Will Japan win on 2025-11-14?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f64c0af726f30a1b62a48d9cc5fd31c1165a86cc363968c8db21b9c07eb41db

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Nov 14, 2025, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $114,522
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $129,717

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $114,522 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes	73c	30,808$22,383 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,425.04	300	31%93 W · 207 L	-5.8wins	-0.02per pick	33cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	30c	16,913$5,144 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,143.72	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f0d…8f51backed Yes	65c	15,679$10,191 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,487.53	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.35per pick	65cpaid	+53.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	28c	8,391$2,349 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,349.16	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	25c	6,398$1,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,614.41	359	42.9%154 W · 205 L	-16.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-24%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0f58…456cbacked Yes	73c	4,569$3,336 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,233.68	10	40%4 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…15cdbacked No	32c	3,637$1,155 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,154.83	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.11per pick	49cpaid	-22.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd2b2…d101backed No	34c	3,519$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	44	18.2%8 W · 36 L	-3.3wins	-0.08per pick	26cpaid	-46.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No	28c	2,806$781 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$780.85	465	36.1%168 W · 297 L	+6.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	29c	2,647$764 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$764.14	760	48.7%370 W · 390 L	-2.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90e0…ff4cbacked No	3c	2,456$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.61	44	6.8%3 W · 41 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	+37.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a70cbacked No	21c	2,376$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	62	29%18 W · 44 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	34cpaid	-37.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Yes	66c	2,350$1,551 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$799	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No	32c	2,222$711 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$711.03	292	32.9%96 W · 196 L	-5.9wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No	30c	2,050$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$614.99	605	11.4%69 W · 536 L	-16.5wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-38%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x889c…e375backed Yes	73c	1,833$1,338 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$495.03	89	40.4%36 W · 53 L	-9.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-24.5%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes	72c	1,390$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$389.8	49	36.7%18 W · 31 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-31.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked No	27c	1,078$291 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$291.24	203	22.7%46 W · 157 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No	32c	1,053$337 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$337.06	470	32.8%154 W · 316 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8511…ed83backed Yes	67c	1,050$701 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$349.72	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.5wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-32.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No	27c	1,050$284 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$283.5	346	30.1%104 W · 242 L	-21.8wins	-0.06per pick	36cpaid	-39.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6a96…e12fbacked Yes	68c	885.83$605 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$281.1	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	-3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes	70c	769.25$538 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$230.78	134	61.9%83 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.02per pick	60cpaid	+2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No	25c	751.49$187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.99	287	54.7%157 W · 130 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7580…cb71backed No	31c	571.23$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.87	22	45.5%10 W · 12 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked No	27c	514.48$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.59	131	31.3%41 W · 90 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa43…3215backed Yes	69c	466.98$320 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$146.98	20	35%7 W · 13 L	-1.5wins	-0.07per pick	42cpaid	-20.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No	27c	433.71$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.72	136	54.4%74 W · 62 L	+6.6wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed No	32c	426.54$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135.8	50	56%28 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	-10%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf332…3c89backed No	34c	411.76$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	121	40.5%49 W · 72 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	+9.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x74dc…cc04backed Yes	72c	411.15$295 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$116.22	34	50%17 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	56cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Yes	68c	350.82$239 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.26	71	35.2%25 W · 46 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes	70c	346$243 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$103.32	1,252	39.2%491 W · 761 L	+6.0wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-20.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No	31c	296.84$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.43	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.2wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed No	22c	293.6$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.22	168	41.1%69 W · 99 L	-4.6wins	-0.03per pick	44cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No	28c	290.01$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.96	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed No	35c	285.71$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	102	63.7%65 W · 37 L	+11.7wins	+0.11per pick	52cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4f8d…140ebacked No	31c	284.76$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.13	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.28per pick	32cpaid	+166.2%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes	71c	282.96$201 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$82.06	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…491dbacked Yes	71c	281.76$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$81.76	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b4d…c4bebacked Yes	72c	277.78$200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$77.78	12	75%9 W · 3 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	72cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5240…dde0backed No	31c	277.3$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.55	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x865f…e88ebacked No	29c	273.61$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.05	1,045	29.3%306 W · 739 L	-10.8wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x985b…46c4backed No	28c	270.48$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.37	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	47cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…487dbacked No	31c	259.02$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.69	26	50%13 W · 13 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb3…c770backed No	30c	254.23$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.27	52	38.5%20 W · 32 L	-2.0wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-18%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes	71c	230.99$164 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$66.99	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.29per pick	49cpaid	-71.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No	26c	230$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.8	423	52%220 W · 203 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6859…3308backed Yes	68c	220.59$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70.59	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-35.