Tennis · resolved market
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaur
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb28a750c89187e6f95f6113142f6771d39adab3c035d4d76e818e0b3e51e846
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Musettiof Musetti, Minaur
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,270,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,304,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,270,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 642 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Musetti | 31c | 76,495$23,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,878.08 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6ee…697bbacked Minaur | 71c | 72,178$51,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51,520.2 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +5.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Musetti | 34c | 69,399$23,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,602.37 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Musetti | 29c | 60,000$17,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,899.81 | 220 | 37.7%83 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Minaur | 58c | 39,109$22,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,846.83 | 108 | 45.4%49 W · 59 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d9…717bbacked Minaur | 69c | 38,869$26,799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,798.99 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Minaur | 70c | 35,895$25,162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,161.66 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd178…6703backed Musetti | 32c | 33,989$10,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,112.36 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Minaur | 62c | 33,409$20,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,717.39 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83b9…6124backed Musetti | 30c | 26,904$7,989 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,915.42 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17c1…a606backed Minaur | 71c | 25,700$18,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,189.99 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2cdb…4d30backed Musetti | 29c | 24,011$6,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,148.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +249.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2699…29f6backed Minaur | 70c | 22,026$15,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,374.04 | 49 | 30.6%15 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd461…1d6cbacked Musetti | 19c | 21,534$4,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,400.53 | 65 | 30.8%20 W · 45 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Musetti | 30c | 15,000$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,500 | 672 | 49.6%333 W · 339 L | -11.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…cbabbacked Minaur | 70c | 14,035$9,824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,824.2 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb44e…c2c6backed Musetti | 29c | 14,034$4,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,964.06 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe916…4563backed Musetti | 29c | 12,502$3,626 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,876.66 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Minaur | 70c | 10,127$7,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,059.99 | 1,206 | 49%591 W · 615 L | +11.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Musetti | 29c | 10,000$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100 | 178 | 23%41 W · 137 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2307…3934backed Minaur | 72c | 10,000$7,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Minaur | 68c | 9,953$6,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,777.05 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x516e…100cbacked Minaur | 72c | 9,800$7,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,056 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.4wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb933…18d5backed Musetti | 28c | 9,500$2,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,840 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.72per pick | 28cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x743d…cde3backed Minaur | 72c | 9,500$6,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,840 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Minaur | 58c | 8,698$5,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,023.33 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed72…b8b0backed Musetti | 29c | 7,951$2,306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,645.16 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef2…f473backed Musetti | 37c | 7,949$2,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,039.42 | 81 | 24.7%20 W · 61 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Minaur | 69c | 7,181$4,954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,954.02 | 761 | 40.6%309 W · 452 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Minaur | 44c | 6,689$2,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,950 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Musetti | 35c | 6,682$2,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,336.51 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3450…6793backed Musetti | 66c | 6,671$4,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,258.65 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.4wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x37a3…fe17backed Musetti | 42c | 6,616$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,865.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.58per pick | 42cpaid | +140.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aec…1158backed Minaur | 70c | 6,553$4,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,587.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Minaur | 1c | 6,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 75 | 5.3%4 W · 71 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 2cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be4…01adbacked Musetti | 34c | 6,000$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,953.8 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Musetti | 25c | 5,377$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.57 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x72e0…9fc1backed Minaur | 56c | 5,082$2,838 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,838 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -24%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e4…5bf6backed Minaur | 51c | 5,063$2,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600.75 | 206 | 53.4%110 W · 96 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3b99backed Musetti | 29c | 5,000$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,550 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Minaur | 71c | 5,000$3,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,549.97 | 648 | 55.2%358 W · 290 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Minaur | 55c | 4,876$2,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,663.24 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Minaur | 49c | 4,620$2,254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,254.11 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Musetti | 25c | 4,617$1,150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,466.68 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Minaur | 66c | 4,576$3,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,019.83 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92f1…9b81backed Musetti | 25c | 4,524$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,374.78 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf353…b287backed Minaur | 2c | 4,444$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.96 | 83 | 13.3%11 W · 72 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0434…a98cbacked Minaur | 65c | 4,433$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,868.69 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.9wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Minaur | 63c | 4,405$2,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,794.17 | 1,107 | 42.8%474 W · 633 L | -20.