Fifa International · resolved market
Will Slovenia vs. Kosovo end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3d452db34ef84e0f3ac57d315745b47b4603e61605de5d2bd170a6b006dfb0f8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,678
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,048
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,678 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 73c | 2,340$1,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.18 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 1,419$1,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.73 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 27c | 1,406$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.75 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 24c | 1,103$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.66 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes | 31c | 945.29$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.04 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…348dbacked Yes | 33c | 893.03$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed No | 68c | 683.27$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.8 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 531$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.48 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 69c | 500$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 336.4$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe7…44a2backed Yes | 33c | 303.48$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 79c | 300.95$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.37 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2e7…40c2backed Yes | 32c | 300$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb637…4c42backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 58 | 27.6%16 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b90…30b6backed Yes | 33c | 151.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 29cpaid | +72.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b94…315bbacked Yes | 33c | 121.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5699…418dbacked Yes | 31c | 105.07$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…b699backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 211 | 40.3%85 W · 126 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Yes | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 107 | 49.5%53 W · 54 L | +11.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 32c | 68.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.77 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46b…f862backed Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +53.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 47.11$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.01 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed No | 69c | 44.13$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 464 | 53.2%247 W · 217 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67bc…4d94backed Yes | 33c | 39.39$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 68c | 38.13$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 112 | 59.8%67 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6f…eb72backed No | 68c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…ed05backed No | 68c | 36.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.84 | 38 | 57.9%22 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe067…3455backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb745…981bbacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f45…2149backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x701e…9918backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked No | 73c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 1,252 | 39.2%491 W · 761 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No | 69c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.68 | 397 | 49.9%198 W · 199 L | -16.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…0e62backed No | 68c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 73c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.21 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 68c | 18.76$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 109 | 54.1%59 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed No | 69c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 123 | 50.4%62 W · 61 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed No | 69c | 15.52$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.81 | 130 | 50.8%66 W · 64 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 78c | 14.04$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.07 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Slovenia vs. Kosovo end in a draw?this page
- Will Kosovo win on 2025-11-15?Yes won
- Will Slovenia win on 2025-11-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.