Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc723359f958c9f10a9975deaba5841ce87c2510244065f0028154eb74f9cc50e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Fritzof Musetti, Fritz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $603,683
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $657,171
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $603,683 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 437 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Fritz | 68c | 54,632$36,888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,743.44 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Musetti | 33c | 47,670$15,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,629.6 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Fritz | 67c | 36,268$24,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,886.43 | 270 | 63.7%172 W · 98 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Fritz | 67c | 24,000$16,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,919.99 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Fritz | 69c | 23,855$16,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,395.1 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 16c | 20,912$3,415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,414.89 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Fritz | 69c | 16,522$11,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,121.74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Fritz | 68c | 12,512$8,563 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,949.38 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Musetti | 31c | 12,217$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Musetti | 31c | 11,901$3,689 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,689.44 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Fritz | 66c | 9,994$6,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,398.12 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Musetti | 39c | 9,985$3,862 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,861.93 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Musetti | 35c | 9,303$3,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,215.78 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Fritz | 67c | 9,038$6,055 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,982.46 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Fritz | 78c | 8,589$6,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,857.88 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Fritz | 74c | 7,446$5,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,938.46 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Musetti | 1c | 6,546$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.93 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x27df…e67cbacked Musetti | 32c | 6,531$2,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7606…2836backed Musetti | 34c | 6,480$2,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,203.2 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb094…bf7fbacked Musetti | 6c | 6,336$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.48 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +4.8wins | +0.09per pick | 18cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Musetti | 33c | 5,700$1,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,899 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Musetti | 37c | 5,685$2,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.32 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Musetti | 31c | 5,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Musetti | 30c | 5,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,519.99 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x229b…12bbbacked Musetti | 6c | 4,865$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -75%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Musetti | 32c | 4,774$1,528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,527.68 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…ee34backed Fritz | 78c | 4,625$3,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,008.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 73cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ea…6254backed Musetti | 3c | 4,333$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.79 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Fritz | 77c | 4,308$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.19 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Fritz | 68c | 4,100$2,782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,318.35 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4b1…a75ebacked Musetti | 13c | 3,946$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Musetti | 24c | 3,741$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.14 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc1…818dbacked Fritz | 69c | 3,590$2,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104.96 | 69 | 46.4%32 W · 37 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Musetti | 16c | 3,350$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.6 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Musetti | 31c | 3,300$1,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Fritz | 65c | 3,269$2,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,145.34 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Fritz | 75c | 3,167$2,375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Fritz | 65c | 3,073$2,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,065.73 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Musetti | 1c | 3,068$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04d1…8390backed Musetti | 33c | 3,031$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.02 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…44e6backed Musetti | 33c | 3,030$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…a3c3backed Fritz | 71c | 3,000$2,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881.97 | 132 | 53.8%71 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Fritz | 68c | 3,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.99 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Musetti | 32c | 2,800$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a4…9e63backed Fritz | 71c | 2,680$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.28 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 60cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Fritz | 70c | 2,571$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.43 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50ec…c1f5backed Fritz | 67c | 2,540$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.93 | 158 | 62.7%99 W · 59 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb2…3f0ebacked Musetti | 11c | 2,479$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a4…d765backed Musetti | 2c | 2,387$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.63 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceda…1bd9backed Fritz | 66c | 2,385$1,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef5…39edbacked Musetti | 32c | 2,349$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.68 | 257 | 22.2%57 W · 200 L | -12.3wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Musetti | 1c | 2,216$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Musetti | 13c | 2,100$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Musetti | 17c | 2,035$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d28…932abacked Musetti | 32c | 1,926$614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$613.61 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6b…7b61backed Fritz | 67c | 1,901$1,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$619.98 | 38 | 60.5%23 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47c8…f30abacked Musetti | 31c | 1,877$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Musetti | 18c | 1,808$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.16 | 819 | 38.9%319 W · 500 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57dd…6ab4backed Musetti | 34c | 1,788$608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.97 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ad…6ed7backed Musetti | 30c | 1,763$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.62 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…351ebacked Musetti | 16c | 1,729$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.1 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -71.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…ed86backed Musetti | 2c | 1,690$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.19 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Musetti | 32c | 1,672$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.65 | 632 | 47.6%301 W · 331 L | -15.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60b6…eb2bbacked Musetti | 19c | 1,628$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.37 | 174 | 42.5%74 W · 100 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6bd…270cbacked Musetti | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea7a…446bbacked Musetti | 32c | 1,563$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Musetti | 31c | 1,554$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.26 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c4…93a7backed Musetti | 33c | 1,524$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.35 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5c…48f9backed Musetti | 15c | 1,510$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +14.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Musetti | 32c | 1,502$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480.75 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Musetti | 33c | 1,500$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Musetti | 2c | 1,500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Musetti | 20c | 1,492$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.6 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Musetti | 31c | 1,457$454 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$454.3 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3520…f128backed Musetti | 8c | 1,450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.27 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +7.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6734…2e18backed Fritz | 69c | 1,449$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f31…83cfbacked Musetti | 26c | 1,417$373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Musetti | 21c | 1,367$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.78 | 254 | 33.5%85 W · 169 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Musetti | 25c | 1,295$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.74 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Musetti | 31c | 1,280$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.79 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…ff0ebacked Fritz | 68c | 1,250$850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 591 | 51.6%305 W · 286 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf37…8b49backed Musetti | 31c | 1,250$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$383.89 | 395 | 34.4%136 W · 259 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…6786backed Fritz | 65c | 1,236$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.77 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Musetti | 34c | 1,176$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 110 | 60.9%67 W · 43 L | +12.0wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Musetti | 3c | 1,152$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.3 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Fritz | 62c | 1,116$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.26 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed Musetti | 14c | 1,042$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Musetti | 21c | 1,000$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a1…0544backed Fritz | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 317 | 53.6%170 W · 147 L | +17.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Musetti | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 72 | 26.4%19 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c3a…3bebbacked Fritz | 69c | 1,000$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 65cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe841…2edebacked Musetti | 29c | 1,000$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Musetti | 31c | 1,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf332…3c89backed Fritz | 68c | 999.99$680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320 | 401 | 41.9%168 W · 233 L | +9.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…3388backed Musetti | 8c | 999.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Musetti | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | +17.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Musetti | 31c | 999.98$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.99 | 576 | 45.5%262 W · 314 L | +4.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Musetti | 25c | 985.66$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.16 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7456…5148backed Musetti | 28c | 977.12$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.11per pick | 40cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85e2…0980backed Musetti | 33c | 969.7$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 145 | 46.2%67 W · 78 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.