757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.21per pick37cpaid+57.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed No61c2,918$1,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,144.7517252.3%90 W · 82 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes43c2,905$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,253.922334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9ea…380dbacked No64c2,789$1,786 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,002.781136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No59c2,614$1,542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,071.6864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes27c2,499$665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$664.752934.5%10 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b21…41fabacked Yes36c2,477$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.694141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x87ea…f625backed No57c2,447$1,387 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060.156836.8%25 W · 43 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-10.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x330b…69f1backed Yes41c2,439$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9910250%51 W · 51 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7cba…c616backed Yes34c2,300$788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7881154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-24%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No61c2,253$1,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.8453246.1%245 W · 287 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44a1…bd21backed No63c2,000$1,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7407424.3%18 W · 56 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-48.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0353…c2ffbacked Yes38c2,000$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7602454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe161…4ebfbacked Yes37c2,000$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$739.98250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+54.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes38c1,947$740 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74028342.8%121 W · 162 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35a6…ab4dbacked Yes38c1,623$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6131872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.5wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+28.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0c4d…090abacked Yes38c1,579$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.2250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc0c…cfc9backed Yes34c1,500$515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5151241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe78e…55f0backed Yes36c1,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No62c1,425$886 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.231,01853.1%541 W · 477 L-24.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d9d…992bbacked Yes31c1,385$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$434.421656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.4wins+0.15per pick41cpaid+33.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes33c1,380$451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$450.926930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6bb9…74bfbacked Yes37c1,351$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-36.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef6…a6b1backed Yes38c1,311$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x700f…62d8backed Yes37c1,213$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45013045.4%59 W · 71 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x347c…525abacked Yes40c1,177$473 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4737534.7%26 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-21.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x71f6…e115backed Yes38c1,165$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.864143.9%18 W · 23 L-2.5wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes37c1,137$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.4214067.1%94 W · 46 L+17.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+38.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes38c1,132$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4307045.7%32 W · 38 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes38c1,105$423 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42326242.7%112 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed No57c1,100$627 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4734959.2%29 W · 20 L+4.9wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xec8b…152bbacked No63c1,080$680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.631080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed No62c1,066$666 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.9423452.6%123 W · 111 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb89…93adbacked Yes38c1,053$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes37c1,039$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.3315646.2%72 W · 84 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed Yes38c1,026$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3901421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.8wins-0.27per pick48cpaid-57.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Yes33c1,000$330 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3301050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-23.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes34c1,000$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3403860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+18.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xca40…6deabacked No63c1,000$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.21per pick59cpaid+76.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0bae…55b5backed Yes43c1,000$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4272425%6 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-34%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x39b3…53b9backed Yes37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3701546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No67c997.97$668 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.616235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8fe7…4f20backed No60c995$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39814244.4%63 W · 79 L-6.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd903…bf9dbacked No59c953.36$563 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.643360.6%20 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick61cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ee4…8c98backed Yes42c947.08$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4007550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8f8…09f7backed Yes37c913.51$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.26per pick43cpaid-67.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x18de…68a7backed Yes42c910$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.9862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick60cpaid-7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee04…9612backed Yes39c900$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3511435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes32c891.3$283 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.955941.1%230 W · 329 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x064a…9c2fbacked Yes38c849.08$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.651643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.8wins-0.17per pick61cpaid-28.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe68b…b796backed Yes38c830.89$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.749541.1%39 W · 56 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked Yes39c824$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.7953242.3%225 W · 307 L-1.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes16c813.24$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.628125.9%21 W · 60 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc52c…6732backed Yes37c803.7$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick24cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8944…41d5backed Yes36c800$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1434…bb9abacked Yes44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf70a…541dbacked Yes26c795.58$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.0640%0 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Yes38c789.47$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002433.3%8 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No62c777$482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$295.265740.4%23 W · 34 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c9…4386backed Yes39c763.34$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3005151%26 W · 25 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes18c748$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.0240033.5%134 W · 266 L-27.0wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-2.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x53b8…0ee6backed Yes36c744.44$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed Yes39c737$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.2415851.3%81 W · 77 L+6.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes41c732.27$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.233562.9%22 W · 13 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeb89…46f1backed No64c720.68$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.763855.3%21 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked No63c649.96$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.484047.5%19 W · 21 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…7d58backed Yes45c633$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.8530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb92d…bbcabacked Yes25c632.21$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+34%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d14…c06dbacked Yes35c605$212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211.7530%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fa2…cf15backed Yes38c604$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.521618.8%3 W · 13 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick30cpaid-60%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed No63c600$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22518650%93 W · 93 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c5e…53d3backed Yes37c596.45$221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.75812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick29cpaid-78.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…3094backed Yes34c588.24$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002343.5%10 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa225…b903backed Yes38c578.95$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220825%2 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-37.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.