TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverev

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,164,110
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,227,648

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,164,110 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 214 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7606…2836backed Zverev14c169,219$23,161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,161.117857.7%45 W · 33 L+4.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f09…4632backed Zverev13c120,000$15,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,595.985950.8%30 W · 29 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Zverev12c52,483$6,343 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,342.8566949.6%332 W · 337 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0434…a98cbacked Zverev10c20,401$1,961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,961.083818.4%7 W · 31 L-5.8wins-0.15per pick34cpaid-22.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xd461…1d6cbacked Zverev9c20,344$1,929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,929.26530.8%20 W · 45 L+2.4wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9bc…45c3backed Zverev8c20,108$1,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,608.33333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf41…5562backed Zverev8c16,390$1,311 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,311.233135.5%11 W · 20 L+2.9wins+0.09per pick26cpaid-14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x83b9…6124backed Zverev13c15,572$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,024.243452.9%18 W · 16 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+8.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3a38…ab6dbacked Zverev3c11,588$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-34.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd614…1fa3backed Zverev5c11,539$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$519.423737.8%14 W · 23 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Zverev12c11,518$1,382 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,382.113336.4%12 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+55%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef6f…084bbacked Zverev6c10,894$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$650.1250%0 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed Zverev17c10,000$1,670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,67022629.2%66 W · 160 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick26cpaid+16.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5388…4d5abacked Zverev5c8,551$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$439.126046.7%28 W · 32 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Zverev12c8,500$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,019.9817823%41 W · 137 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick28cpaid-43.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Zverev15c8,447$1,294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,294.42,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4b1…a75ebacked Zverev14c7,143$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0004831.3%15 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick31cpaid-24.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56fb…3b99backed Zverev14c7,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9808530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f0a…1a3ebacked Zverev14c6,999$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$949.8920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2670…1bedbacked Zverev14c6,601$934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$934.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd34b…0004backed Zverev16c5,913$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.255253.8%28 W · 24 L+7.3wins+0.14per pick40cpaid+60.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7fb2…3f0ebacked Zverev13c5,885$765 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$765.08633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick26cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7104…afefbacked Zverev19c5,335$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-41.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…3e3dbacked Zverev10c5,333$533 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.151936.8%7 W · 12 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick26cpaid+36.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8245…4f87backed Zverev18c4,658$838 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$838.310060%60 W · 40 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51c6…c26dbacked Zverev14c4,642$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$649.871346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid-15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351b…4d06backed Zverev10c4,500$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4402839.3%11 W · 17 L-4.2wins-0.15per pick54cpaid-39.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed Zverev11c4,387$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.1510443.3%45 W · 59 L+8.4wins+0.08per pick35cpaid+26.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Zverev12c4,236$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.911,43543.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L+17.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x377b…0446backed Zverev13c3,846$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001010%1 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick33cpaid-77.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Zverev13c3,679$478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$478.271,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed Zverev13c3,550$452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$452.21136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-22.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Zverev3c3,500$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1171872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.2wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+9.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Zverev11c3,467$365 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$365.1655143.4%239 W · 312 L+0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Zverev13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39019835.4%70 W · 128 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick33cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x821d…0a01backed Zverev14c2,992$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.939935.4%35 W · 64 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Zverev17c2,936$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.22911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.28per pick39cpaid-68.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd28…2aefbacked Zverev7c2,794$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$190.45333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick12cpaid+51.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5b3…49f8backed Zverev15c2,738$409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40919835.4%70 W · 128 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6684…95d1backed Zverev7c2,484$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.0525257.9%146 W · 106 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b9d…269dbacked Zverev12c2,358$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.1133352.6%175 W · 158 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b6…8745backed Zverev8c2,070$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.8475%3 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick37cpaid+86.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1e46…5737backed Zverev11c2,067$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.225446.5%118 W · 136 L-11.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1388…339abacked Zverev13c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25022737.4%85 W · 142 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97e0…8194backed Zverev12c2,000$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.993429.4%10 W · 24 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa24f…593dbacked Zverev16c1,928$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc08b…e35bbacked Zverev5c1,696$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.45875%6 W · 2 L+2.4wins+0.31per pick44cpaid+100.