TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Europa Conference League · resolved market

Will FK Shakhtar Donetsk win on 2025-12-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$90,827
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,372

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,827 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed No30c40,000$12,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,00021237.3%79 W · 133 L-11.1wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc16b…8404backed Yes70c20,000$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,0003951.3%20 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed Yes70c18,900$13,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,669.869265.2%60 W · 32 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+17.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x072c…f037backed Yes70c15,402$10,856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,546.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick66cpaid-52.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No32c11,790$3,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,784.0784850.8%431 W · 417 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No31c4,138$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,270.8744952.6%236 W · 213 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No29c3,281$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$954.220050%100 W · 100 L-1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Yes63c3,164$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,164.489748.5%47 W · 50 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes70c3,054$2,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$916.1910960.6%66 W · 43 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fc…b576backed No30c3,000$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No40c2,952$1,187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.9452243.9%229 W · 293 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc89b…451fbacked Yes70c2,400$1,680 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7202100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+132.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes66c2,235$1,474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$761.411643.8%7 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-28.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfba8…500abacked Yes79c2,167$1,716 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$451.96475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick67cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c1,853$824 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$824.33,72647%1,750 W · 1,976 L+20.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No30c1,335$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$396.3535158.1%204 W · 147 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No31c1,218$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$372.2542844.9%192 W · 236 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5942…5641backed No30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3604639.1%18 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-14%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No30c943.5$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.9136136%130 W · 231 L+8.0wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed Yes56c920$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404.86450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71eb…4c2dbacked Yes66c751.37$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.99250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-24.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes65c700$455 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24510539%41 W · 64 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0caf…abfebacked Yes61c656.64$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.641855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34a2…b10bbacked Yes71c600$426 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.27per pick56cpaid+35.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x88c9…3734backed Yes69c600$414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+36%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked No31c588.6$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.124914.3%7 W · 42 L-8.3wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-60.8%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Yes71c580.56$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.366558.5%38 W · 27 L+3.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9048…07f2backed Yes70c497.73$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.732560%15 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8644…02d2backed Yes65c455$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.252100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+55%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda70…828bbacked Yes57c440.89$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.892951.7%15 W · 14 L+4.1wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No38c437.84$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.044420.5%9 W · 35 L-11.8wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-63.5%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0xe071…f836backed Yes56c400$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1765358.5%31 W · 22 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Yes66c400$265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1353554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.9wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc15d…6a7cbacked Yes56c357.14$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.141241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a5…eff8backed Yes57c349.72$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.38366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No30c300$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010332%33 W · 70 L-5.8wins-0.06per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd94f…eff7backed Yes71c290$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1396…a252backed Yes69c288.74$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.741100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No29c284.29$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.4438247.1%180 W · 202 L+8.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd28d…c9c6backed Yes71c281.69$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.691050%5 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8af…a0a5backed Yes55c272.73$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.73850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5913…3bbebacked Yes70c228.57$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.5710761.7%66 W · 41 L+7.0wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No29c223.29$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.374418.2%8 W · 36 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No44c213.48$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.186139.3%24 W · 37 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick36cpaid-19.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfa0…b403backed Yes70c200$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdcd5…aa9ebacked Yes55c200$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d00…a6f3backed Yes64c188.36$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.364156.1%23 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.191127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-39.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd0a0…35cdbacked Yes57c175.44$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.443948.7%19 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0336…0f75backed Yes70c166.76$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-28.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1963…8122backed Yes66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.522369.6%16 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+15.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x18fe…a4a0backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.862100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa50f…f999backed Yes70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.86875%6 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+88.2%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No30c139.57$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.0211644%51 W · 65 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5c27…6964backed Yes70c132.86$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.861100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No26c127.3$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.619736%71 W · 126 L+9.3wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+16.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed No46c123.29$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.48658.1%50 W · 36 L+5.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes65c123.08$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0827437.2%102 W · 172 L-1.2wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbeed…c44cbacked Yes50c100.68$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5427…bb86backed Yes71c100$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292857.1%16 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xb897…fc48backed Yes49c99.99$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$514537.8%17 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb629…8a99backed Yes75c95$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.2250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-32.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes56c89.29$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.292138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x89ad…5e22backed Yes71c81$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.491637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-32.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x602d…3534backed Yes55c79.02$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.865147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-13.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe47f…c246backed Yes71c77.2$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.391100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf430…675abacked Yes60c70$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+31.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5bbb…1594backed Yes69c67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.771637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-19.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…353dbacked Yes68c66.74$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.244055%22 W · 18 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x454a…4039backed Yes71c60$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.4580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7d33…e208backed Yes70c60$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184052.5%21 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+30.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2df2…55d9backed Yes70c58.75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+43.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe141…ea2dbacked Yes70c56.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.01862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d78…a4ccbacked Yes70c54.36$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.361250%6 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-20%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7bea…6ce6backed No29c54$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.66425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.29per pick53cpaid-60.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7d4…2402backed Yes56c52.59$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Yes69c50.72$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.72742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-29%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9fc9…fa88backed No40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.171526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7074…460cbacked Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No32c50$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1637926.1%99 W · 280 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cfe…ed69backed Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51735.3%6 W · 11 L-1.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2382…4628backed Yes68c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd470…783ebacked No29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.51723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick36cpaid-40.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6868…24f0backed Yes70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1520740.1%83 W · 124 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid+11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed68…236cbacked Yes69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.51957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac5e…87d1backed Yes70c49.14$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.74366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+28.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes56c48.61$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3313666.2%90 W · 46 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick57cpaid+14.7%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x426a…128bbacked No45c46.01$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.575850%29 W · 29 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dba…cb27backed Yes67c44.76$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.771957.9%11 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Yes56c44.51$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.641361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0345…865cbacked Yes70c42.61$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.781100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dd7…de6dbacked Yes57c42.18$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.14955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+32.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb089…a271backed Yes56c40.39$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.771861.1%11 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+20%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5366…73aabacked Yes55c40$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x65ea…223fbacked No44c40$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.61729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-40%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4bdf…9652backed No33c37$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.345060%30 W · 20 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x817c…9e7cbacked Yes70c35.71$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.71560%3 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes50c34.88$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.513145.2%14 W · 17 L+4.0wins+0.13per pick32cpaid+33.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2702…0495backed Yes70c34.84$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1c6…910ebacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.