NBA · resolved market
Celtics vs. Magic
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59a0972730486da6d736e9bd72de2eed82b159a2c4a0ec8555f55a1d8713c5f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Celticsof Celtics, Magic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,240,583
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,346,156
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,240,583 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3151…0977backed Magic | 34c | 111,450$37,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,920.04 | 192 | 49.5%95 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Celtics | 36c | 72,373$25,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,653.12 | 382 | 48.7%186 W · 196 L | +13.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88a1…ad45backed Celtics | 41c | 50,000$20,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,499.8 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Magic | 66c | 49,901$32,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,848.85 | 480 | 46%221 W · 259 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Magic | 59c | 41,253$24,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,436.4 | 698 | 52%363 W · 335 L | +10.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c67…377ebacked Celtics | 41c | 39,999$16,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,799.41 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b6…630cbacked Celtics | 42c | 36,000$15,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,880 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x857c…cb02backed Magic | 58c | 34,728$20,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,142.46 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x220c…43c8backed Celtics | 48c | 32,469$15,435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,033.94 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Magic | 59c | 29,000$17,110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,110 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x68dd…f0b2backed Celtics | 41c | 20,000$8,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,799.97 | 513 | 50.1%257 W · 256 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Magic | 59c | 17,000$10,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,030 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Magic | 59c | 16,947$9,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,974.97 | 2,298 | 51.7%1,188 W · 1,110 L | +65.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Celtics | 34c | 14,668$4,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,680.65 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +4.2wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc996…bb65backed Magic | 46c | 10,859$4,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.74 | 471 | 44.2%208 W · 263 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d22…ec35backed Magic | 18c | 10,749$1,939 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,938.88 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Magic | 49c | 10,705$5,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,194.83 | 260 | 38.1%99 W · 161 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -24%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Magic | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Celtics | 57c | 9,911$5,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,261.93 | 123 | 34.1%42 W · 81 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8058…d023backed Celtics | 41c | 9,832$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.97 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45d…a406backed Magic | 8c | 9,470$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$716.12 | 279 | 17.9%50 W · 229 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…3d95backed Magic | 58c | 9,000$5,220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,220 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff12…09f9backed Celtics | 58c | 8,746$5,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,631.47 | 193 | 88.1%170 W · 23 L | +48.6wins | +0.25per pick | 63cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 75+0.22 edge/pick |
| 0x6016…904fbacked Magic | 60c | 8,665$5,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,190 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c86…c4f6backed Magic | 75c | 8,242$6,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,181.31 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +82.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b71…8044backed Celtics | 42c | 8,000$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,640 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Magic | 41c | 6,182$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.83 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Magic | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 298 | 10.4%31 W · 267 L | +22.5wins | +0.08per pick | 3cpaid | +230.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Magic | 60c | 5,749$3,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,431.53 | 444 | 59.7%265 W · 179 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Magic | 1c | 5,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Celtics | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.98 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed Celtics | 42c | 4,764$2,001 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.34 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe405…bf91backed Magic | 28c | 4,691$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 484 | 48.8%236 W · 248 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Magic | 24c | 4,651$1,094 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,094.32 | 1,226 | 37.4%458 W · 768 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22d0…6293backed Celtics | 42c | 4,646$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,694.51 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Celtics | 40c | 4,417$1,780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,636.9 | 2,265 | 43.4%982 W · 1,283 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540c…a634backed Magic | 60c | 4,232$2,522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,522 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -5.5wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc210…f0cabacked Celtics | 42c | 4,214$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,444.29 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Celtics | 42c | 4,126$1,719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,407.27 | 361 | 48.5%175 W · 186 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed Magic | 62c | 3,762$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.44 | 340 | 62.1%211 W · 129 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3158…d469backed Magic | 58c | 3,600$2,088 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,088 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Magic | 29c | 3,580$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024.03 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x400f…e712backed Celtics | 43c | 3,486$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,985.56 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f2…ace5backed Magic | 42c | 3,109$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.3 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Celtics | 40c | 3,046$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,827.83 | 667 | 44.5%297 W · 370 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3002…7d71backed Magic | 55c | 3,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,660 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Celtics | 41c | 3,000$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,783.33 | 784 | 45.8%359 W · 425 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Magic | 55c | 3,000$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.97 | 768 | 50.3%386 W · 382 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9615…60ddbacked Celtics | 42c | 2,900$1,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd99…f375backed Magic | 52c | 2,898$1,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500.71 | 381 | 51.2%195 W · 186 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Celtics | 75c | 2,835$2,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.71 | 426 | 40.4%172 W · 254 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…3993backed Celtics | 41c | 2,676$1,097 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,579.1 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Celtics | 39c | 2,661$1,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,610.81 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87ea…f625backed Celtics | 41c | 2,600$1,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,534 | 243 | 30.9%75 W · 168 L | -11.5wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…e96ebacked Magic | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 164 | 46.3%76 W · 88 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Magic | 59c | 2,533$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.47 | 927 | 53.5%496 W · 431 L | +20.