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf100…e2e0backed Zverev13c1,693$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.0820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe394…289cbacked Zverev15c1,629$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.7528451.1%145 W · 139 L+8.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cea…2d58backed Zverev13c1,538$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2002437.5%9 W · 15 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30ef…70dfbacked Zverev12c1,538$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.5944125.4%112 W · 329 L-11.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed06…f663backed Zverev13c1,536$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.69728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick55cpaid-60.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6b04…6549backed Zverev13c1,490$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004630.4%14 W · 32 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick28cpaid-22.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Zverev3c1,487$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046556.1%261 W · 204 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x809c…84b9backed Zverev13c1,450$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…ff8bbacked Zverev14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003262.5%20 W · 12 L+6.9wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+37.9%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xda4d…c8eebacked Zverev1c1,398$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2365.6%2 W · 34 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick4cpaid-69.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3a40…afaabacked Zverev2c1,365$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+17.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Zverev12c1,361$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.517933%59 W · 120 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Zverev16c1,350$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0257645.5%262 W · 314 L+4.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xebcf…368abacked Zverev8c1,333$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf38b…b601backed Zverev14c1,320$185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.85036%18 W · 32 L-0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x929c…fe32backed Zverev13c1,305$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.751421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-58.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x18a6…0b89backed Zverev8c1,248$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd33…81d1backed Zverev2c1,225$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3289…4538backed Zverev14c1,178$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.81955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick38cpaid+33.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa776…a17bbacked Zverev5c1,127$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.142817.9%5 W · 23 L+1.0wins+0.04per pick14cpaid+13%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e5…1d48backed Zverev9c1,116$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.441225%3 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+22%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x48d3…fc42backed Zverev13c1,109$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.322548%12 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7f7…e73bbacked Zverev5c1,097$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.493138.7%12 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Zverev18c1,072$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1935630.4%17 W · 39 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-30.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x908a…ad16backed Zverev15c1,043$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.881,65550.1%829 W · 826 L+30.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-7.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Zverev9c1,024$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.062,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Zverev13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13022641.6%94 W · 132 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3859…3070backed Zverev14c1,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1407037.1%26 W · 44 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf42a…8470backed Zverev5c1,000$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4519131.4%60 W · 131 L+0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f84…8d1dbacked Zverev5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xacb5…8330backed Zverev13c1,000$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ad…6ed7backed Zverev13c999.98$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13050%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked Zverev10c999.97$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1007226.4%19 W · 53 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-12.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2934…0b51backed Zverev11c999.87$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.9929636.8%109 W · 187 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9088…351ebacked Zverev15c985.35$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.17714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-71.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x459c…83f0backed Zverev13c980$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x58c8…0300backed Zverev9c914.2$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.7728139.1%110 W · 171 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd705…b1b4backed Zverev14c900.03$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.01450%2 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Zverev11c850.27$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.768,21745.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L+166.6wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca35…5b58backed Zverev13c819.77$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.571533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-40.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x614b…5845backed Zverev7c807.81$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$593727%10 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc711…d3c6backed Zverev9c799.97$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$705040%20 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c8d…b575backed Zverev13c776.92$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1014820.8%10 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick21cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd805…0d78backed Zverev12c774.98$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf333…7ff4backed Zverev13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick38cpaid-27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40c7…2e7cbacked Zverev13c750$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2509…e4dbbacked Zverev11c731.82$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.524844.8%111 W · 137 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-10.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Zverev13c731.69$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1241544.3%184 W · 231 L-1.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb893…bf4bbacked Zverev14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10063247.6%301 W · 331 L-15.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8bd…df80backed Zverev14c714.29$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022744.5%101 W · 126 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbd…ceeabacked Zverev13c700$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913873.7%28 W · 10 L+4.7wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+16.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Zverev16c692.23$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1107,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8717…e409backed Zverev6c681.87$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.3837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick52cpaid-48.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.