Fifa International · resolved market
Will Greece vs. Scotland end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xabccf949cc672a86f0d67b35a54885d52fe2b2bf070dcd083f6e4663da6636d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,753
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Yes | 26c | 3,907$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.7wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 80c | 3,004$2,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.51 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 77c | 2,155$1,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.55 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Yes | 20c | 1,600$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.22 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -53%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes | 22c | 1,548$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.42 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed No | 69c | 1,352$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.23 | 319 | 45.1%144 W · 175 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 79c | 1,280$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$272.07 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 78c | 920.23$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.45 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 69c | 880.77$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.04 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 69cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 21c | 799.73$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.72 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 22c | 779.9$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.58 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 76c | 528.62$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x712a…8ef9backed Yes | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Yes | 25c | 400.2$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 28c | 376.3$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.18 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdddc…9eb0backed Yes | 31c | 372.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.05 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa01…473cbacked Yes | 30c | 344.33$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.3 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 16c | 342.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 30c | 327.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 31c | 323.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x74f1…16a8backed Yes | 23c | 319$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.37 | 287 | 31%89 W · 198 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 30c | 300$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 31c | 300$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x332b…793fbacked Yes | 31c | 258.06$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 24c | 250.7$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…a78cbacked Yes | 48c | 239.52$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.23 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 23c | 211.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.61 | 167 | 37.7%63 W · 104 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 23c | 174.67$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +46%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 7c | 170$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 30c | 166.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca51…ca40backed Yes | 31c | 150$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.42 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 28c | 138.89$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.89 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 13c | 124.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.62 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 17c | 119.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 19c | 114.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.82 | 96 | 33.3%32 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 26c | 100.39$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccea…a8ebbacked Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 181 | 50.3%91 W · 90 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443d…017fbacked Yes | 31c | 96.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 31c | 95.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 21c | 86.29$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.12 | 78 | 46.2%36 W · 42 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd2…a1fdbacked Yes | 29c | 79.83$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 75c | 78$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb9b…d718backed Yes | 31c | 77.9$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6840…6748backed No | 71c | 63.92$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1fd…f59abacked Yes | 17c | 60$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…3cf3backed Yes | 24c | 56.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29da…d808backed Yes | 26c | 42.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…1661backed Yes | 26c | 41.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.67 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 74c | 36.27$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.34 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb042…14f3backed No | 52c | 32.59$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 70c | 30.8$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked No | 70c | 23.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.98 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 62cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 70c | 20.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 481 | 47.8%230 W · 251 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 80c | 16.62$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.39 | 237 | 38.8%92 W · 145 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 184 | 52.7%97 W · 87 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…4ab4backed No | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked No | 78c | 13.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.01 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Greece vs. Scotland end in a draw?this page
- Will Greece win on 2025-11-15?Yes won
- Will Scotland win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.