South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x45c0936d23856e139f7f8f8f49f16899490f8294eb7bcdd975dadbbd7196afde
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,106
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,824
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,106 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 39c | 15,000$5,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,850 | 316 | 43%136 W · 180 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed No | 61c | 12,480$7,613 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,867.2 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 59c | 1,936$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$792.46 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 61c | 1,885$1,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$730.79 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 39c | 1,166$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.59 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed No | 59c | 1,057$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.55 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 665.01$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.58 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 30c | 487.19$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.52 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb87…88d1backed No | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65ea…223fbacked No | 59c | 299$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.59 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc1…716bbacked Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.8wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 40c | 251.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504f…3ddcbacked No | 63c | 222.22$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.22 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed No | 62c | 210.79$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…2645backed No | 59c | 161$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.01 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +42.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 110$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf06a…cfdabacked Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 179 | 50.8%91 W · 88 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa9…7097backed Yes | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…24adbacked Yes | 41c | 99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.59 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +20.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe9…a400backed Yes | 41c | 97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.77 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 92.41$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 62c | 88.92$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.79 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309d…3a8abacked No | 59c | 85$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc938…af43backed No | 62c | 83$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5266…ddaebacked Yes | 41c | 80$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8279…7edcbacked Yes | 21c | 71.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 18cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a80…cbf7backed Yes | 41c | 71$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -43%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1436…e23dbacked No | 59c | 69$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.29 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes | 37c | 68.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 71c | 68.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.39 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed No | 57c | 64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 100 | 54%54 W · 46 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb7…8745backed Yes | 38c | 63$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb3…1356backed No | 61c | 55$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Yes | 37c | 54.05$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -3.9wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d78…4756backed Yes | 41c | 52$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf86a…9ed1backed Yes | 41c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e10…70f4backed No | 59c | 45.9$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.82 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f5f…99d3backed Yes | 41c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.45 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42bb…2138backed Yes | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77ec…4f9cbacked Yes | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 60cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d3…3d7abacked No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5956…e127backed Yes | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…0730backed Yes | 41c | 32$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 43cpaid | +108.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaf75…7623backed Yes | 44c | 31.16$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.16per pick | 53cpaid | -50.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed No | 59c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 86 | 68.6%59 W · 27 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 59cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Central Córdoba win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will CA Banfield win on 2025-11-16?No won
- Will CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Banfield end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.