Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverev
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0610edfc067fd92df90a9850bf4572983072591a365ee2b9d3b8def631c1b02a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnerof Sinner, Zverev
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $37,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $37,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9df4…5783backed Zverev | 7c | 15,100$1,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,057 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Zverev | 14c | 969.48$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.55 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Zverev | 17c | 579.36$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.78 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Zverev | 3c | 515.46$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.46 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Zverev | 6c | 411.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8191…8a35backed Zverev | 13c | 345.38$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.48 | 136 | 41.9%57 W · 79 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe78e…55f0backed Zverev | 19c | 317.51$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Sinner | 78c | 130$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.6 | 147 | 52.4%77 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4c…d0f6backed Sinner | 80c | 120$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed Zverev | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f56…f93cbacked Zverev | 28c | 81.73$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe9a…cf52backed Sinner | 72c | 57.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.01 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd32…cb64backed Sinner | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x103f…b0e6backed Sinner | 79c | 19.72$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs Zverevthis page
- ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSinner won
- Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 11.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 12.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 7.5Over won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 9.5Over won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
- Total Sets: O/U 2.5Under 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.