NHL · resolved market
Spread: Blues (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb38c196c3b3ea59a6e018f9864a944ca075f12e822f3d03ee5b75a6c5db2e271
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Flyersof Blues, Flyers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,242
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,229
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,242 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x460a…d738backed Blues | 34c | 882.35$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 236 | 53.8%127 W · 109 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Flyers | 66c | 432.35$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8511…4a6bbacked Flyers | 67c | 375.69$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.98 | 201 | 47.8%96 W · 105 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Blues | 32c | 360.72$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.87 | 533 | 37.5%200 W · 333 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50e6…2093backed Flyers | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9977…ad57backed Flyers | 66c | 300$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0b…56bcbacked Blues | 33c | 299.97$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Blues | 31c | 174.93$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.23 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bbd…8e99backed Blues | 32c | 158$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…9ea6backed Blues | 32c | 157$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0987…6046backed Blues | 32c | 153$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa405…fa4bbacked Flyers | 68c | 152$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e0b…cd84backed Flyers | 66c | 150$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 121 | 53.7%65 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…5a9abacked Flyers | 68c | 149$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x483a…e80cbacked Flyers | 68c | 145$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -51%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb590…15d3backed Flyers | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.93 | 481 | 61.3%295 W · 186 L | +21.3wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f1…075bbacked Blues | 32c | 144$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99c8…753fbacked Blues | 32c | 137$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.84 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb000…d219backed Flyers | 68c | 135$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6e…401cbacked Blues | 32c | 134$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd110…2a6fbacked Flyers | 68c | 126$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32c3…2f56backed Flyers | 68c | 124$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Blues | 30c | 113.14$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7c6…5210backed Blues | 34c | 73.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 106 | 52.8%56 W · 50 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Blues | 31c | 63.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Blues | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 337 | 35%118 W · 219 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…f940backed Flyers | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa58…a0c4backed Flyers | 70c | 56.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.98 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 72cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5485…f70abacked Flyers | 69c | 50.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.72 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 69cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Blues | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd543…e995backed Flyers | 69c | 47.83$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.83 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Flyers | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 84 | 47.6%40 W · 44 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a4…3c66backed Flyers | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Flyers | 66c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.8 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Blues (-1.5)this page
- Flyers vs. BluesFlyers won
- Flyers vs. Blues: O/U 5.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.