TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will France win on 2025-11-13?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$499,184
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$614,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $499,184 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 85 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8b5a…00f2backed No17c85,000$14,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,449.987839.7%31 W · 47 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf2f6…5817backed No17c43,999$7,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,479.874537.8%17 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-25.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed No17c36,506$6,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,139.612133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed No23c36,376$8,273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,273.233650%18 W · 18 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid-3.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Yes77c35,578$27,395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,182.944100%4 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+30.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc8b4…f05dbacked No17c20,000$3,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,40012451.6%64 W · 60 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No16c12,499$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,999.9112310.6%13 W · 110 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick12cpaid-39.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2699…29f6backed No15c7,492$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,161.345538.2%21 W · 34 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-19.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94fb…d6cbbacked No15c3,488$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.2723622%52 W · 184 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick21cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No17c3,388$576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$575.998359%49 W · 34 L+10.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No17c3,050$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.560511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No17c2,758$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$462.0216835.1%59 W · 109 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No16c2,357$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.6335942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf142…57e7backed No15c1,990$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.5721140.3%85 W · 126 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5045…7e27backed No18c1,667$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-84%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No12c1,660$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.413,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked No15c1,600$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.999450%47 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb72b…f4e0backed No17c1,471$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2507135.2%25 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+16.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No16c1,200$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19229232.9%96 W · 196 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0aa3…64e9backed No17c1,032$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.381822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-23.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x88de…1091backed No17c1,000$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0721016.7%35 W · 175 L-0.9wins0.00per pick17cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No13c899.83$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.8434630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed No8c780$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.425954.8%142 W · 117 L+17.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaec0…5a19backed No18c777$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.86728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick21cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes78c750$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7510366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x53ab…65aabacked No17c677$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.0911444.7%51 W · 63 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c81…dcd3backed No22c655.74$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.2613235.6%47 W · 85 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff0e…2991backed No17c636.47$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.21625%4 W · 12 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+80%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed No17c600$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10229250.7%148 W · 144 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed No19c556.18$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.728538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7dd9…5daabacked No18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No16c499.99$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8016244.4%72 W · 90 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No7c450$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.518641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No18c428.57$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.145238.5%20 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-18%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No15c383.4$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9416841.1%69 W · 99 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe5a5…0c3dbacked No16c319.09$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d01…0ab1backed No15c300$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4510033%33 W · 67 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5116647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9112…c8bbbacked No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481040%4 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.20per pick20cpaid+39.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe827…5209backed No16c300$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4811440.4%46 W · 68 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed No17c300$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512317.4%4 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No17c293.82$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.9513843.5%60 W · 78 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4702…457fbacked No15c250$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2afd…deb4backed No18c233.14$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.972740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+28%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71f8…55ffbacked No7c231.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.191428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+291.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No16c222$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.5246525.4%118 W · 347 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdfda…4fe6backed No16c214.9$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.3824344.9%109 W · 134 L+0.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No18c210$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.810056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked No19c208.11$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.5616925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f43…65fdbacked No17c200$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$346918.8%13 W · 56 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-61.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4cfb…de50backed No16c200$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.71747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.6wins+0.15per pick32cpaid+21.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xb82b…3a09backed No15c199.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304533.3%15 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-40.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed No16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+20.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8217…4936backed No17c175.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.855747.4%27 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x11de…8985backed No18c172.93$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.532128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No17c168.39$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.6346536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No15c165.99$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.912945%58 W · 71 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No19c149.55$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.0739621%83 W · 313 L-0.8wins0.00per pick21cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4caf…6de9backed No18c138.89$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253426.5%9 W · 25 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-26%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No17c138.69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6918452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993f…35cbbacked No17c138$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.2610954.1%59 W · 50 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x216a…9380backed Yes78c128.21$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.211080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed No17c118$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0678927.5%217 W · 572 L+2.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe105…1efbbacked No17c116.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.891560%9 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.24per pick36cpaid+65.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x9e87…8befbacked Yes78c115.91$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.51250%6 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked No16c115.35$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192437.5%9 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-36.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa842…e305backed No18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201723.5%4 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-42.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa966…208bbacked No18c111.11$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-38.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1790%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4041…6f52backed No18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1812327.6%34 W · 89 L+0.4wins0.00per pick27cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked No17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173119.4%6 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.08per pick27cpaid-36.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed No21c83.27$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.497799.6%75 W · 704 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick11cpaid-44.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf421…fae8backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd832…67e0backed Yes78c64.1$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.15448.1%26 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x70f9…a571backed No17c60$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No22c54.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.913131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2afa…890fbacked Yes78c41.21$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.22857.1%16 W · 12 L+4.2wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+15.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xefef…cd06backed Yes74c36.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-29.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3c…0a8abacked Yes80c34.44$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.892100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes61c28.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.993250%16 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96cd…6e3fbacked Yes75c26.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f22…be14backed Yes77c22.23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9733…43a5backed Yes78c14.92$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6816…859abacked Yes79c13.84$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.84650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-36.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9424…44eebacked Yes80c12.5$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.