South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dc3862c4fecf6485669f7ad9c002a799bd060651d1cb01a187a4d0a717fd427
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,366
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,869
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,366 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 30c | 4,348$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,038.28 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 62c | 3,254$2,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.01 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked No | 64c | 1,225$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 66c | 1,215$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.2 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 45c | 966.57$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.29 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Yes | 50c | 880.7$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.9 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 36c | 758.59$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.56 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bb…aad7backed No | 46c | 699.69$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$376.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +52.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 41c | 606.42$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked No | 63c | 520.32$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.7 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 69cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fce…8731backed Yes | 55c | 482.46$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked Yes | 36c | 393.94$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.89 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 59c | 341.34$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.34 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x942d…e227backed No | 63c | 279.99$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…3993backed Yes | 72c | 277.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88ce…d898backed Yes | 37c | 277.29$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…53a7backed Yes | 61c | 221.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 37c | 189.19$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5cc…0540backed Yes | 76c | 171.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda70…828bbacked Yes | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 50c | 160.17$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.83 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked No | 25c | 148.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.54 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Yes | 54c | 147.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.1 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52b6…b02ebacked Yes | 55c | 136.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a38…ab6dbacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…f2f4backed No | 50c | 120.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.65 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…e409backed Yes | 50c | 116.66$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.19 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Yes | 35c | 108.3$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.91 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 36c | 100$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…ed86backed Yes | 61c | 82.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 56c | 81.67$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…eaf0backed No | 66c | 76.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.28 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…35e5backed Yes | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfebc…fd87backed Yes | 73c | 60.27$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.8wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6328…1bf3backed Yes | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 36c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 30c | 49.99$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 55c | 44.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.28 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…076ebacked No | 48c | 42.86$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98c3…6ca1backed Yes | 48c | 41.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…3fccbacked No | 65c | 40.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0100…3cf3backed Yes | 50c | 40.12$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf1…981dbacked No | 65c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…c7b4backed Yes | 73c | 35.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb2…b043backed No | 65c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 68cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed No | 64c | 26.78$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe129…f8e4backed No | 41c | 26.59$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +90.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa047…f4c5backed Yes | 80c | 25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…aad4backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 45c | 23.41$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed Yes | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7580…a316backed Yes | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x35ab…8420backed Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 58c | 19.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CD Riestra vs. CA Independiente end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Independiente win on 2025-11-10?Yes won
- Will CD Riestra win on 2025-11-10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.