Tennis · resolved market
Total Sets: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8caf0bb8da1cae849720d58eeafd7fb893265bc7e964d03f8db4d0d794f3a8fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Under 2.5of Over 2.5, Under 2.5
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,400
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x377b…0446backed Over 2.5 | 30c | 2,744$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.33 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.23per pick | 33cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over 2.5 | 33c | 1,300$428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cda…6e17backed Under 2.5 | 67c | 1,250$838 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Over 2.5 | 26c | 1,118$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.52 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Under 2.5 | 74c | 1,074$794 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.14 | 447 | 54.4%243 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over 2.5 | 17c | 1,026$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.5 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf515…0805backed Under 2.5 | 74c | 1,014$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.78 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Over 2.5 | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 595 | 53.8%320 W · 275 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Under 2.5 | 68c | 670.9$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.69 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cb6…15cdbacked Over 2.5 | 30c | 352$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.6 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Under 2.5 | 70c | 306.04$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.72 | 627 | 42.4%266 W · 361 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over 2.5 | 16c | 282.56$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb23…6c30backed Under 2.5 | 73c | 274.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.41 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…8826backed Over 2.5 | 21c | 188.42$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 63 | 31.7%20 W · 43 L | -6.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed Over 2.5 | 32c | 154.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.74 | 216 | 55.6%120 W · 96 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2149…3a74backed Under 2.5 | 75c | 146.28$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.28 | 43 | 67.4%29 W · 14 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb14…bd17backed Over 2.5 | 60c | 145.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…e898backed Under 2.5 | 75c | 115.4$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over 2.5 | 32c | 103.13$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 252 | 52.4%132 W · 120 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…a000backed Under 2.5 | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +6.5wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…d4d8backed Under 2.5 | 75c | 87.12$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.12 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over 2.5 | 19c | 80$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 6,411 | 54.4%3,486 W · 2,925 L | +283.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6837…a488backed Over 2.5 | 27c | 79.21$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.55 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3c…7f7cbacked Under 2.5 | 74c | 67.23$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.48 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +115.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e9…8f51backed Over 2.5 | 33c | 60.73$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf275…7050backed Over 2.5 | 31c | 58.06$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2359…f72bbacked Under 2.5 | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6c54…da75backed Under 2.5 | 50c | 45.03$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.52 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Under 2.5 | 72c | 30.56$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.56 | 419 | 55.8%234 W · 185 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2509…e4dbbacked Under 2.5 | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 248 | 44.8%111 W · 137 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…bfd5backed Under 2.5 | 74c | 27.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae9…facabacked Under 2.5 | 73c | 21.41$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.78 | 198 | 56.1%111 W · 87 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Under 2.5 | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 316 | 50%158 W · 158 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Total Sets: O/U 2.5this page
- ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevSinner won
- Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 10.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 11.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 12.5Under won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 7.5Over won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 8.5Over won
- Set 1 Games: O/U 9.5Over won
- Set 1 Winner: Sinner vs ZverevSinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-1.5) vs Zverev (+1.5)Sinner won
- Set Handicap: Sinner (-2.5) vs Zverev (+2.5)Zverev won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.