Fifa International · resolved market
Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa663e4d39afc374bda02c089e528071e03981456a64b902b63f004b0740ad66f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $294,749
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $314,367
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $294,749 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 327 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd16a…7691backed Yes | 48c | 60,609$28,941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,940.62 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.18per pick | 43cpaid | +114.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 49c | 52,095$25,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,440.94 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes | 47c | 20,000$9,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,400 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked No | 52c | 16,112$8,378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,733.66 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 42c | 11,987$5,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,899.15 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 55c | 10,669$5,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,826.95 | 760 | 48.7%370 W · 390 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed No | 46c | 10,000$4,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,349.92 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a2…0ef2backed Yes | 12c | 9,444$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,133.28 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +203%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3414…067abacked No | 54c | 8,047$4,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,707.26 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33c2…9818backed No | 53c | 6,687$3,564 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,122.96 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3102…187cbacked No | 53c | 6,592$3,511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,081.33 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.5wins | +0.30per pick | 63cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 50c | 6,572$3,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,297.99 | 300 | 31%93 W · 207 L | -5.8wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 52c | 5,678$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,726.99 | 170 | 48.2%82 W · 88 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes | 76c | 5,627$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,273.54 | 177 | 27.7%49 W · 128 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 48c | 5,201$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…3c1abacked Yes | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 3,342$1,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,877.97 | 359 | 42.9%154 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 42c | 2,618$1,107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,511.67 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6de…95e8backed No | 48c | 2,497$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,297.01 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed No | 42c | 2,396$1,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.47 | 85 | 38.8%33 W · 52 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 44c | 2,311$1,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.5 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfcca…c460backed No | 54c | 2,144$1,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$986.24 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 48c | 2,088$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…9974backed Yes | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24b1…5163backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd146…9bf0backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 385 | 26.8%103 W · 282 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x795b…21abbacked Yes | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed No | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$959.97 | 215 | 42.8%92 W · 123 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Yes | 65c | 1,738$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.65 | 293 | 43%126 W · 167 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Yes | 46c | 1,318$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.51 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 49c | 1,277$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.26 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 72c | 1,240$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.07 | 1,001 | 53.9%540 W · 461 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb96c…6cc6backed No | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.96 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c5e…615cbacked Yes | 51c | 1,166$599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.02 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb65e…431abacked Yes | 65c | 1,151$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.99 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e0…b310backed Yes | 50c | 1,130$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.04 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204b…a4eebacked Yes | 49c | 1,076$528 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.87 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2839…0efebacked Yes | 49c | 1,021$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.32 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7d…ec26backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ae5…f51dbacked Yes | 49c | 996.22$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Yes | 51c | 975.52$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 24 | 70.8%17 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fd0…eb9dbacked No | 52c | 913.08$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 48c | 906.96$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.23 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ba1…9ebbbacked Yes | 47c | 900$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$423 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ca…2c2abacked No | 53c | 899.99$477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x165d…79c6backed No | 48c | 880.31$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.56 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -29%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 62c | 799.99$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.99 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6859…3308backed Yes | 48c | 750$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 64c | 743.33$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.33 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…f836backed Yes | 52c | 740.57$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 24c | 729.73$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.16per pick | 42cpaid | +57.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Yes | 45c | 726.5$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.68 | 145 | 37.2%54 W · 91 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x15ba…f30dbacked No | 39c | 704$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426 | 248 | 37.1%92 W · 156 L | -12.5wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked No | 30c | 666.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.67 | 304 | 31.3%95 W · 209 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…bbc5backed Yes | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3f…e00bbacked Yes | 47c | 632.7$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.37 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d1…32b8backed No | 48c | 596.49$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.18 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 49c | 555.95$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.12 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Yes | 48c | 545.21$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.7 | 71 | 35.2%25 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes | 48c | 530.58$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.43 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +4.8wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed Yes | 51c | 499.86$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.93 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes | 64c | 486.96$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.24 | 36 | 58.3%21 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed No | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -9.4wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked No | 44c | 456.52$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.74 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb888…ccfdbacked Yes | 77c | 451.85$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d8e2backed Yes | 31c | 444.25$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.66 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 33c | 440.27$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.07 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…1081backed Yes | 69c | 437.5$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff22…8e79backed Yes | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf744…7392backed Yes | 70c | 428.57$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7fd…3a1cbacked Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e79…ed46backed Yes | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…9293backed Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 135 | 31.9%43 W · 92 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8641…1d5bbacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68d6…cfb9backed Yes | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f2a0backed Yes | 77c | 388.2$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 53c | 351$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.97 | 100 | 56%56 W · 44 L | +11.6wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c5…f6d4backed Yes | 73c | 342.47$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53bf…70d9backed Yes | 48c | 325$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 75c | 300$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226 | 326 | 56.1%183 W · 143 L | +29.5wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 105 | 35.2%37 W · 68 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf676…b039backed Yes | 46c | 299.96$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.98 | 184 | 48.9%90 W · 94 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29e7…612abacked Yes | 79c | 296.18$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x504a…448abacked Yes | 49c | 285.71$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb04…3ce1backed No | 53c | 283.02$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.02 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2da0…2f48backed Yes | 66c | 273.58$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.24 | 51 | 58.8%30 W · 21 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…21b4backed Yes | 46c | 271.74$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…3608backed Yes | 79c | 250$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed No | 50c | 247.31$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.71 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Yes | 44c | 244.99$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.8 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Yes | 47c | 242.11$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.79 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x526b…a0e9backed Yes | 48c | 237.5$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.0wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…8502backed Yes | 37c | 228.31$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.74 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7aba…7442backed Yes | 47c | 220.65$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.46 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ab…41c1backed Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…017cbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2b5…f72cbacked Yes | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Hungary win on 2025-11-16?this page
- Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?No won
- Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.