TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$151,780
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$152,889

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $151,780 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 136 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc3c3…eec8backed Yes23c100,000$23,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,349.3131643%136 W · 180 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed No74c69,129$50,975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,153.62962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No78c8,343$6,532 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,811.28,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed No66c6,704$4,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,261.6850661.3%310 W · 196 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes30c5,381$1,611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,611.2843618.8%82 W · 354 L-4.6wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x057a…3bacbacked No68c5,102$3,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,624.5633251.8%172 W · 160 L-12.4wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No69c4,942$3,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,553.225,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7606…2836backed Yes36c4,777$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,719.72333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-51.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c13…ee33backed Yes31c3,800$1,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,160.613221.9%7 W · 25 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-3.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4231…f63ebacked No68c3,057$2,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.216055.6%89 W · 71 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c1b…5084backed Yes35c3,027$1,060 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,06020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f7a…db40backed No67c2,010$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.253100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed No68c1,935$1,315 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$619.061190.9%10 W · 1 L+4.3wins+0.39per pick52cpaid+82.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No67c1,888$1,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621.981651.6%421 W · 395 L+12.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes21c1,614$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.5510922%24 W · 85 L-9.0wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-37%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4021…956abacked Yes33c1,483$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4949638.5%37 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No64c1,215$778 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.589454.3%51 W · 43 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b11…a0f9backed Yes34c702.8$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9731…9b35backed No69c666.61$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.2526659.8%159 W · 107 L+12.0wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+11.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked No69c579.71$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.712466.7%16 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9dd9…b1b1backed Yes35c567.7$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick43cpaid-77.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa1e9…8ba9backed Yes36c555.56$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x094e…f10bbacked Yes31c555$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x06a9…1a49backed Yes34c543.47$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.9740242%169 W · 233 L-13.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9028…1eedbacked Yes32c423.11$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.17837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x09ae…b883backed Yes29c367.9$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c96…0b06backed Yes29c344.83$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1dae…f2f4backed No71c341.25$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.4955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd390…dc62backed Yes30c333.36$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes31c324.6$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010242.2%43 W · 59 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes36c291.22$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.844420.5%9 W · 35 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-48.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe8a…cfadbacked No70c291.13$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.333234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.5wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-49.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb230…4193backed No65c244.52$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.587572%54 W · 21 L+6.7wins+0.09per pick63cpaid+19.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked Yes17c235.29$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408535.3%30 W · 55 L-0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0ee…8067backed Yes31c218.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.054348.8%21 W · 22 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+30.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xda91…6cc9backed No68c209.46$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.031100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe83c…5e8fbacked No65c202$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.712465.3%81 W · 43 L+5.2wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9380…a275backed Yes25c200$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-44.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ab6…ee04backed No69c200$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$621100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x76f5…3382backed Yes32c200$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6410%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed No70c199.97$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.99366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid+5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed No75c195.85$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.0363644.7%284 W · 352 L-2.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2705…9096backed Yes32c187.81$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.1633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe347…9ab4backed Yes33c182.94$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.672343.5%10 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ca9…6a4dbacked Yes28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbe8…0fedbacked No69c172.85$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.822652.7%119 W · 107 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe92c…d27ebacked Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+33.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e73…e5c1backed Yes29c170.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.992157.1%12 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b9e…40a5backed Yes35c157.14$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7f6…5ac8backed Yes32c156.25$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502420.8%5 W · 19 L-2.9wins-0.12per pick33cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x2359…f72bbacked No66c151.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.523342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-24.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7fb2…3f0ebacked Yes24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc2…d923backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.25per pick50cpaid+64%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ec3…d1c7backed No68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.06366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+28.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x154c…658ebacked No72c140.32$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.491442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x134f…cdb6backed No72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.89333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc71e…f450backed No71c131.66$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.18850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes27c129.63$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Yes32c125$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402650%13 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+47.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2412…b5a1backed No72c122.21$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.751100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75e1…1b07backed Yes30c120.03$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1889…0714backed No70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3612562.4%78 W · 47 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb2bb…aad7backed Yes24c118.93$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28450%2 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No69c111.61$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.381,42851.8%740 W · 688 L+22.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x787c…7ae2backed Yes33c110$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfa03…eea2backed Yes32c110$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.45743.9%25 W · 32 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x96aa…e4b4backed Yes30c109.62$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x737d…1f6bbacked Yes30c109$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked No65c101.88$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.667051.4%36 W · 34 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+14.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes31c101.44$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.422630.8%8 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x646c…3210backed No68c100$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322045%9 W · 11 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-19.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x375e…6c94backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.92147.6%10 W · 11 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick58cpaid-19.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0613…5204backed Yes32c100$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325228.8%15 W · 37 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66fe…e123backed No69c100$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311827.8%5 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2816…0730backed Yes31c100$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Yes31c99.99$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3114654.1%79 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefb2…b043backed No67c99.97$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.993672.2%26 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick68cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3085…ec71backed Yes34c95.99$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.44475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes31c93.71$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2915158.3%88 W · 63 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2013441%55 W · 79 L-14.6wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-26.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa178…487dbacked No70c85.54$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.72887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.27per pick60cpaid+50.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9e8f…6b61backed No80c84.61$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2611738.5%45 W · 72 L-0.5wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x709f…635abacked No70c83.25$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd58b…48e8backed No67c80.01$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.09366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes29c75.86$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224535.6%16 W · 29 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e61…3e4abacked Yes34c73.53$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa936…298fbacked No68c73.53$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.531100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03e0…89acbacked Yes28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63a4…6c04backed Yes34c70.35$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.20per pick37cpaid-61.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bbb…c7b4backed No77c70.3$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xad28…770cbacked Yes26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.28547.1%40 W · 45 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked No72c69.44$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.442263.6%14 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0b0b…1466backed Yes29c68.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+75.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0b4…9dc2backed Yes30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203324.2%8 W · 25 L-2.7wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-32.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x70b0…b71fbacked No69c64.12$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.631233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-51.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0100…3cf3backed Yes33c60.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcfd1…2647backed Yes33c60.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205236.5%19 W · 33 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c93…8967backed No70c58.99$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.71258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9318…a645backed Yes34c58.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204535.6%16 W · 29 L-3.9wins-0.09per pick44cpaid-13.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.