South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6f642357f335c9169ea2eaadf1a6aadc38704583a4c16cd240619f9f6dea8d03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $52,993
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $68,498
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,993 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 79 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 27c | 5,372$1,434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,938.26 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 61c | 5,115$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.95 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 41c | 4,931$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.9 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -38%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 21c | 4,209$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.12 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c13…ee33backed No | 37c | 3,598$1,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,318.12 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 74c | 2,096$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.28 | 160 | 55.6%89 W · 71 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1ff…6e26backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf419…9e61backed No | 75c | 1,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed No | 19c | 825.93$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.65 | 151 | 28.5%43 W · 108 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 30c | 664.45$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.05 | 636 | 44.7%284 W · 352 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf050…91debacked Yes | 25c | 580$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03db…eae7backed No | 75c | 580$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f21…ec96backed No | 3c | 578.88$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.27 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd1…4ea6backed Yes | 72c | 421.66$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.34 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 405.1$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.34 | 332 | 51.8%172 W · 160 L | -12.4wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x154c…658ebacked No | 14c | 347.51$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed No | 42c | 347.44$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.9 | 120 | 45.8%55 W · 65 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb893…bf4bbacked Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.83 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…cfadbacked No | 25c | 325.58$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.03 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Yes | 60c | 323.19$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.28 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +6.7wins | +0.09per pick | 63cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc23c…3993backed Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…d923backed No | 45c | 290.79$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +64%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…2ad8backed Yes | 26c | 286.04$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.67 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8f…6b61backed No | 9c | 283.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 24c | 263.87$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.41 | 816 | 51.6%421 W · 395 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dae…f2f4backed No | 30c | 262.73$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 36c | 250.6$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.34 | 506 | 61.3%310 W · 196 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 50c | 250.01$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed No | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 42%169 W · 233 L | -13.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5d…5244backed Yes | 63c | 248.84$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fce…8731backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…50bcbacked Yes | 26c | 199.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.99 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 62c | 161.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.29 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…50c9backed Yes | 26c | 141.96$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.66 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f48…c790backed Yes | 75c | 132.1$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee1…377abacked Yes | 64c | 121.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.91 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…1eedbacked Yes | 26c | 115.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.39 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked No | 41c | 112.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa43…3215backed Yes | 27c | 111.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.59 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f79…7ed4backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 154 | 59.7%92 W · 62 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x737d…1f6bbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…3e9fbacked Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…0730backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd58b…48e8backed No | 76c | 100$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48b5…7d0cbacked Yes | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a70…7057backed Yes | 26c | 90.27$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.74per pick | 26cpaid | +284.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Yes | 24c | 82.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 318 | 27%86 W · 232 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec36…78bbbacked Yes | 68c | 78.47$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…6116backed No | 44c | 77.27$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb812…076ebacked No | 32c | 74.89$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…1f96backed No | 76c | 70$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…cdb6backed No | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8d…ed86backed Yes | 63c | 63.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5f…7c29backed No | 41c | 60.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.59 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x375e…6c94backed No | 36c | 59.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40ae…33e4backed Yes | 67c | 55.22$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed No | 74c | 54.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3149…9762backed Yes | 69c | 52.13$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.93 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…274ebacked Yes | 27c | 50$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 74c | 49.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.7 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1d6…b1b3backed Yes | 25c | 45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x215f…a99abacked No | 75c | 45$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x787c…7ae2backed Yes | 68c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bbb…c7b4backed Yes | 69c | 36.47$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9088…351ebacked Yes | 64c | 34.66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.33 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…1db8backed Yes | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a5c…b3f2backed Yes | 63c | 31.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 60 | 56.7%34 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…5f7ebacked No | 75c | 30$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x366c…8184backed No | 76c | 29.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.28 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 66 | 65.2%43 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x848f…612fbacked No | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…ec71backed Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9226…656cbacked Yes | 62c | 24.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 71c | 23.14$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 226 | 52.7%119 W · 107 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e1…921ebacked Yes | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf84…4ab2backed Yes | 67c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf3…94f5backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2025-11-10?this page
- Will CA Vélez Sarsfield win on 2025-11-10?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.