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef4…32a1backed Celtics | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | +5.5wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff2…49febacked Celtics | 51c | 2,495$1,262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.21 | 246 | 34.6%85 W · 161 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Magic | 26c | 2,474$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.45 | 474 | 48.7%231 W · 243 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Celtics | 56c | 2,460$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,078.77 | 857 | 42.6%365 W · 492 L | -15.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Magic | 58c | 2,318$1,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 58cpaid | -44%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Celtics | 44c | 2,273$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.73 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Celtics | 60c | 2,227$1,339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$888.85 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Magic | 58c | 2,192$1,271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,271.33 | 950 | 49.4%469 W · 481 L | +10.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Magic | 56c | 2,105$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,182.43 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x009c…c3efbacked Magic | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Magic | 13c | 1,984$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.92 | 346 | 45.4%157 W · 189 L | +8.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Magic | 59c | 1,950$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.47 | 646 | 51.7%334 W · 312 L | -14.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x874e…52d7backed Celtics | 79c | 1,894$1,496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.87 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee2e…f422backed Magic | 60c | 1,888$1,133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,132.8 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8b…3149backed Magic | 58c | 1,842$1,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,068.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Magic | 60c | 1,800$1,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080 | 517 | 53.8%278 W · 239 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97a5…134abacked Celtics | 42c | 1,744$732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd611…24fdbacked Magic | 59c | 1,744$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.9 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Magic | 60c | 1,667$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 72 | 61.1%44 W · 28 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Magic | 58c | 1,633$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.03 | 2,796 | 50.3%1,405 W · 1,391 L | +27.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Magic | 62c | 1,614$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 310 | 44.8%139 W · 171 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Celtics | 41c | 1,603$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951.09 | 553 | 46.8%259 W · 294 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec8b…152bbacked Celtics | 42c | 1,591$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$922.66 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf327…34dbbacked Magic | 59c | 1,580$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Magic | 47c | 1,576$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.28 | 1,409 | 40.2%567 W · 842 L | -40.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed Magic | 38c | 1,513$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Celtics | 43c | 1,500$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.9 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…dec2backed Magic | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$885 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1bc…9dc9backed Celtics | 35c | 1,500$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -2.3wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Magic | 41c | 1,472$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.99 | 815 | 29.4%240 W · 575 L | -37.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -43%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a59…770cbacked Magic | 68c | 1,469$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.9 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2000…df78backed Celtics | 34c | 1,433$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.93 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | +5.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Magic | 60c | 1,398$839 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839 | 255 | 54.1%138 W · 117 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Magic | 40c | 1,395$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.67 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Celtics | 63c | 1,380$864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.43 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb5…5ed9backed Magic | 59c | 1,356$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 190 | 47.4%90 W · 100 L | -9.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd89…beaabacked Celtics | 79c | 1,298$1,029 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.81 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 74cpaid | -57.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Magic | 49c | 1,077$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.3 | 83 | 45.8%38 W · 45 L | -7.8wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…0772backed Magic | 59c | 1,048$618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.06 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f92…983dbacked Magic | 60c | 1,040$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa089…6d33backed Celtics | 41c | 1,039$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +77.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8997…c3bdbacked Magic | 59c | 1,034$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1c…a0a4backed Celtics | 41c | 1,008$417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.35 | 77 | 39%30 W · 47 L | -5.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Magic | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Celtics vs. Magicthis page
- Celtics vs. Magic: 1H O/U 116.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 226.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 227.5Under won
- Celtics vs. Magic: O/U 228.5Under won
- Spread: Magic (-2.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-3.5)Celtics won
- Spread: Magic (-4.5)Celtics won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.