TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Hungary vs. Republic of Ireland end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,779
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$75,208

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,779 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 126 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked No27c18,957$5,084 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,873.43,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked Yes77c12,566$9,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,670.217238.9%28 W · 44 L-8.4wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-35.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes29c5,794$1,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,679.992236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No54c5,270$2,830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,440.267354.8%40 W · 33 L+3.4wins+0.05per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe461…0bd9backed Yes1c3,333$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick28cpaid-69.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No73c2,652$1,936 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.4535942.9%154 W · 205 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-24%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes70c2,234$1,567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,567.3876048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No71c2,031$1,439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$592.6423738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdf27…2ec3backed No71c1,457$1,034 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.42250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe93c…d9c7backed Yes29c1,455$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.9510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8deb…d8e2backed No27c1,414$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,030.254839.6%19 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed No69c1,335$925 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$410.653935.9%14 W · 25 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+44.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe923…0779backed Yes66c1,149$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.091735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-34%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes25c1,102$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$273.824,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8ddb…420bbacked Yes35c1,039$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.0817727.7%49 W · 128 L-10.3wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-9.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes17c1,029$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17517664.8%114 W · 62 L+11.5wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc254…3f73backed Yes67c1,013$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.435420.4%11 W · 43 L-8.7wins-0.16per pick37cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes45c1,011$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.928538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Yes29c772.81$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.378936%32 W · 57 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204b…a4eebacked Yes73c770.94$565 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$564.951457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes32c766.24$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.7834630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No55c709.5$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$316.6855045.1%248 W · 302 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24bb…34f7backed Yes2c600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.52638.5%10 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick31cpaid-27.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes30c570.83$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.251414.3%2 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick24cpaid-53.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Yes77c555$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.3518543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ca6…0d08backed Yes77c549.47$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.62540%2 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-47.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9363…3608backed Yes80c544.32$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.221040%4 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes38c540$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.192025%5 W · 15 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-63.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed No23c500$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3857740.3%31 W · 46 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…4b27backed Yes19c473.33$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes28c455.62$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.455827.6%16 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb55…7b4dbacked Yes80c426.54$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.08250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.27per pick77cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes22c393$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.6918641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7860…4694backed Yes70c375$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.540%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd97c…aedbbacked Yes30c370$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1112638.5%10 W · 16 L+1.8wins+0.07per pick32cpaid-13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes34c349$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.6629343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes22c346.51$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes12c343$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9321837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x250b…9cb5backed Yes31c324$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004936.7%18 W · 31 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-31.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes31c322.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004729.8%14 W · 33 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+11.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf532…70eabacked Yes31c317.26$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Yes65c316.37$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.811,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x01d7…5fd2backed Yes21c309.52$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$657363%46 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10ff…5088backed No71c304.3$217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.3536939.6%146 W · 223 L-12.0wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d94…40e6backed No30c300$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2103141.9%13 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74d7…6beabacked No25c269.99$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.597634.2%26 W · 50 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+32.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked No71c243$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.471560%9 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid-5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd005…56a2backed Yes34c220$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.810%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2bd3…c3a1backed No73c219.34$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.222100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2fcd…9293backed Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813531.9%43 W · 92 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick30cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes30c199.7$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.911338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca51…ca40backed Yes31c199.1$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.73666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f64…9138backed No80c187.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.5450%2 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.26per pick24cpaid+151.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes19c180.26$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355950.8%30 W · 29 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab41…f2c2backed Yes80c177.99$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1389…60d5backed Yes79c173.48$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.9366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid+7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2da0…2f48backed Yes73c171.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.055158.8%30 W · 21 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ec9…75c7backed Yes36c166.67$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No26c156.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.549633.3%32 W · 64 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d43…bec0backed No71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.853100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e9f…5b6fbacked Yes29c137.17$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.631747.1%8 W · 9 L-2.1wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-26.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked No74c135.14$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.1422650.9%115 W · 111 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecd1…a53ebacked Yes28c123.64$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4320%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No70c117.71$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.9817048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9d…35f8backed Yes30c112$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.652060%12 W · 8 L+3.2wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+29.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No19c111.24$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.646536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked Yes31c100.25$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.946222.6%14 W · 48 L-7.2wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-11.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes27c100$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2767354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c63…a2f9backed Yes21c100$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce49…c3b9backed Yes24c99.67$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.235119.6%10 W · 41 L-7.2wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd4f…54e2backed Yes30c97.4$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2950%0 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe22…9a1abacked Yes21c93.07$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a9a…dcbebacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252817.9%5 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.12per pick30cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes66c83.33$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$553554.3%19 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c54…f00ebacked Yes30c83.33$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-41.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50bd…4a32backed No72c81.38$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.92633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe2e5…c3d4backed Yes66c80.76$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.31560%9 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed Yes29c80.57$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.3721542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8138…f52cbacked Yes30c80$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4959…a6f5backed No72c79.25$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.1918452.7%97 W · 87 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d24…a93fbacked No65c76.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9413538.5%52 W · 83 L+0.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cb3…1356backed No56c74.41$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.725056%28 W · 22 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes21c74.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.613131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x87d8…916dbacked Yes69c72.46$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+236.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes30c67.33$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204221.4%9 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2036349.3%179 W · 184 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd4a4…3c66backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206258.1%36 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x67bc…4d94backed Yes30c66.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202737%10 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b4d…b18bbacked Yes54c65.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.34366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick71cpaid-16.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xdcab…4821backed Yes69c62.71$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.19977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick68cpaid+13.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdce0…2dafbacked Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1816925.4%43 W · 126 L+7.0wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4bd8…5c53backed Yes30c60$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x02a7…0464backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5db7…3057backed No19c58.33$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.33475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.29per pick46cpaid+113.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes21c53.05$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.083324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c84…1093backed Yes79c50.63$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb03…5ae4backed Yes63c50$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.56743.3%29 W · 38 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ada…43b0backed Yes79c50$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.253455.9%19 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1440…7712backed Yes33c49.99$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.54042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-25%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.