South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x30eaf906aa8c80e66586af84863c2a933ad29c1a98b6b1b544d1513143376185
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,133
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $33,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,133 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 58c | 2,536$1,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,464.64 | 5,821 | 45.4%2,642 W · 3,179 L | +97.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 34c | 2,470$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.42 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 34c | 2,023$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,340.31 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 67c | 1,971$1,311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.42 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,726$609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,117.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 45c | 1,450$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.88 | 8,175 | 48.7%3,980 W · 4,195 L | +27.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Yes | 63c | 895.81$564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.21 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 58c | 765.09$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.88 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 65c | 652.7$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.26 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x040f…e98cbacked Yes | 36c | 637.06$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.86 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 35c | 571.43$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.43 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Yes | 33c | 565.59$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.79 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 67c | 297.2$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9827…e5ffbacked Yes | 33c | 279.99$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +123%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…0dd9backed Yes | 34c | 273.9$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.82 | 144 | 22.9%33 W · 111 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 33c | 258.8$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.4 | 266 | 59.8%159 W · 107 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed Yes | 35c | 181.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.74 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.6wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d6…844bbacked No | 67c | 147$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.49 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 57cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…869abacked Yes | 58c | 99.9$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 90.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.59 | 1,442 | 51.9%748 W · 694 L | +23.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed No | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 72.97$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.59 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…4345backed Yes | 35c | 72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd84f…0475backed Yes | 33c | 72$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.24 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.14 | 113 | 39.8%45 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…351ebacked Yes | 35c | 55.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes | 24c | 49.83$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.87 | 143 | 52.4%75 W · 68 L | +15.2wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 34c | 44.12$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.12 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…98b0backed Yes | 61c | 43.46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 39c | 40.82$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95c4…a93bbacked Yes | 33c | 37$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.79 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…7a20backed Yes | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 48c | 28.87$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 67c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 66c | 18.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-16?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-16?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.