TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will Republic of Ireland win on 2025-11-16?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,804
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,971

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,804 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes8c6,528$511 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,016.0929343%126 W · 167 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0bcc…8f80backed Yes23c5,781$1,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,453.632236.4%8 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked No79c4,122$3,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,241.239357%53 W · 40 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes23c3,154$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,417.2160511.4%69 W · 536 L-16.5wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-38%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Yes10c2,944$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,658.2534630.1%104 W · 242 L-21.8wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-39.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb96c…6cc6backed No77c2,530$1,948 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,948.075745.6%26 W · 31 L-3.1wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf699…07e1backed Yes18c2,306$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,890.4510366%68 W · 35 L+12.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+54.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4c86…6993backed No76c2,000$1,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,52021542.8%92 W · 123 L+10.4wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+18.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45d1…7017backed Yes16c1,888$302 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,585.929642.7%41 W · 55 L-3.2wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-2.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc22c…bfc7backed Yes5c1,840$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,743.642025%5 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick20cpaid+71.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes23c1,304$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.355127.5%14 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf475…8c9ebacked No77c1,300$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.89475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+110.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Yes23c1,052$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.8530031%93 W · 207 L-5.8wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Yes13c1,028$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$889.928538.8%33 W · 52 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed No76c999.97$760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759.9847032.8%154 W · 316 L-0.7wins0.00per pick33cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes6c982$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$921.71,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes5c849.43$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.777128.2%20 W · 51 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick22cpaid+101.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3850…c4b4backed Yes22c748$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$583.443112.9%4 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid-50.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ee…fb4fbacked Yes24c733.33$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.331457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+24%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce6…107cbacked Yes5c690$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.5837.5%3 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.17per pick21cpaid+204%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab19…4876backed No75c669.88$502 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.412133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa365…ee73backed Yes20c625.34$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500.272722.2%6 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick18cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb637…4c42backed Yes3c499.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483.995827.6%16 W · 42 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid+67.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf713…a97bbacked Yes21c499.95$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.966331.7%20 W · 43 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x71c2…735dbacked Yes5c464.29$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.29250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick8cpaid+828.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No68c450$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.521837.2%81 W · 137 L-0.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b0c…1a42backed Yes9c449.44$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.442445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa6c…4b49backed Yes23c434.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$334.783161.3%19 W · 12 L+4.8wins+0.15per pick46cpaid+32.8%equal weight59+0.09 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes8c428.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39518641.4%77 W · 109 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked No79c411.91$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.138163%51 W · 30 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f83…6cd9backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3004450%22 W · 22 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b90…30b6backed Yes25c400$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+72.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes15c392.86$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.8630321.5%65 W · 238 L+8.9wins+0.03per pick18cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x26ab…41c1backed No77c389.61$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003246.9%15 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Yes6c369.31$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.1531945.1%144 W · 175 L+1.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a87…4e00backed Yes21c350.08$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276.573423.5%8 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ed…4927backed Yes23c345$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.651855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+54.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed Yes23c342.82$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.6617048.2%82 W · 88 L+8.8wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+15.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfb53…f5a0backed No79c341.72$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.9610%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed No76c333$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.0831851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf83…915dbacked Yes24c319.21$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.61747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+45.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1cf6…9767backed No78c300.83$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.651353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d0a…0809backed Yes4c300$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2888219.5%16 W · 66 L-6.1wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes23c300$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23113112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33e2…2aacbacked Yes5c299.99$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.46per pick21cpaid+633.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Yes18c289.5$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.621,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x723c…01ebbacked Yes10c250$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253520%7 W · 28 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff81…44c9backed Yes23c237.29$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.937972.2%57 W · 22 L+10.3wins+0.13per pick59cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4967…4292backed Yes18c220.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.882934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x371a…72afbacked Yes10c220$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1981100%1 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.90per pick10cpaid+900%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x480e…3e38backed Yes14c219.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.864221.4%9 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick19cpaid-16.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8b4…1081backed Yes23c217.21$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.212751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+11.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8c46…be29backed Yes24c209.62$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.6211137.8%42 W · 69 L-0.4wins0.00per pick38cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb04…3ce1backed Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.336056.7%34 W · 26 L+3.5wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xceda…e67bbacked Yes24c208.33$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.331233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x87d8…916dbacked Yes10c202.02$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.02333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+236.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed No80c200$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1601070%7 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick67cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes6c200$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1883863.2%24 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+48.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee44…0082backed Yes25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501729.4%5 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdea1…742fbacked Yes10c200$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180425%1 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.21per pick4cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb296…6d6abacked No77c198.34$153 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.77per pick77cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes9c197.74$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.8723738.8%92 W · 145 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaa2b…adcfbacked Yes24c191.67$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.671833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-21.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe931…138bbacked Yes21c190.48$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150.482934.5%10 W · 19 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x44c7…9bdebacked Yes21c189.83$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.833658.3%21 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ef6…5fa4backed Yes16c186.96$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.96633.3%2 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick16cpaid+70.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ab…ff0cbacked No79c177.97$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1401747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-1.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb0df…8f41backed No79c177.22$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.20per pick52cpaid+134.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5d40…f95abacked Yes13c171.85$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.511338.5%5 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick48cpaid+4.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Yes16c161.37$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.1713131.3%41 W · 90 L-4.1wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf9e4…24c2backed Yes25c160.88$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.884042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce61…78f5backed Yes23c152.48$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.48333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+45.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ce0…a1ebbacked Yes12c144$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1271442.9%6 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.24per pick18cpaid+117.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x27d6…21f7backed Yes23c130.52$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.52850%4 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick22cpaid+91.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe053…ef59backed Yes19c130$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1051100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.81per pick19cpaid+420%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x15ba…f30dbacked No78c128.21$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024837.1%92 W · 156 L-12.5wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b21…1c38backed No79c126.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1083…3b83backed Yes22c126.25$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.91250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.27per pick23cpaid+122.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0739…8f90backed Yes25c122.54$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.75329.4%3 W · 29 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick6cpaid-64%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4890…228fbacked Yes19c120.68$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.75771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.23per pick49cpaid+92%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x64a3…2d9abacked Yes25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$901100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x78bb…3f41backed Yes12c119.99$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.592100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+456.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e9b…829ebacked Yes16c115.44$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9719540%78 W · 117 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Yes24c114.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.911030%3 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac01…2d77backed Yes21c114.29$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.292128.6%6 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick23cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71c1…e358backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.710431.7%33 W · 71 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe22…9a1abacked Yes24c105.45$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.451850%9 W · 9 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+26.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x24c0…4a9cbacked Yes19c105.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.261540%6 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.16per pick24cpaid+36.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x173a…eb85backed No77c103.9$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4eb4…1e95backed Yes24c100$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763100%3 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+146.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x250e…b699backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$784425%11 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick22cpaid+36.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bd8…5c53backed Yes22c100$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$781330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick18cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9678…b4bfbacked Yes21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$793036.7%11 W · 19 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x941f…acfabacked Yes10c100$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90250%1 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.35per pick16cpaid+400%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cdc…eafabacked Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$751100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.75per pick25cpaid+300%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a76…51b7backed Yes25c100$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$753658.3%21 W · 15 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+11.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed No77c98.41$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.787160.6%43 W · 28 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked No77c94.2$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.1911646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea7b…5b6dbacked Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.913324.2%8 W · 25 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick23cpaid-15.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb0b…e2a3backed Yes22c90.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.911729.4%5 W · 12 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.