TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Flyers vs. Blues

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Flyersof Flyers, Blues
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$332,487
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$335,434

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $332,487 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 366 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6a72…33eebacked Blues52c70,928$36,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,642.561,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef54…d1eebacked Flyers49c57,164$27,803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29,361.1517749.2%87 W · 90 L+6.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Flyers45c47,998$21,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,394.181,94849.4%962 W · 986 L+24.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Flyers45c33,598$15,223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,375.021,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed Blues55c29,999$16,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,499.6542552.2%222 W · 203 L+25.0wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xfb68…a240backed Flyers52c27,156$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,155.8450049.6%248 W · 252 L+16.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04b9…cdaabacked Blues55c20,000$11,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,999.9710356.3%58 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ba…eba1backed Blues56c19,752$11,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,061450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Flyers44c17,150$7,546 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,603.7410352.4%54 W · 49 L+6.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Blues56c14,330$8,025 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,02510658.5%62 W · 44 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xee3b…8dcfbacked Flyers48c10,477$5,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,448.11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+44.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…4a51backed Blues55c10,188$5,569 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,569.235453.7%29 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-2.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a89…2f26backed Blues55c8,995$4,947 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,947.2570547.7%336 W · 369 L-26.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Blues51c8,121$4,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,105.652,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Flyers45c8,000$3,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,399.951,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Blues60c7,304$4,363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,363.011,40647%661 W · 745 L+58.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Blues54c5,500$2,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,969.9415949.7%79 W · 80 L-0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74d3…0332backed Flyers44c5,000$2,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,80019451.5%100 W · 94 L+6.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Blues56c4,716$2,629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,628.7727243.4%118 W · 154 L-16.8wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked Blues55c4,661$2,581 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,580.9827143.5%118 W · 153 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Flyers12c4,444$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,910.7118237.9%69 W · 113 L+29.4wins+0.16per pick22cpaid+202.9%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Blues63c4,238$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.5614451.4%74 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Flyers45c4,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,20086649.9%432 W · 434 L+1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Flyers44c4,000$1,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,24016656.6%94 W · 72 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2d7…da62backed Flyers45c3,514$1,577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,937.218840.4%76 W · 112 L+4.8wins+0.03per pick38cpaid-1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Blues47c3,406$1,601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,601.0492848.5%450 W · 478 L+17.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe948…ff23backed Flyers45c3,333$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.3329651.7%153 W · 143 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Blues55c3,209$1,754 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,753.8987447%411 W · 463 L+3.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5adf…a5e7backed Blues55c3,097$1,692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.3863249.5%313 W · 319 L+2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d1…4660backed Blues1c2,983$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.8329412.9%38 W · 256 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick11cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5116…58c4backed Flyers48c2,571$1,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,327.0275251.7%389 W · 363 L-2.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Blues59c2,378$1,403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.249949.5%49 W · 50 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Blues55c2,280$1,254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25410158.4%59 W · 42 L+7.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf93f…f94bbacked Flyers46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0802445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2bc7…e411backed Blues54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,079.999250%46 W · 46 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Flyers46c1,956$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.29543.2%41 W · 54 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca3f…8078backed Blues55c1,917$1,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,049.6762249.4%307 W · 315 L-4.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2cea…4473backed Blues55c1,636$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$900250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xffbc…fbc5backed Flyers46c1,609$740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$868.7366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Flyers45c1,533$690 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$843.1531148.2%150 W · 161 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd618…a085backed Blues56c1,444$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.5130%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x371a…34b0backed Blues1c1,443$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.437450.7%5 W · 740 L-13.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-94.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2e…2f0cbacked Flyers45c1,411$635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$776.112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+97.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed Blues55c1,350$743 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$742.515954.1%86 W · 73 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Flyers18c1,336$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.2689636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Blues51c1,300$667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666.599638.2%380 W · 616 L-10.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc30b…1b6dbacked Blues56c1,279$716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$716.456640.9%27 W · 39 L-5.8wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Blues51c1,268$651 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.5984953.8%457 W · 392 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe17f…b30abacked Flyers44c1,183$521 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$662.631100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96bc…7fb4backed Flyers45c1,150$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$632.524845.2%112 W · 136 L+9.5wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x685d…22d6backed Blues55c1,135$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62412552%65 W · 60 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x905c…a902backed Blues55c1,126$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$619.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Blues57c1,104$628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$628.083,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8199…8339backed Blues55c1,072$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x87d1…153bbacked Flyers44c1,017$447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$569.411100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Blues55c1,004$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$549.521,47548.3%712 W · 763 L+2.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Blues1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,1632.3%27 W · 1,136 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-87.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a7f…4b5dbacked Blues55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5505446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x18c3…0964backed Blues55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5501428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dad…805abacked Flyers44c999.95$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.971172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+65.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2615…6c59backed Flyers9c999.93$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$906.941625%4 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick12cpaid+119.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Blues47c990.83$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$470.632,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blues54c972$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.881,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a7a…15a4backed Blues54c925.93$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50023047.4%109 W · 121 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Flyers39c910.97$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$558.6495049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f6…6e69backed Blues56c889.29$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4985054%27 W · 23 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40dc…563dbacked Flyers45c888.89$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$488.891233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Flyers45c886.67$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$487.672,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Blues55c836$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.81,63650.4%825 W · 811 L-20.9wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f97…13d2backed Flyers45c822.22$370 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$452.222441.7%10 W · 14 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf57…6dffbacked Blues56c821.43$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4605058%29 W · 21 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…085cbacked Flyers45c785.68$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$431.1281846%376 W · 442 L+4.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Blues55c686.87$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.7848452.3%253 W · 231 L+14.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x260c…7130backed Flyers44c681.94$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$381.8816753.3%89 W · 78 L+13.1wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Blues55c649.99$357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357.51,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf08…9f3fbacked Blues54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004650%23 W · 23 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd40…73a2backed Flyers45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.568425%21 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-17.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1114…d59abacked Flyers45c555.56$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.5622949.3%113 W · 116 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed Blues56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30023653.8%127 W · 109 L+6.5wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f8a…698abacked Flyers17c518.82$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.62366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.43per pick24cpaid+1,762.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed Blues52c500$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26019548.2%94 W · 101 L+0.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7da6…4ff3backed Blues50c500$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25016241.4%67 W · 95 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-10%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Flyers44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28033837.9%128 W · 210 L-14.7wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf26…d919backed Flyers44c500$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2801361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+17.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9ad…e1e5backed Blues54c500$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7e…fce4backed Flyers44c499.96$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.9851044.5%227 W · 283 L+7.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8734…57b7backed Flyers45c489.84$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.411250%6 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb40e…20e2backed Blues56c489.29$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2741136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-22.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2a81…5b3fbacked Flyers45c477.78$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.78714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xefcc…8f21backed Blues55c476.04$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$261.82250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e20…3bc1backed Flyers46c473.89$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.91100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xafe8…4bd2backed Flyers45c450$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Blues43c442.13$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.538738%147 W · 240 L-13.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-28.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xba26…23c9backed Blues55c433.04$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.111,14350.8%581 W · 562 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Blues69c427.45$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.1561848.1%297 W · 321 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6b…075fbacked Blues63c417.78$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2644548.9%22 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid+5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Flyers45c400$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2203145.2%14 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1161…ed62backed Blues56c400$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2246443.8%28 W · 36 L-4.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Blues55c397.24$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$218.4853050.6%268 W · 262 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x165d…79c6backed Blues53c375.83$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.812560%15 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.