TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$80,775
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$77,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $80,775 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 172 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed No78c14,320$11,148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,171.934,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No76c7,662$5,855 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,807.0476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8605…750fbacked Yes28c4,711$1,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2991457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes11c4,184$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$456.23246.9%15 W · 17 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+18.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No77c4,084$3,147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$937.053,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd178…6703backed Yes28c3,580$1,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,002.411354%61 W · 52 L+6.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x78f2…f486backed Yes25c3,000$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$749.981612.5%2 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick14cpaid+156.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes27c2,799$756 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$756.4930031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No75c2,586$1,940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.5512451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed Yes9c2,535$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.7228731%89 W · 198 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-13.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed No72c2,353$1,699 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$654.0231945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No72c2,212$1,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.5321140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes27c2,050$554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2839…0efebacked Yes26c1,923$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.85850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+29.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x74fb…96cfbacked Yes28c1,786$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick31cpaid-56%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed No72c1,543$1,117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.0228133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes13c1,523$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.438538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaa01…473cbacked Yes25c1,380$345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3451428.6%4 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick31cpaid+21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed No75c1,217$913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$304.2955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+13.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Yes24c1,200$288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.74112.2%5 W · 36 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick22cpaid-70.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes9c1,156$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007842.3%33 W · 45 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb49…43febacked Yes26c1,153$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.734276.2%32 W · 10 L+6.4wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+21.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes27c1,111$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003432.4%11 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x204b…a4eebacked Yes15c1,010$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No74c912.46$675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$237.2474752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa24f…593dbacked Yes11c909.09$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002711.1%3 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-62.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6b…7b61backed Yes27c907.59$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.622556%14 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes25c876.94$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4623622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes28c857.14$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2401414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No74c805.1$596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.6517048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes17c800$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1357128.2%20 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+101.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9827…e5ffbacked No74c744.96$551 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.691741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5422…a780backed Yes27c740.65$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.9820825%52 W · 156 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7aba…7442backed Yes27c738.96$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.525352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes29c700.24$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.071050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No73c699.98$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9911444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes7c698.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518219.5%16 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfc87…dd68backed Yes28c645.66$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.482532%8 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-21.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed No80c510.27$408 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.572965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+12.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5f84…67efbacked Yes16c490$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.612829.7%38 W · 90 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-28.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x535b…ffd0backed Yes27c480.81$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.82425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.30per pick55cpaid-62.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4f0b…ed1abacked Yes26c476.92$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1241346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3113…9943backed Yes28c445.54$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.75425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-60.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes7c437.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.335942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No72c428.64$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.025538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes25c400$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Yes25c395.12$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes26c386.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed Yes26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes27c370.88$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002035%7 W · 13 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf133…928dbacked Yes27c363.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004839.6%19 W · 29 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No73c362.99$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3610452.9%55 W · 49 L-0.4wins0.00per pick53cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5044…f67fbacked Yes28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes8c341.47$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5134630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e5f…1dc6backed Yes26c340.52$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.991050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5744…9d5dbacked Yes26c335.5$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.231233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-19.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa070…c103backed Yes28c303.57$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$852030%6 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-40.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7705…a442backed Yes28c302.5$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8412535.2%44 W · 81 L-0.6wins0.00per pick36cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Yes27c300$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8218433.7%62 W · 122 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked No75c300$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$752060%12 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+29.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x976c…7625backed Yes7c300$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x747c…443bbacked Yes22c290.91$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes25c280$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$704729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No72c267.61$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.0142352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf02d…16cabacked Yes26c257.69$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$678557.6%49 W · 36 L+6.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+11.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes26c257$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.822055%11 W · 9 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes26c244$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.862445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb042…14f3backed Yes7c243.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.943033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes14c239.52$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.531030%3 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa650…9293backed Yes11c238.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfcf…6c9bbacked Yes25c220$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$554454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed Yes28c217.17$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.9413843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b94…315bbacked Yes26c200$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$521838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-26.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501450%7 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes25c199.02$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.753119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b4c…c1ddbacked Yes29c180$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.52445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1346…8502backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505532.7%18 W · 37 L+0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid+12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4234…6b87backed Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503351.5%17 W · 16 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa0b…c2bcbacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+16.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe361…bf48backed Yes16c170.03$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272626.9%7 W · 19 L-2.6wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No74c162.16$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.161747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2cef…0d49backed Yes28c160.52$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.17475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes25c160$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4011660.3%70 W · 46 L+0.1wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf08b…9a7dbacked Yes26c154.95$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.891957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+27.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed No75c153.33$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.336056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x553b…f71cbacked Yes26c150$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-50.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes27c148.15$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2bf4…323cbacked Yes23c147.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.47333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-47.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403520%7 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-47.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c3…ac4cbacked Yes28c142.86$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x063b…7328backed No76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.581656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.09per pick65cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked Yes23c123.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284647.8%22 W · 24 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc08b…e35bbacked Yes26c115.38$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301650%8 W · 8 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+0.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No73c111$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.339749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a3c…93d7backed Yes27c110$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick38cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf4b5…6a22backed No78c108.52$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.322138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-43.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe233…14a3backed Yes26c107.69$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285453.7%29 W · 25 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-12.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79df…1661backed Yes28c107.14$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303928.2%11 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.10per pick38cpaid-38.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.