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3acd…5cd0backed Yes	71c	202$143 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$58.58	20	55%11 W · 9 L	+2.7wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+27%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x11de…8985backed No	30c	200.43$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.62	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-3.1wins	-0.15per pick	43cpaid	-51%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Yes	69c	200$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$62	170	50.6%86 W · 84 L	+2.5wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ea2…a465backed Yes	65c	200$130 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$70	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.03per pick	61cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde17…68d2backed Yes	72c	181.81$131 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$50.69	29	65.5%19 W · 10 L	+3.5wins	+0.12per pick	54cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed No	28c	154.99$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.12	73	49.3%36 W · 37 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26ae…97b8backed No	30c	146.28$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.41	112	59.8%67 W · 45 L	+7.3wins	+0.07per pick	53cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No	29c	145.13$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.55	396	21%83 W · 313 L	-0.8wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7a88…fd7fbacked Yes	70c	142.86$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.86	29	62.1%18 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	65cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ee1…e2bbbacked Yes	71c	141.29$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.29	32	46.9%15 W · 17 L	+2.7wins	+0.08per pick	38cpaid	+18.5%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No	29c	140.99$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.89	184	52.7%97 W · 87 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes	71c	140.85$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.85	22	54.5%12 W · 10 L	+1.0wins	+0.05per pick	50cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b74…b58fbacked Yes	70c	140$98 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42	30	73.3%22 W · 8 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	73cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeac5…7960backed Yes	72c	135$97 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38	35	45.7%16 W · 19 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked No	27c	134.01$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	117	48.7%57 W · 60 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked No	31c	133.59$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.94	24	37.5%9 W · 15 L	+0.7wins	+0.03per pick	35cpaid	-36.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x89cb…574cbacked No	31c	130.65$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	17	41.2%7 W · 10 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed No	28c	129$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.61	123	50.4%62 W · 61 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d83…7595backed Yes	73c	125.11$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.78	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.08per pick	75cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9014…db4abacked No	28c	120.21$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.26	55	45.5%25 W · 30 L	-2.9wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Yes	71c	112.68$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32.68	78	50%39 W · 39 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked No	28c	111$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.08	465	25.4%118 W · 347 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4c9b…e74abacked No	34c	105.88$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	126	44.4%56 W · 70 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-11%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d09…270ebacked Yes	77c	104.53$80 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.53	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.10per pick	40cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a5c…b3f2backed No	29c	104.07$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.46	81	45.7%37 W · 44 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1a3…0c69backed Yes	71c	100$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$29	181	50.3%91 W · 90 L	+2.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x33ef…c498backed Yes	69c	99.97$69 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.99	58	51.7%30 W · 28 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed No	26c	96$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.96	129	45%58 W · 71 L	-4.3wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked No	26c	90.99$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.11	397	49.9%198 W · 199 L	-16.3wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6de2…86e1backed Yes	70c	90.8$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$26.8	18	77.8%14 W · 4 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	70cpaid	+8.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed No	27c	87$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.85	121	47.9%58 W · 63 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8816…7082backed Yes	67c	86.75$59 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$28.21	128	52.3%67 W · 61 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	53cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6de2…d0e5backed No	30c	86.63$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.99	45	35.6%16 W · 29 L	-6.1wins	-0.13per pick	49cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x6328…1bf3backed Yes	71c	84.51$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.51	67	41.8%28 W · 39 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked No	26c	78.2$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.5	53	43.4%23 W · 30 L	+2.8wins	+0.05per pick	38cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No	26c	76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	464	53.2%247 W · 217 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed No	26c	76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	459	49.5%227 W · 232 L	-13.7wins	-0.03per pick	52cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed No	26c	76$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.76	358	48.3%173 W · 185 L	-9.7wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d5…9790backed Yes	66c	76$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$25.84	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7595backed Yes	70c	75.76$53 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$22.73	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.9wins	+0.14per pick	36cpaid	+69.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9a74…a307backed Yes	76c	71.79$55 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.94	14	50%7 W · 7 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf23b…4957backed Yes	72c	71.07$51 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$20.07	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+1.3wins	+0.16per pick	59cpaid	+31.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf547…9ebbbacked No	28c	68.04$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.05	8	25%2 W · 6 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-45.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked No	29c	68$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.72	168	31.5%53 W · 115 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-12.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f75…a6e7backed No	27c	61.6$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.86	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.14per pick	36cpaid	-67.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf13b…9ef9backed No	31c	61.21$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.7	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x040f…e98cbacked No	31c	59.58$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.19	53	39.6%21 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	36cpaid	+37.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x05b0…e8fcbacked Yes	69c	59.42$41 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.42	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	73cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8de1…2d12backed Yes	69c	57.97$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$17.97	12	91.7%11 W · 1 L	+2.3wins	+0.19per pick	73cpaid	+25.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2149…3a74backed Yes	70c	56.77$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.77	17	35.3%6 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.08per pick	43cpaid	-43%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x28df…f940backed Yes	71c	56.34$40 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$16.34	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	50cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Japan win on 2025-11-14?this page
Will Ghana win on 2025-11-14?No won
Will Japan vs. Ghana end in a draw?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Japan win on 2025-11-14?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event