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…a36ebacked Musetti | 29c | 4,400$1,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Minaur | 62c | 4,196$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,593.64 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Musetti | 52c | 4,115$2,128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,987.24 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…6993backed Musetti | 28c | 4,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 82 | 31.7%26 W · 56 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Minaur | 72c | 4,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | -4.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Minaur | 63c | 3,912$2,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,466.37 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Musetti | 29c | 3,845$1,101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,744.06 | 1,029 | 33.5%345 W · 684 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Minaur | 46c | 3,768$1,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,747.07 | 118 | 52.5%62 W · 56 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Minaur | 71c | 3,451$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Minaur | 38c | 3,420$1,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,305.54 | 198 | 35.4%70 W · 128 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Musetti | 31c | 3,333$1,033 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.77 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Musetti | 45c | 3,169$1,429 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,740.02 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0dd6…5f62backed Minaur | 72c | 3,000$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 454 | 57.9%263 W · 191 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Minaur | 36c | 2,987$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.75 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Musetti | 29c | 2,955$857 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.77 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60cc…f0dfbacked Minaur | 69c | 2,920$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 145 | 49%71 W · 74 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5388…4d5abacked Minaur | 67c | 2,843$1,906 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,906.04 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Musetti | 38c | 2,644$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,631.97 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Musetti | 29c | 2,600$744 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,855.98 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | +8.4wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Musetti | 26c | 2,400$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,773 | 226 | 41.6%94 W · 132 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d9a…4e25backed Minaur | 71c | 2,400$1,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,704 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Musetti | 8c | 2,342$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,147.61 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe786…b716backed Musetti | 36c | 2,320$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.33 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55b8…1876backed Minaur | 72c | 2,300$1,656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,656 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5aa…a24bbacked Musetti | 36c | 2,299$827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,471.97 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +164%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…5bc1backed Musetti | 28c | 2,154$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,550.88 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…07d4backed Minaur | 63c | 2,126$1,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,338.37 | 80 | 65%52 W · 28 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x61a9…d092backed Minaur | 72c | 2,055$1,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,479.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8271…8542backed Minaur | 54c | 2,023$1,085 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,085.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x062e…9747backed Minaur | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8156…27c2backed Minaur | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7516…8bebbacked Musetti | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,420 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdec6…1d8ebacked Musetti | 29c | 2,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.96 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.45per pick | 41cpaid | +98.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Musetti | 29c | 1,947$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,382.54 | 126 | 27.8%35 W · 91 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Minaur | 59c | 1,937$1,147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,147.46 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a1…978abacked Musetti | 23c | 1,841$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,419.54 | 884 | 46.8%414 W · 470 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8406…0176backed Minaur | 72c | 1,740$1,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,249 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed Minaur | 71c | 1,738$1,234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.78 | 110 | 37.3%41 W · 69 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed Minaur | 39c | 1,690$653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$652.88 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…6578backed Musetti | 16c | 1,644$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,385.5 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.0wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9d81…5d42backed Musetti | 31c | 1,613$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,112.9 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 18cpaid | -70.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x06e6…87e6backed Musetti | 30c | 1,575$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf67c…2f87backed Musetti | 37c | 1,563$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$978.34 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d0…91acbacked Musetti | 29c | 1,540$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.89 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7df…27cdbacked Minaur | 69c | 1,500$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0de0…0884backed Musetti | 34c | 1,472$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$972.07 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd735…968ebacked Minaur | 24c | 1,468$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb36c…8715backed Musetti | 14c | 1,435$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,236.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 8cpaid | +261.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e957backed Minaur | 56c | 1,433$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.68 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | -5.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd28…2aefbacked Musetti | 22c | 1,402$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,093.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Musetti | 29c | 1,400$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurthis page
- Match O/U 40.5Under won
- Set 1 Winner: Musetti vs MinaurMusetti won
- Total Sets: O/U 2.5Over 2.5 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.