Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musetti
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5eb53a1b64c429037f6d9245afee164813ed9388d037976d37ce042f0f79740e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alcarazof Alcaraz, Musetti
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $997,218
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,102,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $997,218 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 159 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Musetti | 13c | 51,134$6,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,787.18 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Musetti | 14c | 46,919$6,596 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,595.67 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Musetti | 8c | 33,522$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,679.19 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Musetti | 14c | 31,431$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +119%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51c6…c26dbacked Musetti | 8c | 27,082$2,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.67 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…0d9cbacked Musetti | 10c | 26,374$2,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.89 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed Musetti | 7c | 21,081$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.92 | 252 | 57.9%146 W · 106 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd070…a978backed Musetti | 8c | 18,666$1,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,561.4 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +338.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…257cbacked Musetti | 14c | 16,971$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,375.9 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Musetti | 3c | 15,986$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.06 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Musetti | 11c | 15,622$1,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,716.85 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Musetti | 8c | 14,809$1,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,254.07 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Musetti | 4c | 13,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 80 | 23.8%19 W · 61 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Musetti | 13c | 12,639$1,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,643.06 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked Musetti | 14c | 11,661$1,633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,632.59 | 1,446 | 48.8%706 W · 740 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Musetti | 8c | 11,057$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.42 | 38 | 18.4%7 W · 31 L | -5.8wins | -0.15per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Musetti | 14c | 10,000$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 84 | 29.8%25 W · 59 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Musetti | 13c | 10,000$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Musetti | 9c | 8,324$747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.38 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Musetti | 13c | 8,017$1,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.51 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Musetti | 13c | 8,000$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.99 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Musetti | 17c | 7,804$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,359.66 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd34b…0004backed Musetti | 14c | 7,387$1,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.24 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +7.3wins | +0.14per pick | 40cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Musetti | 10c | 6,481$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$661 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Musetti | 12c | 6,277$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.05 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Musetti | 13c | 5,821$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.67 | 528 | 44.7%236 W · 292 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Musetti | 5c | 5,709$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.62 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ff…0ba5backed Musetti | 13c | 5,703$764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$764.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Musetti | 0c | 5,667$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Musetti | 4c | 5,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 16cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3d0…5c32backed Musetti | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.99 | 226 | 29.2%66 W · 160 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21d6…86fdbacked Musetti | 13c | 5,000$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.98 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf3c…f5ffbacked Musetti | 5c | 4,700$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x06e8…4675backed Musetti | 15c | 4,233$635 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +84.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Musetti | 13c | 4,211$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.24 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Musetti | 17c | 4,185$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.27 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x99fc…ec26backed Musetti | 15c | 4,073$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$598.61 | 645 | 40.2%259 W · 386 L | -19.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Musetti | 13c | 4,068$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.31 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Musetti | 11c | 4,063$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.3 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcf…146ebacked Musetti | 5c | 4,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +7.6wins | +0.23per pick | 31cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Musetti | 12c | 3,974$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.84 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Musetti | 14c | 3,585$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +12%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…5d42backed Musetti | 14c | 3,571$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Musetti | 10c | 3,190$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.13 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Musetti | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | +13.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Musetti | 13c | 3,000$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8674…2ababacked Musetti | 14c | 2,964$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda4d…c8eebacked Musetti | 2c | 2,719$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39e…e7c7backed Musetti | 19c | 2,653$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3289…4538backed Musetti | 11c | 2,448$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 38cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x61e4…61c8backed Musetti | 12c | 2,402$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x022b…b28cbacked Musetti | 13c | 2,300$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Musetti | 14c | 2,279$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…9b41backed Musetti | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f84…8d1dbacked Musetti | 13c | 2,000$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0c…2265backed Musetti | 10c | 1,971$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.74 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Musetti | 3c | 1,900$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +261.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Musetti | 14c | 1,841$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…4ab2backed Musetti | 8c | 1,782$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.08 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…a488backed Musetti | 14c | 1,736$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Musetti | 6c | 1,667$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8d…b575backed Musetti | 7c | 1,648$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 48 | 20.8%10 W · 38 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -21%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b32…3f5fbacked Musetti | 13c | 1,590$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.7 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed Musetti | 9c | 1,547$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…6549backed Musetti | 13c | 1,517$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8523…1c9fbacked Musetti | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9cc…f511backed Musetti | 13c | 1,500$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x38ad…80f6backed Musetti | 15c | 1,333$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e46…5737backed Musetti | 14c | 1,164$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.5 | 254 | 46.5%118 W · 136 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…ff8bbacked Musetti | 16c | 1,155$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +6.9wins | +0.22per pick | 41cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x71e5…13febacked Musetti | 15c | 1,123$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Musetti | 11c | 1,051$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.67 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Musetti | 12c | 1,006$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.56 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Musetti | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 70 | 37.1%26 W · 44 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5be…46cebacked Musetti | 14c | 1,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf6…5200backed Musetti | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Musetti | 13c | 1,000$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3e…1726backed Musetti | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -61.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22e6…26efbacked Musetti | 13c | 999.94$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…324ebacked Musetti | 12c | 969.79$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.37 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 18cpaid | +87%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaef6…6c23backed Musetti | 14c | 950$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dd…a04ebacked Musetti | 14c | 892.86$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45a7…fdb3backed Musetti | 4c | 855.75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa2…cf15backed Musetti | 13c | 817.33$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.25 | 303 | 39.3%119 W · 184 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Musetti | 13c | 805$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.65 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb6…51a0backed Musetti | 14c | 737.82$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +4.7wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Musetti | 13c | 718.66$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.94 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde44…cb51backed Musetti | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 134 | 35.1%47 W · 87 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…50d7backed Musetti | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Musetti | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa77f…f2e8backed Musetti | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377b…0446backed Musetti | 14c | 692.86$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Musetti | 11c | 682$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.02 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ad2…6fe3backed Musetti | 9c | 680$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.6 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Musetti | 12c | 663.43$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.61 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…5845backed Musetti | 7c | 617.7$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.55 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93cb…3485backed Musetti | 12c | 593.42$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.85 | 306 | 39.9%122 W · 184 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cea…2d58backed Musetti | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8bd…df80backed Musetti | 17c | 579.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 227 | 44.5%101 W · 126 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Musetti | 9c | 522.17$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.88 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Lorenzo Musettithis page
- Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Match O/U 21.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Match O/U 22.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Match O/U 23.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Under won
- Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
- Alcaraz vs. Musetti: Total Sets O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
- Set 1 Winner: Alcaraz vs MusettiAlcaraz won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.