NHL · resolved market
Islanders vs. Golden Knights
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe9d599a9b239ac28045221677014c8e010fe7dac66b284e2f06ad29d669ee492
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Islandersof Islanders, Golden Knights
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $929,681
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $947,010
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $929,681 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 798 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Islanders | 37c | 380,830$140,899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239,931.2 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Golden Knights | 63c | 176,220$110,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110,753.93 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…5b98backed Golden Knights | 63c | 174,183$109,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,973.24 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Islanders | 62c | 103,357$63,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,791.9 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Golden Knights | 46c | 74,999$34,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,255.73 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 69,221$43,609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,609.23 | 574 | 53.8%309 W · 265 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Golden Knights | 63c | 40,052$25,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,231.44 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Golden Knights | 35c | 36,908$13,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,000 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Islanders | 38c | 27,000$10,260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,739.99 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1496…a429backed Golden Knights | 63c | 21,500$13,545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,545 | 135 | 53.3%72 W · 63 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Islanders | 61c | 21,255$13,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,252.15 | 448 | 48.9%219 W · 229 L | +12.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Islanders | 37c | 20,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,600 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Golden Knights | 30c | 12,264$3,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,725.19 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74d3…0332backed Islanders | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,400 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Islanders | 36c | 8,638$3,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,528.11 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Golden Knights | 55c | 8,306$4,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,577.68 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf915…388fbacked Islanders | 76c | 6,621$5,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Golden Knights | 18c | 6,216$1,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.14 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Islanders | 37c | 5,405$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,405.41 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x560f…6351backed Islanders | 72c | 5,361$3,860 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500.99 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 56cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…2df0backed Islanders | 48c | 5,211$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…d8adbacked Golden Knights | 1c | 5,162$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.62 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights | 56c | 4,989$2,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,788.45 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e39…3122backed Islanders | 37c | 4,908$1,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,092.02 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Islanders | 37c | 4,595$1,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.59 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Golden Knights | 21c | 4,044$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.97 | 629 | 51.2%322 W · 307 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Islanders | 37c | 3,887$1,438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448.81 | 305 | 51.5%157 W · 148 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb52d…95ffbacked Golden Knights | 64c | 3,750$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -7.0wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0554…3de4backed Islanders | 47c | 3,700$1,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,972.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights | 51c | 3,611$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.21 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Islanders | 59c | 3,487$2,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.31 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa727…8289backed Golden Knights | 63c | 3,175$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Golden Knights | 19c | 3,066$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.45 | 939 | 53.6%503 W · 436 L | +29.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Islanders | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Islanders | 36c | 3,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,919.74 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bf9…68debacked Islanders | 66c | 2,845$1,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$968.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Islanders | 37c | 2,836$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.32 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Islanders | 37c | 2,836$1,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,789.24 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Golden Knights | 63c | 2,710$1,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.1 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Golden Knights | 23c | 2,670$613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.67 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01b4…372ebacked Golden Knights | 3c | 2,666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 217 | 4.1%9 W · 208 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Islanders | 54c | 2,503$1,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,148.34 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf699…07e1backed Golden Knights | 26c | 2,446$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.55 | 854 | 64.2%548 W · 306 L | +64.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Golden Knights | 34c | 2,381$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x17c2…68c9backed Islanders | 69c | 2,324$1,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Islanders | 39c | 2,160$840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.21 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Islanders | 36c | 2,113$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.42 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf08…9f3fbacked Islanders | 80c | 2,005$1,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.15 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Golden Knights | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c2…4de7backed Islanders | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,260 | 380 | 46.6%177 W · 203 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Islanders | 37c | 1,919$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.92 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Islanders | 55c | 1,912$1,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860.45 | 247 | 49.8%123 W · 124 L | -10.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Islanders | 37c | 1,900$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Golden Knights | 48c | 1,791$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$851.94 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Islanders | 71c | 1,707$1,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.76 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc449…2239backed Islanders | 48c | 1,698$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.98 | 102 | 55.9%57 W · 45 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4d8…a851backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,691$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.17 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00ea…f807backed Islanders | 36c | 1,689$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080.96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Islanders | 67c | 1,680$1,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 263 | 44.5%117 W · 146 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Islanders | 48c | 1,528$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.35 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Golden Knights | 64c | 1,416$905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$904.62 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2352…c350backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Golden Knights | 62c | 1,380$855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.36 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Islanders | 36c | 1,375$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.57 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Islanders | 62c | 1,356$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.75 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Islanders | 68c | 1,349$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.12 | 95 | 62.1%59 W · 36 L | +9.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +22%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…0c49backed Islanders | 37c | 1,300$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$819 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +75.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Islanders | 66c | 1,293$849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.56 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab2d…2ed0backed Islanders | 53c | 1,201$637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$564.16 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Islanders | 70c | 1,115$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.48 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeeec…961cbacked Islanders | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Islanders | 37c | 1,100$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b4…34a8backed Islanders | 37c | 1,070$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.1 | 221 | 50.2%111 W · 110 L | +8.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Islanders | 35c | 1,055$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$684.79 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Islanders | 45c | 1,035$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$565.71 | 207 | 51.2%106 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Islanders | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 348 | 45.4%158 W · 190 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Golden Knights | 20c | 1,000$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b33…a120backed Golden Knights | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Islanders | 65c | 999.99$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 147 | 57.1%84 W · 63 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Golden Knights | 29c | 882$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.79 | 115 | 37.4%43 W · 72 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Islanders | 37c | 867$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.21 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…b38fbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 853$537 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.15per pick | 60cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…ab24backed Islanders | 38c | 850$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.62per pick | 38cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd60…ab55backed Golden Knights | 48c | 849.71$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Golden Knights | 61c | 846.92$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.62 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc439…1308backed Golden Knights | 64c | 810.94$519 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519 | 40 | 67.5%27 W · 13 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f97…13d2backed Islanders | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…e4c8backed Islanders | 37c | 810.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.81 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…4e4ebacked Golden Knights | 26c | 806$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.12 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Golden Knights | 63c | 800$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Islanders | 36c | 749.99$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf91e…7e0bbacked Islanders | 67c | 743.04$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.2 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4e…31cbbacked Islanders | 76c | 731.77$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.27per pick | 77cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d7…da62backed Golden Knights | 35c | 714.69$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Golden Knights | 35c | 704.03$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.72 | 1,354 | 52.6%712 W · 642 L | +46.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ce…bca1backed Golden Knights | 57c | 701.75$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Golden Knights | 63c | 699.98$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x33b9…ed3abacked Golden Knights | 40c | 658.18$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.05 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca3f…8078backed Golden Knights | 63c | 651.06$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.84 | 622 | 49.4%307 W · 315 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x716d…eaf2backed Golden Knights | 64c | 619.59$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.01 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Islanders vs. Golden Knightsthis page
- Islanders vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Islanders won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.