Fifa International · resolved market
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8d1f5655ded7cf49b8b6dbe2d91ac88a66eccfcd3ff0ee87c41ce16f1749245
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $176,282
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $182,881
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,282 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8de0…87a0backed Yes | 5c | 40,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked Yes | 10c | 10,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Yes | 4c | 9,999$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.96 | 31 | 12.9%4 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f21…fa6dbacked Yes | 5c | 6,634$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 12cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 5,050$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.45 | 605 | 11.4%69 W · 536 L | -16.5wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x879b…2f18backed Yes | 6c | 4,832$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.37 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20da…e704backed Yes | 5c | 4,043$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cb…7881backed Yes | 5c | 2,291$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Yes | 5c | 2,018$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.9 | 138 | 43.5%60 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd46e…904abacked Yes | 5c | 2,016$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa365…ee73backed Yes | 5c | 2,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…d6cbbacked Yes | 4c | 2,000$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 236 | 22%52 W · 184 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa8…5d61backed Yes | 5c | 1,958$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 3c | 1,800$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,673$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5045…7e27backed Yes | 6c | 1,616$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 19cpaid | -84%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd2…2925backed Yes | 1c | 1,541$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 4c | 1,266$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.64 | 186 | 41.4%77 W · 109 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Yes | 6c | 1,250$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.75 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4646…b9d8backed Yes | 5c | 1,200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x620b…c1e6backed Yes | 5c | 1,002$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9112…c8bbbacked Yes | 5c | 1,002$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88de…1091backed Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 210 | 16.7%35 W · 175 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 224 | 21%47 W · 177 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaec0…5a19backed Yes | 3c | 1,000$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Yes | 6c | 999.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.98 | 93 | 24.7%23 W · 70 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…d7ecbacked Yes | 5c | 980.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -8.0wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 940.83$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.74 | 779 | 9.6%75 W · 704 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb31…9e68backed Yes | 4c | 900.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bf…aba5backed Yes | 6c | 892.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Yes | 5c | 869.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…68b8backed Yes | 6c | 842.8$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x950d…ce27backed Yes | 5c | 835.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c74…5383backed Yes | 4c | 815.01$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.25 | 68 | 50%34 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfb…de50backed Yes | 5c | 762$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 32cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 5c | 737$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 116 | 32.8%38 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 5c | 699.97$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62bf…6e7ebacked Yes | 5c | 655$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.37 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.32per pick | 35cpaid | +100.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe43f…bbf8backed Yes | 5c | 613.54$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed90…429ebacked Yes | 5c | 608.16$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf8…6b7fbacked Yes | 5c | 599.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 3c | 587.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a70cbacked Yes | 5c | 478.29$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 62 | 29%18 W · 44 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9264…bca3backed Yes | 5c | 458.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe40c…4d58backed Yes | 4c | 456.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa966…208bbacked Yes | 4c | 456.31$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 5c | 433$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.62 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5af7…52b3backed Yes | 5c | 420$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f7b…d405backed Yes | 5c | 398$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67d3…0af2backed Yes | 5c | 397.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.93 | 62 | 12.9%8 W · 54 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…593dbacked Yes | 6c | 344.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 11.1%3 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47f6…eacbbacked Yes | 5c | 330$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x660e…76ccbacked Yes | 5c | 312.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 192 | 41.1%79 W · 113 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9da…6e9bbacked Yes | 5c | 305.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05c2…57d4backed Yes | 5c | 299.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a19…3850backed Yes | 5c | 285.54$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 4c | 266$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 218 | 37.2%81 W · 137 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b9…3d59backed Yes | 6c | 250$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1a…2c92backed Yes | 5c | 209.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdac…a6fdbacked Yes | 5c | 206$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38b8…5d35backed Yes | 6c | 200$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a5…612dbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes | 7c | 200$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 169 | 25.4%43 W · 126 L | +7.0wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…6870backed Yes | 6c | 189$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb05e…4fcebacked Yes | 16c | 108.83$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-13?this page
- Will France vs. Ukraine end in a draw?No won
- Will France win on 2025-11-13?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.